Sports from the Basement

Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks for Monday, November 16, 2020

November 16, 2020 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1A 2 Watch Your Words 2.50 2.9 5-1
3 3 Strong Breeze 4.50 2.9 6-1
2 1 True Wisdom 3.50 3.4 6-1
7 7 Truly a Moon Shot 5.00 5.5 10-1
2X 10 These Blues 3.50 5.6 11-1
5 5 Inky Dinky Do 8.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Ironbound 10.00 6.6 13-1
8 8 Brio Man 12.00 7.3 14-1
6 6 Incensed 10.00 7.3 14-1
9 9 Monteleone 5.00 7.3 14-1
1 1 They Shot Sonny 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Jayjaydee 1.80 4.2 8-1
8 7 Gray Little Meadow 5.00 4.3 8-1
7 6 Best Start 12.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Shiloh Lane 6.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Epigrammatist 20.00 5 9-1
3 3 Afleet Melody 2.00 5.8 11-1
6 5 Pop Pop’s Boy 15.00 5.9 11-1
9 8 Commissioner Dave 15.00 6 11-1
5 5 Railroad Bill 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Boston Light 2.00 2.9 6-1
1 1 Partner’s Power 8.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Royal Coup 5.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Happyascanb 3.00 4.2 8-1
8 7 Bob in Our Midst 12.00 4.5 8-1
4 4 Audience of One 4.50 5.1 10-1
6 5 Always Free 20.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Tempting the Tiger 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Chub Wagon 4.50 3.7 7-1
2 2 Risque’s Jewel 4.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Connoisseur 10.00 4.5 9-1
7 7 Paloma Gris 6.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Ain’t None Lucky 1.60 5.4 10-1
9 9 Sour Mash 8.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Three Potatoe Four 15.00 6.1 12-1
6 6 Glossy Madrina 15.00 6.2 12-1
8 8 Rack Daddy 20.00 6.6 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Nevisian Sunset 2.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Lady Joanna 15.00 4.6 9-1
9 8 Soul Planet 3.50 4.9 9-1
5 4 Supergirl Power 8.00 5.3 10-1
6 5 Free Coffee 4.50 5.5 10-1
8 7 Pastiche 20.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Savannah’s Dream 15.00 5.9 11-1
7 6 Georgia Bonnet 15.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Aleda Lutz 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Double the Bet 5.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 Monaco Princess 3.00 2.9 6-1
5 5 J J Loves Billy 2.50 3.4 6-1
2 2 She’s Primo 12.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Sexyama 4.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 The Circle Game 12.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Atina Salsa 8.00 5.2 10-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Grace and Peace 3.00 3 6-1
7 7 Bucks Some 4.50 3.5 7-1
1 1 Lady Magica 5.00 3.7 7-1
8 8 Cawaja Time 3.50 3.9 7-1
6 6 Up Just in Time 6.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Oceano Rosso 8.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Gambit’s Girl 6.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Bangle Gal 8.00 6.1 12-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Chrisatude 5.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Barcode 2.50 4 8-1
4 4 Geebert 10.00 4.4 8-1
9 9 Stay Hydrated 4.50 5.1 10-1
5 5 Arrecife 15.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 Strawberry Red 12.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Screen Saver 4.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Valentine Bug 8.00 6 11-1
6 6 Tomasco 15.00 6.3 12-1
10 10 Jw’s Third Mischie 20.00 6.8 13-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Thundershook 2.50 3.1 6-1
1 1 Thiscatcanjump 6.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Spirit Special 4.50 3.8 7-1
1A 3 Press My Bets 6.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Inter Miami 3.50 4.5 9-1
6 6 Final Shot 10.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Brilliant Chase 3.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Bojingle 15.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 Dancing Bull 12.00 6.1 11-1
3 3 Storm Advisory 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 7 Tomarie 1.20 4.3 8-1
1A 5 Silver Excess 3.00 4.4 8-1
9 8 Finishing School 8.00 4.9 9-1
1 3 Owesaycanyousee 3.00 5.5 10-1
6 4 Hola Princess 20.00 7.5 14-1
7 6 Anissa 8.00 7.9 15-1
10 9 Chancee 20.00 8 15-1
3 1 Theodosia 12.00 8 15-1
5 2 There Goes My Girl 20.00 8.2 16-1
2X 10 Heatherly 1.20 SCRATCH
4 2 West Horizen 6.00 SCRATCH
8 9 Call Me Jelly Roll 10.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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