Sports from the Basement

Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, November 15, 2020

November 15, 2020 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Final Strike 3.50 3.1 6-1
5 5 Animal Krackers 4.00 3.9 7-1
10 10 Creative Force 10.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Red Astaire 3.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 Big Time Gizmo 8.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Sea Scout 6.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Lookin’ Fly 20.00 5.9 11-1
11 11 Turf Flight 15.00 6 11-1
9 9 Another Breeze 20.00 6 11-1
1 1 Danielle’s Song 20.00 7.6 14-1
6 6 Romeos Law 20.00 7.6 14-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Miracle Silver 3.50 3 6-1
7 7 Gearhead 5.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Society’s Tiger 8.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Carmenootz 6.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Glenville Gardens 2.50 4.9 9-1
3 3 Where’s the Widget 8.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Federal Law 12.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Artistico 15.00 6.3 12-1
8 8 Night Watchman 20.00 6.5 12-1
9 9 Nevaeh’s Valentine 20.00 7.4 14-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 In All Alone 2.00 1.1 2-1
2 2 Aim for the Sky 2.50 2.3 4-1
4 4 Union Colonel 6.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Racing in the Rain 4.00 2.9 6-1
5 5 Canola World 8.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Phase Out 12.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Northern Conquest 15.00 5.4 10-1
9 9 Chancel 20.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Silent Risk 20.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Abbaa 2.50 2.6 5-1
1 1 Kitchen Fire 3.50 3.3 6-1
6 6 Courtly Manner 4.00 3.3 6-1
9 9 Pink Lemonade 6.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 El Chairman 10.00 4.2 8-1
11 11 Silver Sheriff 12.00 5 9-1
5 5 Dot’s Vision 12.00 6 11-1
10 10 Gunner Ben 15.00 7 13-1
7 7 Grom 20.00 7.4 14-1
8 8 Thor’s Thunder 20.00 7.5 14-1
3 3 Other Things Equal 20.00 8.1 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Silent and Smart 5.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Silent But Violent 6.00 3 6-1
8 8 Musical Ride 4.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Using Coconuts 10.00 3.6 7-1
12 12 Gamble’s Silver 10.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 For My Elbi 3.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Very Savvy 8.00 4.7 9-1
9 9 Owen’s Tour Guide 12.00 5.5 10-1
10 10 Rubyinthestars 20.00 6.6 12-1
6 6 La Princessa Polly 20.00 6.7 13-1
2 2 Shez a Sealy 20.00 7.8 15-1
11 11 Everyminitevryhour 20.00 7.9 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Truffle King 4.50 2.2 4-1
12 12 Correlate 4.00 2.7 5-1
15 15 Beyond My Dreams 5.00 3.2 6-1
9 9 Upstart Gentleman 8.00 4 8-1
2 2 Keep Grinding 6.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Tape to Tape 12.00 4.6 9-1
11 11 Hiatus 3.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Justintimegosnorth 15.00 6.4 12-1
3 3 Belentime 20.00 8 15-1
1 1 Polterer 20.00 8.4 16-1
5 5 Liars Club 20.00 8.8 17-1
14 14 Pool Side 20.00 9.2 17-1
13 13 Lumberjack 20.00 9.7 18-1
6 6 Go Take Charge 20.00 9.8 18-1
10 10 Maximus Momentus 20.00 10.7 20-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Red Storm Risen 6.00 3.8 7-1
13 13 Red Hierarchy 3.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Elektronic 10.00 4.4 8-1
8 8 Ready Soul 4.00 4.4 8-1
12 12 Champit 12.00 5.9 11-1
9 9 Lead Director 15.00 6.3 12-1
11 11 Striking Moon 10.00 6.7 13-1
10 10 Wheat King 15.00 6.9 13-1
5 5 Town Cruise 12.00 6.9 13-1
3 3 Crawl From the Bar 20.00 7.9 15-1
4 4 Sycamore Run 20.00 8.6 16-1
7 7 Stormy Soul 15.00 8.7 17-1
2 2 Prince of Thieves 20.00 8.8 17-1
14 14 Sandy Bay 20.00 8.9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Frost King S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Avoman 2.00 1.9 4-1
8 8 Dragon’s Brew 4.00 3 6-1
6 6 All Canadian 3.00 3 6-1
3 3 Candy Overload 8.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Blind Trust 10.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Souper Classy 6.00 4.1 8-1
9 9 Forest Survivor 12.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Red River Rebel 20.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 De Only Solution 20.00 6.4 12-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Green Fleet 2.50 1.5 3-1
6 6 Sweepin Hard 3.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Greek Geek 6.00 3 6-1
9 9 Easy Weekend 4.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 Have a Souper Day 8.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Palace Coup 8.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Lion Kingdom 12.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Insider Trading 20.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Lion’s Goldenheart 20.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Souper Hot 2.50 2.7 5-1
2 2 Checkerboard Floor 3.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Four Aces High 8.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 Bend in the River 6.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Tricky Magician 4.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Truebelieve 10.00 3.4 7-1
10 10 Ima Beast 20.00 6 11-1
4 4 Yzerman 20.00 6.5 12-1
11 11 Rockcrest 20.00 6.6 12-1
9 9 Detroit Steel (IRE) 30.00 7.4 14-1
7 7 Kaili’s Big Boy 30.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 One More Drift 3.00 2.8 5-1
12 12 Lucky Street 5.00 2.9 5-1
10 10 Katz On the Moon 4.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Big Time Louie 6.00 4 7-1
1 1 Dyna’s Gamble 8.00 4.4 8-1
11 11 Hesathriller 10.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Hardy Candy 12.00 5.4 10-1
9 9 Absolution 20.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 Kilkenny Prospect 20.00 6.7 13-1
5 5 Lyrical Note 20.00 7.1 13-1
8 8 Cat’s Whisper 20.00 7.7 14-1
4 4 Itstartswithadrink 20.00 7.8 15-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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