November 15, 2020 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Colombian Gold | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Too Much Heaven | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lady Noguez | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | A G Indy | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Loud Loud Music | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Star of Africa | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sabinos Pride | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | White Velvet | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Win Like Coach P | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Capital Heat | 1.80 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cheerful Charm | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ole Silver | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Elgofranco | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Little Miss Belle | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fierce Kitty | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Turn the Switch | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Seeking Refuge | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Honos Man | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Big City Bane | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tejon | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Silent Musketier | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Go Time | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mr Right Now | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Tiz Vicious | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Charlito | 1.60 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Seiche | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mongolian Kingdom | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Munnings’ Pilot | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Tapitution | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | She’s Devoted | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ana Lisa | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sofi’s Gold | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | D’s Lovely Sophia | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Time for Ebby | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Concise Advice | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Silk From Heaven | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Eye On Tiger | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | La Aguililla | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Threearchbaymafia | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Follow the Lute | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Lucky Ryan Seven | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Acting Cat | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Twirling Derby | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | El Mas Poderoso | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Floyd Moneymaker | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Wild Cat Canyon | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Git On Your Pulpit | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Hermaphrodite (FR) | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Velvet Queen | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | All Quality | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | On Mars | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shanghai Truffles | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Paid Informant | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Equal Measure | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Bob Hope S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Uncle Boogie | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Spielberg | 1.20 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ambivalent | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Red Flag | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Weston | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Coastal Kid | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Velvet | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Evoo | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Magical Thought | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Philly Lishes | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Freedom Flyer | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Investment Grade | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Made in Karoo | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | American Heights | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Judy With Grace | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bathory | 30.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Royal Blend | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Quick and Dirty | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Chrome of Our Own | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Cami Kate | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.