Sports from the Basement

Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, November 28, 2020

November 28, 2020 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Reece’s Priority 15.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Spread the Faith 10.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Derby Dog 20.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Ice Crush 20.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Young Hendrick 3.00 6.4 12-1
4 4 Reach the Circle 4.50 8 15-1
2 2 Aw Shucks 6.00 8.3 16-1
1 1 My Perfect Graydar 8.00 8.8 17-1
6 6 Spendaholic 8.00 9.4 18-1
10 10 Fifteen to Vegas 20.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Haus 15.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Baptism 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 8 Nomorequestions 20.00 1.7 3-1
4 3 Half Pipe 12.00 3.6 7-1
6 5 My Guitar 10.00 4 8-1
1 1 Unwanted Intruder 4.50 5.4 10-1
9 7 Shae’s Day 1.80 6.3 12-1
5 4 Buy In 12.00 6.5 12-1
3 2 Imdusty 6.00 7.8 15-1
7 6 Golden Palace 15.00 9.5 18-1
2 2 Now You Rules 3.50 SCRATCH
8 8 And Yet Another 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Bunkie’s Song 8.00 1.1 2-1
2 2 Bassett 10.00 1.4 3-1
1 1 Gimmeasound 5.00 1.7 3-1
4 4 Chinese Bandit 12.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Ebony Flash 15.00 2.3 4-1
10 9 Morricone 2.50 3 6-1
5 5 Benbow Cat 20.00 3 6-1
8 8 Adios Carlos 12.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Good Times Rollin 20.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Crusader Express 20.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Sarah’s Vision 4.50 10.2 19-1
9 8 Extrapolator 8.00 10.2 19-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Elite Runner 20.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Sparky Sparkles 20.00 4.1 8-1
9 9 Oneholylion 20.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 C’Mon Ve 15.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Alluring Actor 10.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Madelyn’s Wild Max 4.50 5.9 11-1
2 2 My Pal Torres 4.00 6.2 12-1
8 8 Successful Ryker 10.00 6.4 12-1
7 7 Allthewaywithtaye 2.50 6.7 13-1
11 11 Top Cat Boogie 15.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Set Hut 12.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Lukes Bad Boy 12.00 10.4 20-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Bobby Jr. 12.00 1.9 4-1
7 7 Priced Right 12.00 2.4 5-1
4 4 Munozfarmstwo 30.00 3.5 7-1
10 10 Lone Star Class 20.00 9.1 17-1
6 6 One Smooth Katch 6.00 9.3 18-1
1 1 Hip Four O Four 10.00 9.7 18-1
3 3 Traelee 8.00 9.7 18-1
2 2 Classic Emmett 30.00 9.7 18-1
9 9 Flashlightsecurity 15.00 9.8 19-1
11 11 Carries Man 1.80 SCRATCH
12 12 Ambassador House 20.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Reinsure 3.50 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Spring Rodeo 20.00 1.5 3-1
2 2 Cajun Cash 12.00 2.7 5-1
8 8 Second Guess 8.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Over Funded 8.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Gobler 12.00 6.5 12-1
7 7 Front Page 3.50 6.5 12-1
10 10 Meditate 20.00 7.1 13-1
1 1 Wrath 2.00 7.2 14-1
9 9 Bold Friends 8.00 8.2 15-1
4 4 Rosslare Harbour 6.00 8.4 16-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Sing the Song 12.00 2 4-1
1 1 Charzee Baby 6.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Hiclass Production 4.50 3.9 7-1
3 3 Todayisnottheday 12.00 4.2 8-1
9 9 Diva’s Ransom 20.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Cool Spring 12.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Suckerforagrey 15.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Joe G’s Payback 15.00 4.5 9-1
6 6 Flash Hands 8.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Icy Charlie 1.60 9.6 18-1
11 11 Sienna Breeze 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Delta Mile S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Gold Buyer 20.00 2.4 5-1
2 2 Top Draw 15.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Stephen’s Answer 6.00 4.6 9-1
10 10 Mocito Rojo 4.50 4.9 9-1
7 7 Jack the Umpire 6.00 5 10-1
8 8 Drifting West 10.00 5.4 10-1
9 9 Pioneer Spirit 3.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Hunka Burning Love 4.00 8.6 16-1
6 6 Extirpator 12.00 8.7 16-1
1 1 Speedy Fellar 20.00 9 17-1
11 11 Nate’s Attack 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 7 Gottatakehimto 15.00 2.8 5-1
7 5 Bald Face Logic 20.00 9.2 17-1
1 1 Lightning Harbour 15.00 10 19-1
4 4 Laughing Latinos 4.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Geminator 15.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Paint I Ain’t 6.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Zyzack 12.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Wendy’s Will 20.00 10.2 19-1
3 3 Pennies Lil Man 20.00 10.4 20-1
5 4 Sailing Jett 8.00 10.4 20-1
10 8 Liken It 1.80 10.5 20-1
8 6 Wildfire Storm 12.00 10.8 20-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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