November 14, 2020 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Jah Grace | 30.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Third Card Down | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Win Then Grin | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Thunderturtle | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Simmard Shenanigan | 2.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | La Shirimp | 1.80 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sundrenched | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Katie’s Notion | 20.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Da Chrome | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Uncle Cecil | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Count the Shells | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Get Lit | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Spanish d’Oro | 5.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | It’s Sizzling Time | 4.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Portal One | 1.80 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | Hidden Talent | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rum Bobby | 10.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Runner Runner Indy | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Hostile Witness | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Feature Act | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Officer Matute | 20.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Talented Dr. B | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Champagne’s On Ice | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Rockin Ron | 20.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gottaway | 20.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Martini Lane | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | El Rojo | 30.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | B Determined | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Sing a Verse | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Muhlenberg | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Audacious Quality | 6.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Thatwouldbegrand | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | The Quantico Kid | 10.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Forfiftyfiverocket | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | My Man Pots N Pans | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Back to Back | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Start From Scratch | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Royal Thunder | 6.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Hard Sting | 6.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Welling | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Degas | 12.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | English Tavern | 10.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lasting Image | 12.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Riggins | 12.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Silent Malice | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Toe Curlin’ Kiss | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Awesome Jazz | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Marie From Parie | 20.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Folk Magic | 5.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Joyful Noise | 12.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Majestic Pic | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Starting Tour | 1.80 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Swirrlie Shirlie | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lady Rozina | 30.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Petion Lass | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Smart Halo S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Out of Sorts | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Be Sneaky | 10.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Prodigy Doll | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Swirling Dancer | 20.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Street Lute | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Donnybrook Girl | 15.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Docs Seven | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Supreme Blessing | 30.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – James F. Lewis Iii S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Heir Port | 8.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Kenny Had a Notion | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Texas Basin | 15.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | No Cents | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Fearless Fly | 20.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dalton | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Singlino | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lugamo | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ain’t Da Beer Cold | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Xtreme Mayhem | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Blue Sky Painter | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tyreek | 10.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Booyakasha | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Justacallaway | 10.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tiz Auction Time | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Despite Odds | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Two Doors Down | 12.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Don Ciccio | 15.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fellow | 30.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wye Mumbo | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.