Sports from the Basement

Del Mar Horse Racing Picks for Friday, November 6, 2020

November 6, 2020 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Crash Corrigan 5.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Refi Now 1.80 2.5 5-1
5 5 Ghoster 2.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Stone’s River 5.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Flash of Glory 8.00 4 8-1
4 4 Flactem Legacy 8.00 4 8-1
1 1 Deputy Gary 15.00 5.7 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Empress of Fire 2.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 Almost a Factor 4.00 2.4 4-1
2 2 Kleen Karma 4.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Donut Girl 2.50 2.8 5-1
4 4 New Heat 8.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Cassie Belle 8.00 4.5 9-1
6 6 Sherilinda 20.00 5.6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Norma’s Love 2.50 2.7 5-1
6 5 Daniel the Dreamer 3.00 3 6-1
4 4 Apache Pass 4.00 3 6-1
2 2 Ever Vigilant 6.00 4 8-1
8 7 Enriched by Deb 8.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Miss Kitness 8.00 5.2 10-1
7 6 Heart River 8.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Flawless Gem 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Brix 3.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 Coalinga Road 2.50 2.9 6-1
4 4 Zipper Mischief 5.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Hit the Seam 4.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Mr. Brownstone 8.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Rickey B 20.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Perfect Fanny 20.00 5.9 11-1
8 8 Sunrise Journey 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Burn Me Twice 2.50 2.7 5-1
3 3 Black Storm 2.00 3 6-1
8 8 Autumn Day 5.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 R Cha Cha 8.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Awhitesportscoat 4.50 3.7 7-1
1 1 Quality Line 8.00 4 8-1
7 7 Victor’s Show 12.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Lucky Romano 20.00 6.9 13-1
9 9 Write Me a Song 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 8 Siena Silk 3.00 3.7 7-1
4 3 Cocoa Cents 6.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Cherry City 4.00 4.5 9-1
11 10 Predictable Tully (IRE) 2.50 5.2 10-1
8 7 She Loves Karaoke 6.00 5.5 10-1
7 6 Mojo Mama 12.00 6.2 12-1
6 5 Vangogo 6.00 6.4 12-1
5 4 My Girl Pearl 8.00 7.4 14-1
2 2 Ketchup 15.00 8.5 16-1
10 9 Verry Bossy 15.00 8.8 17-1
3 3 Awesome Galaxy 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Golden State Juvenile Fillies S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Starlight Stroll 6.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Will Take a Kiss 6.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 September Secret 6.00 4.5 9-1
10 9 Governor Goteven 1.80 4.6 9-1
2 2 Eddie’s New Dream 4.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Love Wins 12.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Wishtheyallcouldbe 12.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Dylans Wild Cat 15.00 6.6 12-1
8 8 Super Game 20.00 8 15-1
9 9 Okoye 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Big Stretch 3.00 1.9 4-1
9 9 Sensible Cat 8.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 St Helena 8.00 3 6-1
2 2 Warrens Candy Girl 2.50 3.1 6-1
1 1 Sideways Suances 8.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Don’t Rub It 15.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Miss Ever Ready 3.50 4.9 9-1
10 10 Princess Sadie 20.00 5.5 10-1
11 11 Medusa’s Gaze 30.00 7.6 14-1
4 4 Pink Phlox 30.00 8.5 16-1
7 7 Snazzy Cazzy 0.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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