Sports from the Basement

Del Mar Horse Racing Picks for Friday, November 20, 2020

November 20, 2020 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Littlebitamedal 3.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 I Belong to Becky 1.60 2.7 5-1
6 6 Short of Ez 4.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 Proof It 3.50 3.1 6-1
5 5 J T’s A. T. M. 5.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Cosa Nostra (IRE) 12.00 4.8 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Chaos Theory 1.80 2.5 5-1
2 2 Overdue 4.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Texas Wedge 3.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Tilted Towers 6.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Mikes Tiznow 4.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Mr Vargas 6.00 5.2 10-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 King of Speed 1.80 1.9 4-1
3 3 Potantico 2.50 2.6 5-1
2 2 The Stiff 4.50 3.3 6-1
4 4 Zestful 3.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Unbroken Star 4.00 3.9 7-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Cover Version 2.50 2.5 5-1
1 1 Bristol Bayou 2.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Unbreakable 4.50 2.7 5-1
7 6 Let’s Go Now 4.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Starship Sky 8.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 I Give Up 12.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 She Loves Karaoke 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Vodka Twist 3.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Little No Way 2.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 In the Deep 2.50 3.3 6-1
4 4 R Cha Cha 4.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Cedar Rapids 15.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Big Sky Logan 15.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Write Me a Song 12.00 5 9-1
3 3 Devil’s Teeth 30.00 6.8 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 First Prez 4.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Rustic Canyon 2.50 3.5 7-1
2 2 Tropical Terror 4.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Fly to Mars 3.50 3.8 7-1
3 3 Sea of Liberty 5.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Handsome Cat 8.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Clayton Delaney 12.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Mysterious Stones 20.00 6.9 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Chevelita 3.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 Martique Miss 6.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Yellow Dress 8.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Brilliant Cut 3.50 3.5 7-1
9 8 Royal Blend 4.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Mama Superior 15.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Varoma 30.00 6.4 12-1
10 9 Hatshepsut 20.00 6.7 13-1
4 4 Lady Mo 30.00 7.8 15-1
8 8 Purda Vita 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Theluteismine 2.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 That Corey 2.50 2.3 4-1
8 8 Gabby Hayes 4.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Crossword 4.00 2.9 6-1
6 6 Bukayo 6.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Gordy’s Boy 15.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Hard Metal 20.00 6.4 12-1
2 2 Pedro Perez 30.00 7.8 15-1
9 9 Runaway Wywy 30.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Lauren Squared 8.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Standing O 5.00 SCRATCH
12 12 My Man Bags 2.50 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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