November 28, 2020 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Reece’s Priority | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Spread the Faith | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Derby Dog | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ice Crush | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Young Hendrick | 3.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Reach the Circle | 4.50 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Aw Shucks | 6.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | My Perfect Graydar | 8.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Spendaholic | 8.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Fifteen to Vegas | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Haus | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Baptism | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 8 | Nomorequestions | 20.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Half Pipe | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | My Guitar | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Unwanted Intruder | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Shae’s Day | 1.80 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Buy In | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Imdusty | 6.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Golden Palace | 15.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Now You Rules | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | And Yet Another | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Bunkie’s Song | 8.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bassett | 10.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gimmeasound | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Chinese Bandit | 12.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ebony Flash | 15.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Morricone | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Benbow Cat | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Adios Carlos | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Good Times Rollin | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Crusader Express | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Sarah’s Vision | 4.50 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Extrapolator | 8.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Elite Runner | 20.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sparky Sparkles | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Oneholylion | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | C’Mon Ve | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Alluring Actor | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Madelyn’s Wild Max | 4.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | My Pal Torres | 4.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Successful Ryker | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Allthewaywithtaye | 2.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Top Cat Boogie | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Set Hut | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Lukes Bad Boy | 12.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Bobby Jr. | 12.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Priced Right | 12.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Munozfarmstwo | 30.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Lone Star Class | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | One Smooth Katch | 6.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hip Four O Four | 10.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Traelee | 8.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Classic Emmett | 30.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Flashlightsecurity | 15.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Carries Man | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Ambassador House | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Reinsure | 3.50 | 10 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Spring Rodeo | 20.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cajun Cash | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Second Guess | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Over Funded | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gobler | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Front Page | 3.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Meditate | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wrath | 2.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bold Friends | 8.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rosslare Harbour | 6.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Sing the Song | 12.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Charzee Baby | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hiclass Production | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Todayisnottheday | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Diva’s Ransom | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cool Spring | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Suckerforagrey | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Joe G’s Payback | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Flash Hands | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Icy Charlie | 1.60 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Sienna Breeze | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Delta Mile S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Gold Buyer | 20.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Top Draw | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Stephen’s Answer | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mocito Rojo | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Jack the Umpire | 6.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Drifting West | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Pioneer Spirit | 3.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hunka Burning Love | 4.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Extirpator | 12.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Speedy Fellar | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Nate’s Attack | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 7 | Gottatakehimto | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Bald Face Logic | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lightning Harbour | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Laughing Latinos | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Geminator | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Paint I Ain’t | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Zyzack | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Wendy’s Will | 20.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pennies Lil Man | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Sailing Jett | 8.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Liken It | 1.80 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Wildfire Storm | 12.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.