November 19, 2020 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Lefootwostomps | 2.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Miss Evangeline | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Hurricane Director | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Red Dancer | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Six Pack Girl | 2.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Madame Bovery | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Vinpearl Valentine | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Exquise | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hope Garden | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Marvel | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Merino Wool | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Purple Scooter | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pearl Heist | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | J M R Bold Vision | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Grateful Praise | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Red Queen’s Court | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Someone Else | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Onezy’s Dream | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Misguided Passion | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sea Lily | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Oceans of Love | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Hell N Wild | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Raison d’Etre | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Nantucket Red | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Gamble’s Candy | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Fact Checking | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Samurai Queen | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Willy’s Castle | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Hit the Ticket | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Badjeros Boy | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Bold Animaux | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | English Illusion | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | First Spring | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lauderdale | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Miriam’s Sky | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | D’s Ben | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Seventyseven Stone | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Majestic Fever | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Reign by Rein | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Who’s Who Inthezoo | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Naughty Mabel | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Northern Cross | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 14 | 12 | Endorphin Rush | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Kerics Beauty | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dancing Note | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Erasmo’s Girl | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Saved At the Wire | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Keyed Up | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dynamic Contrast | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sisterofthemoon | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Outkickthecoverage | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 11 | Kentucky Fan | 20.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Dont Get Smart | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Text Me Up | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Clairessence | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Crumlin Time | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Twentytwentycrest | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Audrey Grace | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Calais Cove | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Munch and Crunch | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Martini Sue | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Senorita Uno | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Lea Ro | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Nice Brown Girl | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sayso | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Aramon | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cheeky Pint | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bossalina | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rapunzel’s Dream | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Londonderry | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hanchy | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | La Bonita | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sing Your Life | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bearakontie | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | You Cant Catch Her | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gizmo’s Princess | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pressure Front | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Klassy Delight | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Enhanced Finance | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Moon Rover | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Naked Illusion | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sick Society | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Clearly Seen | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.