Sports from the Basement

Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Tuesday, November 24, 2020

November 24, 2020 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Egomaniac 6.00 1.6 3-1
1 1 Luke the Drifter 30.00 1.8 3-1
4 4 Racin Rocks 12.00 2 4-1
9 9 Majestic Society 20.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Son of Patriot 15.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Charming Bullet 8.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Mogowan 4.50 6.2 12-1
7 7 Answer in the Wind 3.50 6.3 12-1
8 8 End Zone 1.60 7.9 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Indicatif 20.00 1.4 3-1
7 7 Big Headed Baby 20.00 2.1 4-1
8 8 Western Days 20.00 2.6 5-1
9 9 Highly Centsable 20.00 3.6 7-1
10 10 Leo Del Reo 12.00 5 9-1
2 2 Waterwild 8.00 6.3 12-1
5 5 Midnight Bayou 5.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 Sir Smack 3.50 6.5 12-1
4 4 Gumwrapper 10.00 6.7 13-1
3 3 Snoose Goose 1.40 8.5 16-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 3 Custom for Aly 6.00 1.2 2-1
8 6 Lil Eva Jane 20.00 1.9 4-1
4 2 St Joan 30.00 2 4-1
11 9 Perfect Peach 15.00 2.1 4-1
9 7 Artie’s Diamond 12.00 2.2 4-1
2 1 Sweet Pinot 20.00 2.2 4-1
6 4 Kissmelikeumissme 8.00 2.2 4-1
7 5 Boston Flat Out 3.00 9.1 17-1
1 1 Kentucky Saga 3.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Dialed J 15.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Fashion Merit 15.00 SCRATCH
10 8 Beyond d’Oro 6.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Georgia Dawn 5.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Olivia’s Duchess 15.00 2.9 5-1
8 8 Posse Gone Wild 15.00 3.9 7-1
10 10 Seaside Surprise 20.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Two With a Ten 20.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Shesthecatsmeow 3.50 5.7 11-1
4 4 Calaja 8.00 6.1 12-1
2 2 Hero of Gold 8.00 6.9 13-1
1 1 Viva Cat 10.00 7.3 14-1
9 9 Miss Dawn 12.00 7.6 14-1
11 11 Bella Falaya 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Hooked a Goodwin 10.00 1.2 2-1
2 2 Underdog 15.00 1.4 3-1
4 4 Mr. Paycheck 20.00 1.6 3-1
5 5 Flash of Mischief 4.50 1.6 3-1
8 7 Pipes and Drums 15.00 1.9 4-1
7 6 Out Making Treble 20.00 1.9 4-1
9 8 Catch This Star 30.00 7.7 15-1
3 3 Shoulda Had It 8.00 8.1 15-1
10 9 Bluegrass Pharoah 1.80 8.2 15-1
6 6 Last to Know 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Miss Loveinsky 30.00 1.4 3-1
4 4 Tiz One Fee 2.00 1.7 3-1
3 3 Silver Siren 12.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 Duepeg 5.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 Old Fashion Amour 3.00 2.5 5-1
8 8 Wildabout Audrey 10.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 R T’s Duchess 12.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Honest Woman 6.00 4 8-1
7 7 Storied Trip 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Guitarzan 6.00 1.7 3-1
8 8 Mr. Graceful 15.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Power Song 20.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Greeley’s Dealer 10.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Always a Catch 12.00 4.5 8-1
10 9 Jack Be Quick 8.00 5 9-1
7 7 Invasors Wind 20.00 5.6 10-1
4 4 Much Class 5.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Pine Grove Road 2.50 8.3 16-1
9 9 Temprano 20.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Above Board 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – B-connected S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Whatdatpay Ray 30.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Jax Man 15.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Jus Lively 4.50 2.7 5-1
8 8 Speaktomeoflove 12.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Social Afleet 6.00 4 7-1
2 2 Nippy Red 12.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Big Boy Dave Rex 15.00 5.8 11-1
9 9 Bistraya 5.00 6.1 12-1
10 10 Scarlettsblackjack 2.50 7.8 15-1
4 4 Zenucci 10.00 8.8 17-1
11 11 Arctic Rose 15.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Gracida 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Heaven Blessed 2.00 1.2 2-1
9 9 River Rain 15.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 Sassy Sapphire 20.00 1.9 4-1
7 7 Act the Fool 30.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Togarock 3.50 8.5 16-1
10 10 Half Moon Maiden 30.00 9.3 18-1
5 5 Bigjim’s Silvergal 15.00 9.3 18-1
2 2 Orthodox Beat 12.00 9.6 18-1
3 3 Here Comes Linda 5.00 9.7 18-1
1 1 Sophisticated Girl 6.00 9.7 18-1
11 11 My Heart Dominus 15.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Bayou Tigre 30.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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