November 6, 2020 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Crash Corrigan | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Refi Now | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ghoster | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Stone’s River | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Flash of Glory | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Flactem Legacy | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Deputy Gary | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Empress of Fire | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Almost a Factor | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kleen Karma | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Donut Girl | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | New Heat | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cassie Belle | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sherilinda | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Norma’s Love | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Daniel the Dreamer | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Apache Pass | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ever Vigilant | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Enriched by Deb | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Kitness | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Heart River | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Flawless Gem | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Brix | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Coalinga Road | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Zipper Mischief | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hit the Seam | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mr. Brownstone | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rickey B | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Perfect Fanny | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sunrise Journey | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Burn Me Twice | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Black Storm | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Autumn Day | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | R Cha Cha | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Awhitesportscoat | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Quality Line | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Victor’s Show | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lucky Romano | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Write Me a Song | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Siena Silk | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Cocoa Cents | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cherry City | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Predictable Tully (IRE) | 2.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | She Loves Karaoke | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Mojo Mama | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Vangogo | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | My Girl Pearl | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ketchup | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Verry Bossy | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Awesome Galaxy | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Golden State Juvenile Fillies S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Starlight Stroll | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Will Take a Kiss | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | September Secret | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Governor Goteven | 1.80 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Eddie’s New Dream | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Love Wins | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Wishtheyallcouldbe | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dylans Wild Cat | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Super Game | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Okoye | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Big Stretch | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sensible Cat | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | St Helena | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Warrens Candy Girl | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sideways Suances | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Don’t Rub It | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Ever Ready | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Princess Sadie | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Medusa’s Gaze | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pink Phlox | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Snazzy Cazzy | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.