Sports from the Basement

Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Friday, November 6, 2020

November 6, 2020 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Tabernacle 2.50 2.4 4-1
2 2 Big Big Plans 2.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 More Savvy 4.00 2.9 5-1
7 7 Purrsuade Me 6.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Silent Mamba 10.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Down to Earth 12.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Flawless Pink 8.00 4.8 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Tall Water 3.50 3 6-1
6 6 Papa Tony 3.00 3 6-1
1 1 Dancing Derek 2.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Wiley O’Rielly 12.00 4.5 8-1
9 9 Giant Attraction 6.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Northern Crusader 8.00 5.6 11-1
8 8 Radio Nowhere 20.00 6.2 12-1
3 3 Hope Vision 20.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 Lillz Not Crying 20.00 6.4 12-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 I See the Stars 6.00 1.9 4-1
8 7 Liquid Louie 4.00 2.3 4-1
7 6 Kuduro 3.00 2.5 5-1
6 5 L’Etat (GER) 20.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Turf Flight 20.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 The Kodiac Kid (IRE) 20.00 5.4 10-1
5 4 American Driven 15.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Curlin’s Thrill 1.40 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Prinz of Violence 1.00 1.8 3-1
8 8 I Dance Alone 5.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Son of My Father 4.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Jordans Way 10.00 5 10-1
9 9 Conquer the Breeze 15.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Artiesattheparty 15.00 6 11-1
10 10 Togquos 20.00 6.4 12-1
3 3 Big Matteo 20.00 6.5 12-1
5 5 Tiz Tap Tango 20.00 6.8 13-1
1 1 Optimystical 20.00 6.8 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Dispense 3.00 1.3 3-1
5 5 High Society Girl 3.50 2.8 5-1
13 13 Secretly 2.50 3.1 6-1
6 6 Bring Da Fudge 6.00 3.7 7-1
11 11 Musically Inclined 8.00 4.5 9-1
7 7 Artificial Rose 10.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 Royal City Reign 12.00 7.3 14-1
1 1 Dancing Zazinga 12.00 8.3 16-1
3 3 Gold Forester 20.00 9.7 18-1
8 8 Sparkisha 20.00 9.7 18-1
10 10 Stormy Jess 20.00 9.7 18-1
2 2 Saved At the Wire 8.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Nice Company 20.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Owen’s Tour Guide 8.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Voir Dire 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Google It 4.00 2.4 5-1
11 11 Tallestofthetall 3.00 2.5 5-1
10 10 Green Growth 8.00 4.8 9-1
9 9 Sararenda 10.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 Zephan 12.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Ice Blue 12.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Cryptic Grip 20.00 7.3 14-1
2 2 Cash Advance 20.00 7.7 15-1
3 3 Embrace My Uncle 20.00 8.1 15-1
4 4 Ranger Up 4.50 SCRATCH
6 6 Perfect Revenge 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 The Boss Factor 2.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 English Illusion 3.00 2.9 6-1
5 5 Canmore 4.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Kaigun 6.00 3.5 7-1
9 9 Piccadilly Beau 8.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 Fire for Effect 12.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Silent Jet 10.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Hallie’s Hero 15.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Other Things Equal 20.00 7.6 14-1
10 10 Moon Over Montana 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Badjeros Boy 3.00 3.7 7-1
11 11 Chiricahua Signal 4.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Victor’s Destiny 6.00 4.3 8-1
9 9 Four Knights 8.00 5 9-1
6 6 Colton’s Corner 8.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Gunner Ben 12.00 7.3 14-1
8 8 R U Watchingbud 12.00 7.9 15-1
13 13 King and His Court 15.00 8.9 17-1
10 10 Butterfly Strike 20.00 9.1 17-1
2 2 Kissoffire (IRE) 20.00 9.8 18-1
14 14 Front Nine 20.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Greenfield 20.00 10 19-1
4 4 Captain Sidney 20.00 10.5 20-1
5 5 Groundhog Day 20.00 11 21-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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