November 27, 2020 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | 4 | Explosive | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
5 | 5 | Kalon | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
8 | 8 | Ekin | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
9 | 9 | Yeng Again | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
1 | 1 | Port Saint Joe | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
2 | 2 | Absolute Unit | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
7 | 7 | Form A Square (GB) | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
6 | 6 | Hallowed Gift | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
3 | 3 | Bushido’s Way | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | 3 | El Huerfano | 1.80 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
5 | 4 | Bottle of Smoke | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
6 | 5 | Friday’s At Shady | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
1 | 1 | Antithetical | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
2 | 2 | Offshore Affair | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
7 | 6 | It’s Fitting | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
4 | 4 | Autisms World | 12.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | 3 | Zucchera | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
4 | 4 | Gallovie (GB) | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
6 | 6 | Viazar | 1.80 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
7 | 7 | Goodtingscominpink | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
1 | 1 | A Thousand Dreams | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
5 | 5 | Buy Wave Buy | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
2 | 2 | Listen to Blue | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | 4 | Lady On Ice | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
2 | 2 | Magnolia’s Hope | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
7 | 6 | Apache Pass | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
8 | 7 | Saving Sophie | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
6 | 5 | Chollima | 6.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
1 | 1 | Cowboys Daughter | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
3 | 3 | Sapphire Silk | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
4 | 4 | Lady O’Prado | 5.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | 4 | Golden | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
1 | 1 | Focaccina | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
8 | 8 | Miss Peaky Blinder | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
7 | 7 | Ivy League | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
6 | 6 | Sweetest Angel | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
5 | 5 | Helen Marie | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
3 | 3 | Carpe Fortuna | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
11 | 11 | Avisse | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
9 | 9 | Full of Laughs | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
10 | 10 | Nurturing | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
2 | 2 | Lisette | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | 3 | Jamming Eddy | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
7 | 7 | Heartfullofstars | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
5 | 5 | Soldier Boy | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
4 | 4 | Royal Trump | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
2 | 2 | Appreciated | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
1 | 1 | Tigre Di Slugo | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
8 | 8 | Rayray | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
6 | 6 | Prodigal Son | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Hollywood Turf Cup S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | 8 | Laccario (GER) | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
5 | 5 | Arklow | 2.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
4 | 4 | Say the Word | 5.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
3 | 3 | Red King | 5.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
12 | 11 | Another Mystery | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
2 | 2 | Oscar Dominguez (IRE) | 15.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
7 | 7 | Acclimate | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
1 | 1 | North County Guy | 15.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
6 | 6 | Gregorian Chant (GB) | 20.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
11 | 11 | Marckie’s Water | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
14 | 14 | Fivestar Lynch (IRE) | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
9 | 9 | Ward ‘n Jerry | 20.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
10 | 10 | Proud Pedro (FR) | 20.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
13 | 12 | Tartini | 30.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | Velvet Queen | 1.60 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
5 | 5 | Golden Principal | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
4 | 4 | Northern Graystar | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
3 | 3 | Scherzo (GB) | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
2 | 2 | Tiz Wonderfully | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
6 | 6 | Powerfulattraction | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
8 | 8 | Last First Kiss | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
7 | 7 | Miss Flawless (FR) | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | 5 | Uncle Ray | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
2 | 2 | Leme At Em | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
1 | 1 | Keystone Field | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
6 | 6 | Seven Charms | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
7 | 7 | Inch | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
8 | 8 | Frasard (GB) | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
4 | 4 | On Easy Street | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
9 | 9 | Juror | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
10 | 10 | Oculus | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
3 | 3 | Paradise Forever | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.