Sports from the Basement

Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Friday, November 20, 2020

November 20, 2020 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 5 Tap the Barrel 3.00 1.8 3-1
6 4 Twiddle 3.50 2.5 5-1
1 1 Cashmere Queen 6.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Gram’s Gal 20.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Jordy Can Tap 20.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Well Kept Secret 1.20 SCRATCH
5 5 Simple Sugar 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Athena Dancer 4.00 2.5 5-1
9 9 Caumsett 3.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Get the Candy 5.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 No Payne 6.00 5.6 10-1
3 3 Social Whirl 8.00 6.2 12-1
7 7 Barrel of Bliss 10.00 7.1 13-1
4 4 Tradewar 12.00 9 17-1
10 10 Love’s Misery 12.00 9.5 18-1
11 11 Enter Sandwoman 3.50 SCRATCH
12 12 Nebo 10.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Empires First Lady 10.00 SCRATCH
14 14 A Life That’s Good 1.80 SCRATCH
15 15 Know It All Red 6.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Maria’s Gift 8.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Bonana Fanna Foe 15.00 10.2 19-1
6 6 Dutchess of N Y 20.00 11.7 22-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Morocco 3.00 2.6 5-1
11 10 Abiding Star 4.00 3.5 7-1
12 11 Noble Thought 5.00 4 8-1
1 1 Old Dominion 12.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Patriot Drive 12.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Willing to Speed 6.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Rapt 8.00 4.9 9-1
8A 8 Zero Gravity 12.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Dream Doctor 10.00 6.2 12-1
5 5 Attentive 15.00 6.8 13-1
9 9 Home Run Maker 2.50 SCRATCH
13A 13 Twisted Tom 12.00 SCRATCH
10 9 Soulmate 30.00 10.1 19-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 McErin 1.20 2.1 4-1
4 4 Durkin’s Call 4.50 2.2 4-1
3 3 Topper T 4.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Releasethethunder 3.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Ryan’s Cat 8.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Brush Country 12.00 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3A 3 Mo Maverick 2.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 Freewheeler 4.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Colonel Tom 8.00 5 9-1
4 4 Opt 6.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Call Me Harry 12.00 6.2 12-1
8 7 Qian B C 12.00 6.8 13-1
10 9 Bustin Shout 10.00 7.3 14-1
6 6 Steelersfanforlife 15.00 7.9 15-1
9 8 Valmont 20.00 9.1 17-1
7 7 Ghost Giant 6.00 SCRATCH
11A 11 Dowse’s Beach 2.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Bronx Bomber 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Palamos (GB) 4.50 2.4 5-1
12 11 Counterparty Risk (IRE) 3.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Alemia 8.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Look Me Over 6.00 5.8 11-1
9 9 Star Command 6.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Admaa 10.00 6.5 12-1
1 1 Niceno 10.00 6.8 13-1
7 7 Leah Chase 8.00 7.2 14-1
8 8 This Just In 15.00 9.8 19-1
11 11 Halo City 4.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Wishes and Dreams 10.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Miss Tapirado 2.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Simply Sweet 5.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Strings Attached 20.00 10.3 19-1
10 10 I’m Fine 20.00 12.9 24-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Fair Regis 3.50 3.2 6-1
2 2 Fierce Lady 4.50 3.5 7-1
6 5 Puffery 6.00 3.6 7-1
9 8 Playtone 8.00 4.1 8-1
7 6 Forgotten Hero 10.00 4.1 8-1
11 10 Speightstown Gal 6.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Miss Jimmy 8.00 5.6 11-1
5 4 Jewel of Arabia 8.00 5.7 11-1
10 9 Quality Stones 15.00 6.8 13-1
8 7 Letmetakethiscall 15.00 8.3 16-1
3 3 Purrageous Dyna 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Dream Friend 1.20 2.9 6-1
4 4 Voting Control 3.50 4 7-1
2 2 So High (GB) 8.00 4.7 9-1
9 9 Kid Mercury 10.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Turn of Events 8.00 5.7 11-1
10 10 Letterman 12.00 5.8 11-1
5A 5 Malthael 10.00 6.2 12-1
8 8 Impazible Odds 20.00 8.5 16-1
6 6 Arithmetic 20.00 9.6 18-1
7 7 Scoreswhenhewants 30.00 9.8 19-1
11 11 Quid 30.00 SCRATCH
12 12 The Last Zip 5.00 SCRATCH
13A 13 Bad Guy 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Windfall Profit 3.00 3.4 6-1
10 10 Apurate 5.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 Fierce Scarlett 2.50 3.6 7-1
5 5 Eye of a Soldier 4.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Short Pour 8.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Gogo Shoes 15.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Sun Summers 12.00 6.4 12-1
7 7 Fionnbharr 30.00 7.6 14-1
9 9 Una Luna 12.00 7.9 15-1
11 11 Wicked Amber 50.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Kitten’s Finest 50.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Fetching 8.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Maiden Beauty 2.50 SCRATCH
15 15 Invaluable 1.40 SCRATCH
16 16 Big Bennys Tribute 10.00 SCRATCH
6 6 R V Treasure 50.00 11.8 22-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Classy Sadie 6.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Mebs Web 6.00 3.2 6-1
6 4 Well Brush Mytooth 5.00 4.2 8-1
11 9 Whistlinginthedark 12.00 5.6 11-1
9 7 Shannon’s Girl 8.00 5.6 11-1
14 12 Tripp Road 12.00 5.7 11-1
10 8 Gringotts 15.00 6.8 13-1
7 5 Anydayisherday 15.00 6.9 13-1
8 6 Imincomunicado 20.00 6.9 13-1
12 10 Touch of Nirvana 20.00 7.5 14-1
2 2 Dazzling Speed 30.00 9.9 19-1
4 4 La Negrita 3.50 SCRATCH
5 5 Gagliano 15.00 SCRATCH
13 11 Sarahrini 30.00 10.3 20-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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