November 20, 2020 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 5 | Tap the Barrel | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Twiddle | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cashmere Queen | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gram’s Gal | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jordy Can Tap | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Well Kept Secret | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Simple Sugar | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Athena Dancer | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Caumsett | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Get the Candy | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | No Payne | 6.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Social Whirl | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Barrel of Bliss | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tradewar | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Love’s Misery | 12.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Enter Sandwoman | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Nebo | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Empires First Lady | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | A Life That’s Good | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Know It All Red | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Maria’s Gift | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Bonana Fanna Foe | 15.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dutchess of N Y | 20.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Morocco | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Abiding Star | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Noble Thought | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Old Dominion | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Patriot Drive | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Willing to Speed | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rapt | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8A | 8 | Zero Gravity | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dream Doctor | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Attentive | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Home Run Maker | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13A | 13 | Twisted Tom | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 9 | Soulmate | 30.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | McErin | 1.20 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Durkin’s Call | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Topper T | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Releasethethunder | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ryan’s Cat | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Brush Country | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3A | 3 | Mo Maverick | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Freewheeler | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Colonel Tom | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Opt | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Call Me Harry | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Qian B C | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Bustin Shout | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Steelersfanforlife | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Valmont | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ghost Giant | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11A | 11 | Dowse’s Beach | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Bronx Bomber | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Palamos (GB) | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Counterparty Risk (IRE) | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Alemia | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Look Me Over | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Star Command | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Admaa | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Niceno | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Leah Chase | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | This Just In | 15.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Halo City | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Wishes and Dreams | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Miss Tapirado | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Simply Sweet | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Strings Attached | 20.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | I’m Fine | 20.00 | 12.9 | 24-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Fair Regis | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fierce Lady | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Puffery | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Playtone | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Forgotten Hero | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Speightstown Gal | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Jimmy | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Jewel of Arabia | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Quality Stones | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Letmetakethiscall | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Purrageous Dyna | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Dream Friend | 1.20 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Voting Control | 3.50 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | So High (GB) | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Kid Mercury | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Turn of Events | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Letterman | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5A | 5 | Malthael | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Impazible Odds | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Arithmetic | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Scoreswhenhewants | 30.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Quid | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | The Last Zip | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13A | 13 | Bad Guy | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Windfall Profit | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Apurate | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Fierce Scarlett | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Eye of a Soldier | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Short Pour | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gogo Shoes | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sun Summers | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fionnbharr | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Una Luna | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Wicked Amber | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Kitten’s Finest | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Fetching | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Maiden Beauty | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Invaluable | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Big Bennys Tribute | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | R V Treasure | 50.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Classy Sadie | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mebs Web | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Well Brush Mytooth | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Whistlinginthedark | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Shannon’s Girl | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 14 | 12 | Tripp Road | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Gringotts | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Anydayisherday | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Imincomunicado | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Touch of Nirvana | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dazzling Speed | 30.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | La Negrita | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Gagliano | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 11 | Sarahrini | 30.00 | 10.3 | 20-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.