November 16, 2020 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 2 | Watch Your Words | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Strong Breeze | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | True Wisdom | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Truly a Moon Shot | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2X | 10 | These Blues | 3.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Inky Dinky Do | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ironbound | 10.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Brio Man | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Incensed | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Monteleone | 5.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | They Shot Sonny | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Jayjaydee | 1.80 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Gray Little Meadow | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Best Start | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shiloh Lane | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Epigrammatist | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Afleet Melody | 2.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Pop Pop’s Boy | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Commissioner Dave | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Railroad Bill | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Boston Light | 2.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Partner’s Power | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Royal Coup | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Happyascanb | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Bob in Our Midst | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Audience of One | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Always Free | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tempting the Tiger | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Chub Wagon | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Risque’s Jewel | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Connoisseur | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Paloma Gris | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ain’t None Lucky | 1.60 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sour Mash | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Three Potatoe Four | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Glossy Madrina | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Rack Daddy | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Nevisian Sunset | 2.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lady Joanna | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Soul Planet | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Supergirl Power | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Free Coffee | 4.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Pastiche | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Savannah’s Dream | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Georgia Bonnet | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Aleda Lutz | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Double the Bet | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Monaco Princess | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | J J Loves Billy | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | She’s Primo | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sexyama | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | The Circle Game | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Atina Salsa | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Grace and Peace | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bucks Some | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lady Magica | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cawaja Time | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Up Just in Time | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Oceano Rosso | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gambit’s Girl | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bangle Gal | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Chrisatude | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Barcode | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Geebert | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Stay Hydrated | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Arrecife | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Strawberry Red | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Screen Saver | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Valentine Bug | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tomasco | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Jw’s Third Mischie | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Thundershook | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Thiscatcanjump | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Spirit Special | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1A | 3 | Press My Bets | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Inter Miami | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Final Shot | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Brilliant Chase | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bojingle | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dancing Bull | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Storm Advisory | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 7 | Tomarie | 1.20 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1A | 5 | Silver Excess | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Finishing School | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Owesaycanyousee | 3.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Hola Princess | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Anissa | 8.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Chancee | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Theodosia | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 2 | There Goes My Girl | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 2X | 10 | Heatherly | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 2 | West Horizen | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 9 | Call Me Jelly Roll | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.