November 6, 2020 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Misty Taste | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Love Me Tomorrow | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Crick | 2.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mia Bea Star | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Adorable Maya | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Vitanza | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mizzys Image | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lemoncella | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sander’s Empire | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Empress Luciana | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 10 | Eccoci Qua | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Frat | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Boom Boom Kaboom | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Travelin Dani | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Perfect Banker | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 14 | 12 | Yousaidhello | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Disciplanarian | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Obsession’s Empire | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Mr. Tag | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Second Fortune | 30.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Permanentresident | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Fast Gordon | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Empire Express | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Black Irish | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 9 | Hay Lad | 50.00 | 12.2 | 23-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Whats in It for Me | 50.00 | 13.3 | 25-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 7 | Out of Trouble | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Kreesie | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Giacosa | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Vip Nation | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Pecatonica | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Light in the Sky | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Dancingwthdaffodls | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Silky Blue | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Peaches and Spice | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Love and Love | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Firenze Freedom | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3A | 3 | Control Stake | 1.40 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ryan’s Cat | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5A | 5 | Zaevion | 1.40 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Almendro | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Topper T | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Durkin’s Call | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Brush Country | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Golani Brigade | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Vintage Hollywood | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Six Percent | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4A | 4 | I Love Jaxson | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dynamax Prime | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 8A | 8 | Dark Money | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Yankee Division | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Freaky Styley | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Kokopelli | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Secrets Kept | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Diamond in the Sun | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | She’s a Majestic | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Athena Dancer | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Palace Gossip | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Love’s Misery | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tangerine Dream | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Sayoh | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Mondeuse | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Siesta Kew | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Stella Mars | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | The Promised Road | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Quiet Type | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Stormi Cat Lady | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Blessed Mothermary | 30.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Danfusi | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ten Eyck | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Quiet Out East | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Conforto | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Albie | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Microsecond | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Matty’s Express | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sanctuary City | 3.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Coragescontender | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Operative | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Simply | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Run for Boston | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | This Cat Can Fly | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Forever Wicked | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Cold Hard Cash | 1.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Rockin Jo | 50.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Tempted S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Malathaat | 1.20 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | American West | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Spa Ready | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Cafe Society | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dauntless Gal | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Celestial Cheetah | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Atlantic Beach S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Whatmakessammyrun | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Trade Deal | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Arrest Me Red | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Texas Basin | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Light Us Up | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Chrome Dixie | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Town of Gold | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lookin for Loki | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Phantom Smoke | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Zipalong | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Montauk Summer | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Scotty Brown | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | No Salt | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Perpetrate | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Wild Banker | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jimmy Jazz | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Vintage Kitten | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Doubly Blessed | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mr. Vincent | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pricing Exercise | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Elusive Ruler | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Royal Suspect | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Double Shot | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Beta | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Ridolfo | 50.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.