November 26, 2020 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | 5 | Today Matters | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
3 | 3 | Papale | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
2 | 2 | Govenor’s Party | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
4 | 4 | Red Hot Cat | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
7 | 7 | Cozy Bear | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
6 | 6 | Saguaro | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
1 | 1 | Paisano | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | 6 | Burnin Turf | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
7 | 7 | Squared Straight | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
1 | 1 | Duchesne | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
3 | 3 | N. K. Rocket Man | 6.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
2 | 2 | Mamba Cool | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
5 | 5 | Cool Your Jets | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
9 | 9 | One Fast Bro | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
8 | 8 | Secret Club | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
4 | 4 | Question Authority | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | 4 | Horse Greedy | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
9 | 6 | Lionite | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
8 | 5 | Secret Courier | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
5 | 3 | Italiano | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
2 | 1 | Natural History | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
3 | 2 | Cartellate | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
1 | 1 | Royal Trump | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
4 | 4 | Julius | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
6 | 6 | Leading Score | 3.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | 6 | Over Attracted | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
4 | 3 | Applecross (IRE) | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
1 | 1 | Beguiled | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
3 | 2 | Avenue de France (FR) | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
12 | 10 | Freedom Lass | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
6 | 5 | Awesome Drive | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
11 | 9 | Miss Addie Pray | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
5 | 4 | Dolce | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
10 | 8 | Woke Up to Aces | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
8 | 7 | Go Big Blue Nation | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
2 | 2 | Resarcio | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
9 | 9 | Lucia’s Design | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
13 | 13 | Reiwa | 0.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | 5 | Malibu Prince | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
8 | 8 | Street Behavior | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
3 | 3 | Western Smoke | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
2 | 2 | Most Sandisfactory | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
4 | 4 | Kenjilookslucky | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
1 | 1 | Mongol Altai | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
6 | 6 | Derby War | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
7 | 7 | Master Recovery | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
9 | 9 | River North | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Red Carpet H.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | 4 | Orglandes (FR) | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
8 | 8 | Blame Debbie | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
2 | 2 | Never Be Enough (GB) | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
1 | 1 | California Kook | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
10 | 10 | Quick (GB) | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
3 | 3 | Colonial Creed | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
5 | 5 | Going to Vegas | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
7 | 7 | Aunt Lubie | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
9 | 9 | Hollywood Girl | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
6 | 6 | Woodfin | 30.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | 3 | Uncaptured Hero | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
10 | 10 | Octopus | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
6 | 6 | Smileforme | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
9 | 9 | Gangly | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
5 | 5 | Dorita’s Lemon | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
8 | 8 | Call You Tomorrow | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
4 | 4 | Street Image | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
1 | 1 | Satchel de Ritches | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
2 | 2 | Leatherneck | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
7 | 7 | Big Barrel | 20.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | 8 | Invictatatus | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
7 | 6 | Turn the Switch | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
2 | 1 | Bench Judge | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
10 | 9 | Hoop Dream | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
5 | 4 | Armour Plate | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
11 | 10 | Bud Knight | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
14 | 11 | Railsplitter | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
4 | 3 | Gregdar | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
3 | 2 | Go Time | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
6 | 5 | Praise Loudly | 30.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
1 | 1 | Final Rose | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
12 | 12 | Antithetical | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
13 | 13 | Dreamer’s Reality | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
8 | 7 | Palace Prince | 30.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.