Sports from the Basement

Del Mar Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, November 28, 2020

November 28, 2020 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Three Ay Em 3.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Royal Act 6.00 5.5 10-1
8 7 Marckie’s Water 4.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Masteroffoxhounds 15.00 6 11-1
4 4 Irish Heatwave 8.00 6.3 12-1
7 6 Lure Him In 6.00 6.7 13-1
9 8 M Town Gem 12.00 7.1 13-1
11 9 Never Easy 12.00 7.4 14-1
5 5 Shot of a Lifetime 20.00 9.6 18-1
6 6 Kazan (IRE) 4.00 SCRATCH
10 10 U. S. Danger 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Short Rib 4.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Gates of Heaven 3.50 2.7 5-1
8 8 Ghoster 3.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 King Wave 8.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Love My Jimmy 2.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Sky Navigator 12.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 The Roan Ranger 15.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Runaway Wywy 20.00 5.6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Mo See Cal 4.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Zee Drop 3.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Nasty 4.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Princess of Cairo 6.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Croughavouke (IRE) 8.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Meal Ticket 10.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Gypsy Spirit (GB) 10.00 5.2 10-1
10 9 Heathers Grey 12.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Carpe Vinum 20.00 7.5 14-1
9 9 Pulpit Rider 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Editor in Chief 5.00 2 4-1
5 5 Allaboutthemoney 10.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Enough Nonsense 4.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Parnelli 0.80 3.3 6-1
2 2 North Pole 5.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Heliochrome 10.00 4.5 8-1
1 1 Willy the Cobbler 30.00 4.7 9-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Jimmy Durante S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Plum Sexy 6.00 4 8-1
9 9 Quattroelle (IRE) 8.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Fluffy Socks 2.50 5.1 10-1
5 5 Javanica 6.00 5.2 10-1
10 10 Bay Storm 5.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Pizzazz 6.00 6.5 12-1
1 1 Inner Beauty (IRE) 20.00 8.4 16-1
4 4 Nimbostratus (FR) 12.00 8.8 17-1
12 10 Magical Thought 12.00 9 17-1
11 11 Polished Lady 0.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Invincible Gal (GB) 0.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Closing Remarks 15.00 10.3 20-1
6 6 Consternation (IRE) 20.00 12.1 23-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Connection 3.00 2 4-1
3 3 Great Power 2.50 2.3 4-1
2 2 King Parker 4.00 2.4 5-1
10 10 Bedrock 8.00 4 8-1
4 4 Ecologist 8.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Single Me Out 10.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Final Rose 10.00 5.2 10-1
11 11 Cal’s Gem 15.00 6.3 12-1
8 8 Big Bad Gary 30.00 7.8 15-1
9 9 Surfside Sunset 30.00 8.1 15-1
7 7 Baby Gronk 30.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Seabiscuit H.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 11 Flavius 2.50 3.9 7-1
8 8 Anothertwistafate 4.00 4 8-1
4 4 Imperador (ARG) 15.00 4.8 9-1
13 12 Bowies Hero 6.00 5 10-1
7 7 Blitzkrieg 10.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Spirit Animal 8.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Count Again 8.00 6 11-1
10 10 One Bad Boy 12.00 6.4 12-1
9 9 Next Shares 12.00 6.6 12-1
2 2 Camino Del Paraiso 15.00 7 13-1
6 6 Majestic Eagle 15.00 7.3 14-1
11 11 Tartini 30.00 SCRATCH
1 1 My Boy Jack 30.00 10.6 20-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Curry 2.50 1.5 3-1
9 9 Colt Fiction 3.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Policy 8.00 4 8-1
2 2 Agamemnon 4.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Coalinga Road 8.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 I Will Not 8.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Strike It Lucky 12.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Abusive Gary 15.00 5 9-1
6 6 Perfect Fanny 30.00 7.7 15-1
10 10 Night Gig 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Hollywood Derby

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Smooth Like Strait 3.50 3.6 7-1
8 8 Domestic Spending (GB) 5.00 3.9 7-1
10 10 Decorated Invader 3.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Taishan 12.00 4.5 8-1
5 5 Storm the Court 8.00 4.5 9-1
13 13 Gufo 4.00 5.3 10-1
9 9 Get Smokin 12.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Scarto 10.00 6.3 12-1
12 12 Lane Way 20.00 8 15-1
7 7 Strongconstitution 20.00 8.5 16-1
1 1 Kanderel 30.00 9.5 18-1
6 6 California Kook 20.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Ever Dangerous 0.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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