Sports from the Basement

Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, November 19, 2020

November 19, 2020 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Lefootwostomps 2.00 3.4 6-1
9 9 Miss Evangeline 10.00 4.5 8-1
10 10 Hurricane Director 10.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Red Dancer 12.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Six Pack Girl 2.50 5.5 10-1
4 4 Madame Bovery 6.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Vinpearl Valentine 10.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Exquise 20.00 6.1 12-1
7 7 Hope Garden 20.00 6.6 13-1
1 1 Marvel 20.00 6.6 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Merino Wool 4.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Purple Scooter 3.50 3.8 7-1
4 4 Pearl Heist 2.50 3.9 7-1
2 2 J M R Bold Vision 6.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Grateful Praise 12.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Red Queen’s Court 10.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Someone Else 8.00 6.2 12-1
9 9 Onezy’s Dream 15.00 6.6 12-1
8 8 Misguided Passion 20.00 6.6 13-1
6 6 Sea Lily 15.00 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Oceans of Love 4.00 1.9 4-1
7 6 Hell N Wild 2.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Raison d’Etre 3.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Nantucket Red 6.00 2.9 5-1
4 3 Gamble’s Candy 8.00 3.3 6-1
6 5 Fact Checking 12.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Samurai Queen 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Willy’s Castle 3.00 2.4 5-1
11 11 Hit the Ticket 4.50 2.9 5-1
9 9 Badjeros Boy 4.00 3 6-1
10 10 Bold Animaux 6.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 English Illusion 8.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 First Spring 10.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Lauderdale 12.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Miriam’s Sky 12.00 6.2 12-1
3 3 D’s Ben 20.00 7.2 14-1
6 6 Seventyseven Stone 20.00 7.5 14-1
7 7 Majestic Fever 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Reign by Rein 4.50 1.9 4-1
4 4 Who’s Who Inthezoo 4.00 2.1 4-1
11 10 Naughty Mabel 2.50 2.9 6-1
8 7 Northern Cross 6.00 3 6-1
14 12 Endorphin Rush 4.50 3.4 6-1
9 8 Kerics Beauty 10.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Dancing Note 20.00 7.6 14-1
6 6 Erasmo’s Girl 20.00 7.8 15-1
10 9 Saved At the Wire 20.00 8 15-1
3 3 Keyed Up 20.00 8.6 16-1
5 5 Dynamic Contrast 20.00 8.9 17-1
7 7 Sisterofthemoon 10.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Outkickthecoverage 8.00 SCRATCH
12 11 Kentucky Fan 20.00 10.5 20-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Dont Get Smart 2.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Text Me Up 3.50 2.3 4-1
3 3 Clairessence 3.00 2.7 5-1
9 8 Crumlin Time 10.00 4.1 8-1
7 6 Twentytwentycrest 8.00 4.4 8-1
10 9 Audrey Grace 12.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 Calais Cove 20.00 6.5 12-1
8 7 Munch and Crunch 20.00 7 13-1
4 4 Martini Sue 20.00 7.6 14-1
6 6 Senorita Uno 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Lea Ro 2.00 2.5 5-1
9 9 Nice Brown Girl 3.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Sayso 4.50 2.9 5-1
1 1 Aramon 6.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Cheeky Pint 8.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Bossalina 10.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Rapunzel’s Dream 12.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 Londonderry 15.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Hanchy 20.00 6.4 12-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 La Bonita 2.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Sing Your Life 6.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Bearakontie 3.00 3.5 7-1
9 9 You Cant Catch Her 8.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Gizmo’s Princess 10.00 6.2 12-1
5 5 Pressure Front 20.00 7.7 15-1
12 12 Klassy Delight 20.00 7.8 15-1
8 8 Enhanced Finance 20.00 8.3 16-1
11 11 Moon Rover 20.00 8.3 16-1
2 2 Naked Illusion 20.00 8.5 16-1
3 3 Sick Society 20.00 8.8 17-1
10 10 Clearly Seen 20.00 9.1 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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