November 29, 2020 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Superstition | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | An Eddie Surprise | 2.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 14 | 12 | Devils Dance | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kookie Gal | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gidgetta | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | All Quality | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Nu Pi Lambda | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Greg’s Diva | 5.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Affianced | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Respect My Candor | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Sheza Girly Girl | 15.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Queen of the Track | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Jewel Thief | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Equal Measure | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Chosen Moon | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | He Be Mojo Risin | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | A J Rock | 1.80 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | More Bubbly | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Air Jockey | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Anatolia | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Wild Cat Canyon | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Irish Cutter | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Got Curly | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Du Jour | 6.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cathkin Peak (IRE) | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | K P Aim High | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Airman | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | The Great One | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dixie’s Two Stents | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Miss Bella Ciao | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Shotgun Express (IRE) | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Space Odessey | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Drivehappy | 15.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mount Pelliar | 15.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | El Joy | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Lochinvar (GER) | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Destiny’s Journey | 3.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Just Grace | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mongolian Window | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Give Me a Hint | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Perfect Ice Storm | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Summer Love | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rolinga | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Anaconda | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Whisper Not (GB) | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Shadow Sphinx | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Maestro Dearte | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Via Egnatia | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jasikan (IRE) | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 14 | 12 | Fly to Mars | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Fuente (GB) | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Of Good Report | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Liberal (IRE) | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Dr. Troutman | 20.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Worthy Turk | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Storm the Bastille (FR) | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 10 | New Year | 30.00 | 12.4 | 23-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Gryffindor | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Polar Wind | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bitter Ring Home | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pepe Tono | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Truth Seeker | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Race Home | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | My Sunshine | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cosa Nostra (IRE) | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Cause and Effect | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Cecil B. Demille S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Party Game (IRE) | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Wootton Asset (FR) | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Royal Prince | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Caisson | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Beer Can Man | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Big Fish | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ebeko (IRE) | 6.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cotopaxi (IRE) | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Commander Khai | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Harlan Estate | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Coastal Kid | 30.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Lauren Squared | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Misericors | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Annie Graham | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Our Miss Millie | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Big Stretch | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Great Curves | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Respectfully | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Complete Control | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Smoothlikebuttah | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mensa On Tap | 30.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Streaming Tiger | 30.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Becca Taylor | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Matriarch S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Tamahere (FR) | 4.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Viadera (GB) | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Juliet Foxtrot (GB) | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Blowout (GB) | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Maxim Rate | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sharing | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bodhicitta (GB) | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | She’s Our Charm | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mucho Unusual | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Swift as I Am | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Escape Route | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Refi Now | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ruthies Racer | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | None Above the Law | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Dennis Celery | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | From the Get Go | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Ben Wade | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wedding Groom | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jake the Great | 30.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | C’Mon Jenna | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pappy Boyington | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.