November 7, 2020 Keeneland Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Stakes) – Perryville S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Relentless Dancer | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Nashville | 0.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fore Left | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bango | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Little Menace | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cajun Brother | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wild Wes | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Stakes) – Lafayette S. Presented By Keeneland Select
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Midnight Sands | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Engage | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Phat Man | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 11 | 11 | True Timber | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sleepy Eyes Todd | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ebben | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Everfast | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Strike That | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Mind Control | 8.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Edgemont Road | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Absolutely Aiden | 10.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dinar | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Qatar Fort Springs S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Merneith | 3.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Wicked Whisper | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Miss T Too | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Anna’s Fast | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Motivated Seller | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Fair Maiden | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Boerne | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ain’t No Elmers | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Rising Seas | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Artie’s Princess | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Regal Beauty | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Breeders’ Cup Filly And Mare Sprint
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Serengeti Empress | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Speech | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Venetian Harbor | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Come Dancing | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Bell’s the One | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gamine | 1.40 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Sconsin | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Sally’s Curlin | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Inthemidstofbiz | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Breeders’ Cup Turf Sprint
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Leinster | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Got Stormy | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Imprimis | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Big Runnuer | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Glass Slippers (GB) | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bombard | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Wet Your Whistle | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Extravagant Kid | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Wildman Jack | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Front Run the Fed | 12.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Into Mystic | 12.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Equilateral (GB) | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Chaos Theory | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 17 | 17 | Archidust | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 18 | 18 | Bulletproof One | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Oleksandra (AUS) | 12.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Texas Wedge | 20.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Just Might | 30.00 | 15.6 | 29-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Big Ass Fans Breeders’ Cup Dirt Mile
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Knicks Go | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Complexity | 2.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Owendale | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | War of Will | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rushie | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mr Freeze | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Art Collector | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sharp Samurai | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mr. Money | 20.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Pirate’s Punch | 20.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Pingxiang | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Jesus’ Team | 30.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Silver Dust | 30.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Maker’s Mark Breeders’ Cup Filly And Mare Turf
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Mean Mary | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rushing Fall | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Starship Jubilee | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | My Sister Nat (FR) | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sistercharlie (IRE) | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Civil Union | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Harvey’s Lil Goil | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Cayenne Pepper (IRE) | 8.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Nay Lady Nay (IRE) | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Peaceful (IRE) | 12.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Audarya (FR) | 12.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mucho Unusual | 30.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Lady Prancealot (IRE) | 30.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Terebellum (IRE) | 20.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Breeders’ Cup Sprint
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Yaupon | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | C Z Rocket | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Diamond Oops | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Frank’s Rockette | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Firenze Fire | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Whitmore | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Collusion Illusion | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Jasper Prince | 30.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Echo Town | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Vekoma | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Manny Wah | 30.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Hog Creek Hustle | 30.00 | 12.5 | 24-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bon Raison | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 | |
| 15 | 14 | Lasting Legacy | 30.00 | 13.3 | 25-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Empire of Gold | 30.00 | 14.4 | 27-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Fanduel Breeders’ Cup Mile Presented By Pdjf
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Digital Age (IRE) | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Uni (GB) | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Ivar (BRZ) | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Factor This | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 14 | 13 | Raging Bull (FR) | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Halladay | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kameko | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | March to the Arch | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Siskin | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Circus Maximus (IRE) | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Casa Creed | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Safe Voyage (IRE) | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | One Master (GB) | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Lope Y Fernandez (IRE) | 30.00 | 12.9 | 24-1 | |
| 15 | 14 | Order of Australia (IRE) | 30.00 | 12.9 | 24-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Longines Breeders’ Cup Distaff
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Monomoy Girl | 1.60 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Horologist | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ollie’s Candy | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Swiss Skydiver | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lady Kate | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ce Ce | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Harvest Moon | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dunbar Road | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Valiance | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Point of Honor | 30.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Longines Breeders’ Cup Turf
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Arklow | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Magical (IRE) | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Channel Maker | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Mogul (GB) | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tarnawa (IRE) | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | United | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lord North (IRE) | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Red King | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mehdaayih (GB) | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Donjah (GER) | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Stakes) – Longines Breeders’ Cup Classic
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Improbable | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tom’s d’Etat | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tiz the Law | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | By My Standards | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Maximum Security | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Authentic | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Higher Power | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tacitus | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Global Campaign | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Title Ready | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.