Sports from the Basement

Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, November 8, 2020

November 8, 2020 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Fabiolla (GB) 2.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 La Croix Valmer 4.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 She’s Got Moves 6.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Twister Alert 8.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Cedar Valley 8.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Souper Pecan 3.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 Red Fuji 12.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 I’m Not Perfect 15.00 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Letthebighossroll 4.00 3.8 7-1
10 10 Fast Negotiations 3.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Conquistador 6.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Call Me Wally 3.50 5.7 11-1
8 8 Gorgeous Kitten 10.00 6.3 12-1
5 5 Kitten’s Solution 8.00 6.6 12-1
1 1 Bel Bimbo 10.00 6.6 12-1
6 6 Pink Lemonade 12.00 7.1 13-1
3 3 Gasconade 20.00 7.6 14-1
4 4 Distinct Passion 20.00 8 15-1
11 11 Crawl From the Bar 2.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Thor’s Thunder 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Strike At Dawn 3.00 1.4 3-1
8 8 Runway Dreamer 4.00 1.7 3-1
4 4 Preferred Guest 6.00 2.4 5-1
7 7 Mystic Nile 8.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Tuned (GB) 1.80 3.2 6-1
2 2 Above All Names 10.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Fact Checking 15.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Alice’s War 20.00 6.1 12-1
9 9 Moonlight Rain 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Cohiba Ghost 4.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Barilko 3.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Chasing Vinny 8.00 4.4 8-1
11 11 Jersey Diamond 5.00 4.5 9-1
10 10 Trappeze Artist 10.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Act of Bob 8.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Dark Ale 12.00 6.4 12-1
12 12 Healy’s Hope 12.00 7.1 13-1
4 4 Bet Alpha 20.00 9.3 18-1
3 3 Goldmine Cat 20.00 9.8 18-1
2 2 White Wedding 20.00 10 19-1
13 13 Papa D 10.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Hey Congrats 3.50 SCRATCH
7 7 Red Frog 20.00 10.7 20-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Magic Spin 2.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Tragically Quewick 4.00 2.1 4-1
7 6 Arzak 6.00 2.8 5-1
13 12 Beau Guest 8.00 3.3 6-1
9 8 Ready Hero 8.00 3.5 7-1
11 10 Jackman 10.00 3.8 7-1
12 11 Absolutist 12.00 4.9 9-1
8 7 Longandshortofit 15.00 6.8 13-1
5 5 Kawacatoose 20.00 6.8 13-1
10 9 Spite Store 15.00 7.5 14-1
4 4 Eastwind 20.00 8.6 16-1
2 2 Heehaa 20.00 9.9 19-1
6 6 Twelve O One 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 5 Speedy Hans 5.00 2.6 5-1
3 2 Succeedandsurpass (IRE) 3.00 3.2 6-1
8 6 Tecumseh’s War 4.00 3.3 6-1
10 8 Peace of Ekati 6.00 4.7 9-1
4 3 Native Prince 8.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Finalist 12.00 5.8 11-1
9 7 Pleasecallmeback 12.00 5.9 11-1
11 9 Ron’s Gizmo 15.00 7.8 15-1
6 4 Capable 20.00 8.4 16-1
2 2 Prideofdistinction 12.00 SCRATCH
5 4 Dot’s Vision 20.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Society’s Tiger 10.00 SCRATCH
12 10 Bexar 20.00 10.5 20-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Out of Romance 2.50 1.5 3-1
6 6 Conzip 4.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Fancysoul 12.00 4.5 9-1
11 11 Ms Wicked 10.00 4.6 9-1
9 9 El Valor 8.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Sky of Dreams 8.00 4.9 9-1
12 12 Mitzi 6.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Overstate 15.00 6.4 12-1
10 10 Victoriaville 20.00 6.9 13-1
8 8 Knew as a Breeze 20.00 7.3 14-1
4 4 Bodensee 20.00 8.1 15-1
7 7 War Empress 20.00 8.2 15-1
13 13 Outkickthecoverage 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Strike Now 4.00 1.4 3-1
2 2 Pitching Fast 3.50 1.7 3-1
10 10 Voltamour 6.00 2 4-1
5 5 Pound Green 3.00 3 6-1
6 6 Dr. Green 8.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Unbridled Tizzy 15.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Wave Baby 10.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Opus North 12.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Winners Club 20.00 5.2 10-1
8 8 Love of Mine 20.00 6.8 13-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 11 Show Some Skin 2.50 3.8 7-1
4 4 Purple Scooter 6.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Asha Ironborn 4.00 3.8 7-1
11 10 Roche’s Point 10.00 5.7 11-1
8 8 Could Be Fate 12.00 7.1 14-1
10 9 Shanghai Kimmy 15.00 7.4 14-1
5 5 Hasn’t Hit Me Yet 20.00 7.5 14-1
6 6 I Am I Said 20.00 8.5 16-1
3 3 Noniobusiness 20.00 9.1 17-1
7 7 Touch of Rouge 20.00 9.2 17-1
9 9 Eight Speed 8.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Zoysia 3.50 SCRATCH
1 1 Later Gator 20.00 10.2 19-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Lord Wimborne (IRE) 3.00 2.4 5-1
7 7 English Classic 4.50 3.6 7-1
9 9 Preacher Power 6.00 3.6 7-1
10 10 Kitten’s Boy 8.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Awesome Miner 10.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Shangassah 10.00 5.6 10-1
4 4 Jammin Still 12.00 6.1 11-1
6 6 We Take Checks 20.00 7.8 15-1
3 3 Am Prepared 20.00 8 15-1
1 1 Doctor Uptown 20.00 9.2 17-1
11 11 Awesome Tiger 3.50 SCRATCH
12 12 Green Fleet 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Suitedconnected 3.00 2.6 5-1
9 9 Hard n’Sweet 4.00 3 6-1
13 13 Zoological 10.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Spring Edition 8.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Majestic Melody 8.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Truly Elite 10.00 4.7 9-1
12 12 Fright Night 6.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Double the Heart 15.00 6.2 12-1
10 10 Seemee 15.00 6.3 12-1
11 11 Prison Padre 20.00 6.8 13-1
5 5 Cat’s Whisper 20.00 6.8 13-1
4 4 Itstartswithadrink 30.00 8.3 16-1
1 1 Ice Challenge 30.00 10.4 20-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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