Sports from the Basement

Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, November 7, 2020

November 7, 2020 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Grit and Glory 3.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Unrelenting Force 2.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Blood Moon 5.00 3 6-1
2 2 Striking Speed 3.00 3.1 6-1
7 6 Joint and Several 12.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Titan’s Will 15.00 6.2 12-1
6 6 Cobble Hill 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 10 Ghostghostghost 5.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Bonus Baby 3.50 2.8 5-1
7 6 Running On Entry 4.50 3.1 6-1
2 2 Rosey’s Invasion 10.00 3.8 7-1
9 8 Dream Chasing 4.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Sandra’s Mine 8.00 4.5 9-1
3 3 Here Comes Meg 15.00 4.7 9-1
12 11 Excited Feeling 10.00 4.9 9-1
10 9 Vinita 20.00 5.3 10-1
13 12 Cemetery V I P 20.00 6.9 13-1
4 4 Dustinthewind 30.00 8.7 17-1
6 6 Big Red Girl 15.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Tiny Magoo 5.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Grape Therapy 3.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Hey It’s Tati 3.50 SCRATCH
8 7 Steppin’ Hawk 50.00 11.4 22-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Turnback The Alarm H.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Nonna Madeline 1.20 1.5 3-1
2 2 Royal Flag 1.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Another Broad 5.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 Mrs. Orb 10.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Graceful Princess 15.00 3.6 7-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Winters Back 3.00 1.5 3-1
9 8 Clemenza 4.00 1.5 3-1
1 1 Ethos 2.50 2.3 4-1
7 6 Bay Street Money 4.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Johnnypump 6.00 2.9 5-1
8 7 Exult 8.00 3.7 7-1
6 5 Makoto 15.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Vriodini 30.00 7.2 14-1
5 5 Corkman 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Chaysenbryn 2.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Positive Skew 6.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Princess in Charge 2.50 2.8 5-1
5 5 Mani Pedi 4.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Hayezhee 10.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 She’s a Lumberjane 10.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Tripp Road 15.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Wild North 20.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Syzygy 30.00 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Destinationwnrscir 15.00 SCRATCH
6 5 Teetotaler 3.50 2.4 4-1
10 9 Twelve Toes 8.00 3.2 6-1
9 8 Jamaica Joy 8.00 3.8 7-1
8 7 Chilly Choos 10.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Summer Brew 2.00 4.5 8-1
4 3 Poncho Song 12.00 5.2 10-1
3 2 Out First 15.00 6 11-1
11 10 Stormi Cat Lady 15.00 6.8 13-1
5 4 Photofinish Jeanne 20.00 7.1 13-1
7 6 Caramocha 20.00 8 15-1
12 12 Tassi 20.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Early Edition 30.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Gun Hill Girl 15.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Bella Principessa 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 River Nile 4.00 1.9 4-1
10 10 Empire Express 3.00 2 4-1
8 8 Posse Can Disco 10.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Ringgood 4.50 3.4 6-1
4 4 Brickyard 10.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Talespin 8.00 5 9-1
12 12 Fusilli 10.00 5.2 10-1
11 11 Mr. Fidget 12.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Never Hold Back 20.00 6.9 13-1
5 5 Mighty Wind 20.00 7.6 14-1
9 9 Liquor 15.00 7.9 15-1
3 3 Have a Heart 30.00 9.7 18-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Stewart Manor S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Magisterium (IRE) 2.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Honey Pants 3.50 2.4 5-1
2 2 Magical Soul 5.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Illegal Smile (IRE) 4.00 2.9 6-1
6 6 Show Me the Honey 10.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Herald Angel 8.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Lexinator 10.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 Spirited Beauty 15.00 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Courageous Girl 5.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Sharp Starr 1.40 3.3 6-1
8 8 Blitchton Lady 4.50 3.3 6-1
2 2 Lottie’s Mizzion 12.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Cheatham Hill 6.00 4.7 9-1
9 9 Kinky Sox 10.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Dublinornothin 12.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Princess Pinky 12.00 6 11-1
7 7 Ifihadachance 20.00 7.7 14-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 6 Pure Wow 3.50 2 4-1
1 1 Robin Sparkles 2.00 3 6-1
7 5 Fetching 6.00 3.1 6-1
3 2 Abuse of Power 5.00 4.1 8-1
4 3 Saratoga Love 8.00 5.4 10-1
9 7 Uplifted 15.00 5.7 11-1
6 4 Fionnbharr 30.00 8 15-1
10 8 Wicked Amber 30.00 9.5 18-1
2 2 Brass Ring 15.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Madam Maclean 15.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Gogo Shoes 6.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Bath And Tennis (IRE) 15.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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