Sports from the Basement

Del Mar Horse Racing Picks for Friday, November 27, 2020

November 27, 2020 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Explosive 3.50 1.6 3-1
5 5 Kalon 4.00 1.8 3-1
8 8 Ekin 6.00 2.6 5-1
9 9 Yeng Again 2.50 3.6 7-1
1 1 Port Saint Joe 6.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Absolute Unit 5.00 4 8-1
7 7 Form A Square (GB) 15.00 6.1 11-1
6 6 Hallowed Gift 20.00 6.7 13-1
3 3 Bushido’s Way 20.00 6.8 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 El Huerfano 1.80 1.1 2-1
5 4 Bottle of Smoke 4.00 2.4 5-1
6 5 Friday’s At Shady 5.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 Antithetical 3.50 3.2 6-1
2 2 Offshore Affair 5.00 3.4 6-1
7 6 It’s Fitting 8.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Autisms World 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Zucchera 4.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Gallovie (GB) 3.00 2.4 5-1
6 6 Viazar 1.80 2.8 5-1
7 7 Goodtingscominpink 4.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 A Thousand Dreams 6.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Buy Wave Buy 10.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Listen to Blue 20.00 4.9 9-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Lady On Ice 2.50 3.8 7-1
2 2 Magnolia’s Hope 3.50 4 8-1
7 6 Apache Pass 6.00 4.3 8-1
8 7 Saving Sophie 4.00 4.7 9-1
6 5 Chollima 6.00 5 10-1
1 1 Cowboys Daughter 12.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Sapphire Silk 12.00 6.5 12-1
4 4 Lady O’Prado 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Golden 8.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Focaccina 8.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 Miss Peaky Blinder 3.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Ivy League 2.50 4.6 9-1
6 6 Sweetest Angel 5.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Helen Marie 12.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Carpe Fortuna 12.00 5.1 10-1
11 11 Avisse 8.00 6.7 13-1
9 9 Full of Laughs 20.00 6.9 13-1
10 10 Nurturing 20.00 7.3 14-1
2 2 Lisette 20.00 7.6 14-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Jamming Eddy 2.50 2.7 5-1
7 7 Heartfullofstars 5.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Soldier Boy 6.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Royal Trump 4.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Appreciated 6.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Tigre Di Slugo 5.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 Rayray 8.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Prodigal Son 10.00 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Hollywood Turf Cup S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Laccario (GER) 3.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Arklow 2.50 5.8 11-1
4 4 Say the Word 5.00 6.1 12-1
3 3 Red King 5.00 6.8 13-1
12 11 Another Mystery 10.00 7.2 14-1
2 2 Oscar Dominguez (IRE) 15.00 8.2 15-1
7 7 Acclimate 12.00 8.3 16-1
1 1 North County Guy 15.00 9.1 17-1
6 6 Gregorian Chant (GB) 20.00 9.8 18-1
11 11 Marckie’s Water 0.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Fivestar Lynch (IRE) 30.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Ward ‘n Jerry 20.00 10.1 19-1
10 10 Proud Pedro (FR) 20.00 10.5 20-1
13 12 Tartini 30.00 11.6 22-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Velvet Queen 1.60 2.9 6-1
5 5 Golden Principal 3.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Northern Graystar 4.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Scherzo (GB) 6.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Tiz Wonderfully 10.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Powerfulattraction 10.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Last First Kiss 12.00 6.1 12-1
7 7 Miss Flawless (FR) 15.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Uncle Ray 6.00 2.4 5-1
2 2 Leme At Em 8.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Keystone Field 3.00 4 8-1
6 6 Seven Charms 15.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Inch 6.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Frasard (GB) 4.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 On Easy Street 2.50 4.4 8-1
9 9 Juror 20.00 7.8 15-1
10 10 Oculus 30.00 7.8 15-1
3 3 Paradise Forever 30.00 8.1 15-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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