November 8, 2020 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Fabiolla (GB) | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | La Croix Valmer | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | She’s Got Moves | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Twister Alert | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cedar Valley | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Souper Pecan | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Red Fuji | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | I’m Not Perfect | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Letthebighossroll | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Fast Negotiations | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Conquistador | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Call Me Wally | 3.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Gorgeous Kitten | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kitten’s Solution | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bel Bimbo | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pink Lemonade | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gasconade | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Distinct Passion | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Crawl From the Bar | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Thor’s Thunder | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Strike At Dawn | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Runway Dreamer | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Preferred Guest | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mystic Nile | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tuned (GB) | 1.80 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Above All Names | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fact Checking | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Alice’s War | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Moonlight Rain | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Cohiba Ghost | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Barilko | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chasing Vinny | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Jersey Diamond | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Trappeze Artist | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Act of Bob | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dark Ale | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Healy’s Hope | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bet Alpha | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Goldmine Cat | 20.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | White Wedding | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Papa D | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Hey Congrats | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Red Frog | 20.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Magic Spin | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tragically Quewick | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Arzak | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Beau Guest | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Ready Hero | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Jackman | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Absolutist | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Longandshortofit | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kawacatoose | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Spite Store | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Eastwind | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Heehaa | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Twelve O One | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 5 | Speedy Hans | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Succeedandsurpass (IRE) | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Tecumseh’s War | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Peace of Ekati | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Native Prince | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Finalist | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Pleasecallmeback | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Ron’s Gizmo | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Capable | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Prideofdistinction | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Dot’s Vision | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Society’s Tiger | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 10 | Bexar | 20.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Out of Romance | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Conzip | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fancysoul | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Ms Wicked | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | El Valor | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sky of Dreams | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Mitzi | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Overstate | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Victoriaville | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Knew as a Breeze | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bodensee | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | War Empress | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Outkickthecoverage | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Strike Now | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pitching Fast | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Voltamour | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pound Green | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dr. Green | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Unbridled Tizzy | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wave Baby | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Opus North | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Winners Club | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Love of Mine | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 11 | Show Some Skin | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Purple Scooter | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Asha Ironborn | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Roche’s Point | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Could Be Fate | 12.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Shanghai Kimmy | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hasn’t Hit Me Yet | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | I Am I Said | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Noniobusiness | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Touch of Rouge | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Eight Speed | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Zoysia | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Later Gator | 20.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Lord Wimborne (IRE) | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | English Classic | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Preacher Power | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Kitten’s Boy | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Awesome Miner | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Shangassah | 10.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jammin Still | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | We Take Checks | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Am Prepared | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Doctor Uptown | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Awesome Tiger | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Green Fleet | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Suitedconnected | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Hard n’Sweet | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Zoological | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Spring Edition | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Majestic Melody | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Truly Elite | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Fright Night | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Double the Heart | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Seemee | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Prison Padre | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cat’s Whisper | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Itstartswithadrink | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ice Challenge | 30.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.