November 24, 2020 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Egomaniac | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Luke the Drifter | 30.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Racin Rocks | 12.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Majestic Society | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Son of Patriot | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Charming Bullet | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mogowan | 4.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Answer in the Wind | 3.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | End Zone | 1.60 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Indicatif | 20.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Big Headed Baby | 20.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Western Days | 20.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Highly Centsable | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Leo Del Reo | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Waterwild | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Midnight Bayou | 5.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sir Smack | 3.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gumwrapper | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Snoose Goose | 1.40 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 3 | Custom for Aly | 6.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Lil Eva Jane | 20.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | St Joan | 30.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Perfect Peach | 15.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Artie’s Diamond | 12.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Sweet Pinot | 20.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Kissmelikeumissme | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Boston Flat Out | 3.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kentucky Saga | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Dialed J | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Fashion Merit | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 8 | Beyond d’Oro | 6.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Georgia Dawn | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Olivia’s Duchess | 15.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Posse Gone Wild | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Seaside Surprise | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Two With a Ten | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Shesthecatsmeow | 3.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Calaja | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hero of Gold | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Viva Cat | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Miss Dawn | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Bella Falaya | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Hooked a Goodwin | 10.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Underdog | 15.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mr. Paycheck | 20.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Flash of Mischief | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Pipes and Drums | 15.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Out Making Treble | 20.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Catch This Star | 30.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Shoulda Had It | 8.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Bluegrass Pharoah | 1.80 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Last to Know | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Miss Loveinsky | 30.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tiz One Fee | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Silver Siren | 12.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Duepeg | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Old Fashion Amour | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Wildabout Audrey | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | R T’s Duchess | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Honest Woman | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Storied Trip | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Guitarzan | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mr. Graceful | 15.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Power Song | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Greeley’s Dealer | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Always a Catch | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Jack Be Quick | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Invasors Wind | 20.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Much Class | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pine Grove Road | 2.50 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Temprano | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Above Board | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – B-connected S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Whatdatpay Ray | 30.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jax Man | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jus Lively | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Speaktomeoflove | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Social Afleet | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Nippy Red | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Big Boy Dave Rex | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bistraya | 5.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Scarlettsblackjack | 2.50 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Zenucci | 10.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Arctic Rose | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Gracida | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Heaven Blessed | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | River Rain | 15.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sassy Sapphire | 20.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Act the Fool | 30.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Togarock | 3.50 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Half Moon Maiden | 30.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bigjim’s Silvergal | 15.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Orthodox Beat | 12.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Here Comes Linda | 5.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sophisticated Girl | 6.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | My Heart Dominus | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Bayou Tigre | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.