November 14, 2020 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Irish Aura | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Superstition | 1.80 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lilypop | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Marie | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Vegas Palm | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shizaam (IRE) | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Le Tub | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Pharoah’s Heart | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Hapi Hapi | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Next Revolt | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Babael | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Alvaaro | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Single Me Out | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Show Business | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Causeididitmyway | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Baby Gronk | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | England’s Rose | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | This Tea | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Ya Beauty (GB) | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Awesome Ella | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Lookintogeteven | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Shes’a Perfectlady | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rocking Redhead | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lookin So Lucky | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Bellize | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Let’s Go Now | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Honoring Major | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wilshire Dude | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pubilius Syrus | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Conquest Cobra | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Camino de Estrella | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Move Over (GB) | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | New Year | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Little Liliana | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Flag Salute | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Agata | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Sircat Nelly | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Coco’s Joy | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Race Judicata | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Del Mar Flash | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Squared Shady | 3.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Princess Sadie | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Ms Michelle | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Our Little Tiger | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Dontmesswithtess | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Kiss Today Goodbye | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Canadian Pride | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Secret Touch | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Mystery Man | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dark Prince | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Blue Jays | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Oil Can Knight | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Divine Armor | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | One Flew South | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Factorial | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Preaching Trainer | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Thanks Mr. Eidson | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Psycho Dar | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mr. Lovejoy | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Quick Finish | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Undeniable Proof | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Flip the Coin Jan | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Desi Arnaz S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Private Mission | 1.80 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Astute | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Queengol | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Heels Up | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Costa Rica | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Canoodling | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Plum Sexy | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Varda | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Circleofchampions | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Discretionary Day | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Big Story | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Moving Fast | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Warrens Candy Man | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Big Flint | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Whiskey Vision | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Blue Star | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Club Champ | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Alpine Thunder | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Club Cal | 30.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Big Talker | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | That Corey | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | By Moonlight | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.