November 15, 2020 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Final Strike | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Animal Krackers | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Creative Force | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Red Astaire | 3.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Big Time Gizmo | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sea Scout | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lookin’ Fly | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Turf Flight | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Another Breeze | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Danielle’s Song | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Romeos Law | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Miracle Silver | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gearhead | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Society’s Tiger | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Carmenootz | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Glenville Gardens | 2.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Where’s the Widget | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Federal Law | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Artistico | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Night Watchman | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Nevaeh’s Valentine | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | In All Alone | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Aim for the Sky | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Union Colonel | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Racing in the Rain | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Canola World | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Phase Out | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Northern Conquest | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Chancel | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Silent Risk | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Abbaa | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kitchen Fire | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Courtly Manner | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Pink Lemonade | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | El Chairman | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Silver Sheriff | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dot’s Vision | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Gunner Ben | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Grom | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Thor’s Thunder | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Other Things Equal | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Silent and Smart | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Silent But Violent | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Musical Ride | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Using Coconuts | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Gamble’s Silver | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | For My Elbi | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Very Savvy | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Owen’s Tour Guide | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Rubyinthestars | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | La Princessa Polly | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shez a Sealy | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Everyminitevryhour | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Truffle King | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Correlate | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Beyond My Dreams | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Upstart Gentleman | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Keep Grinding | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tape to Tape | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Hiatus | 3.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Justintimegosnorth | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Belentime | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Polterer | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Liars Club | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Pool Side | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Lumberjack | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Go Take Charge | 20.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Maximus Momentus | 20.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Red Storm Risen | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Red Hierarchy | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Elektronic | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ready Soul | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Champit | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lead Director | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Striking Moon | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Wheat King | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Town Cruise | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Crawl From the Bar | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sycamore Run | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Stormy Soul | 15.00 | 8.7 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Prince of Thieves | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Sandy Bay | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Frost King S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Avoman | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dragon’s Brew | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | All Canadian | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Candy Overload | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Blind Trust | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Souper Classy | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Forest Survivor | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Red River Rebel | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | De Only Solution | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Green Fleet | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sweepin Hard | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Greek Geek | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Easy Weekend | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Have a Souper Day | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Palace Coup | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lion Kingdom | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Insider Trading | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lion’s Goldenheart | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Souper Hot | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Checkerboard Floor | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Four Aces High | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bend in the River | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tricky Magician | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Truebelieve | 10.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Ima Beast | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Yzerman | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Rockcrest | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Detroit Steel (IRE) | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kaili’s Big Boy | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | One More Drift | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Lucky Street | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Katz On the Moon | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Big Time Louie | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dyna’s Gamble | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Hesathriller | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hardy Candy | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Absolution | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kilkenny Prospect | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lyrical Note | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cat’s Whisper | 20.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Itstartswithadrink | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.