Sports from the Basement

Churchill Downs Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, November 1, 2020

November 1, 2020 Churchill Downs Horse Racing Picks.


Try SFTB Plus for Free

$10 a Month Gets You Horse Racing Advanced Stats including an optimizer for each race.

Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!

Learn More

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Greeley and Ben 3.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Debating 4.00 2.4 4-1
1 1 Rare Form 2.50 2.5 5-1
2 2 Moonoverseba 3.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Bitumen 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Queen of Verona 3.50 2.3 4-1
6 6 Gesture 1.20 2.9 6-1
2 2 Mis Elain E Us 8.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Majestic Edge 8.00 3.4 7-1
5 5 That’s Great 6.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Bet Your Bankroll 3.50 5.2 10-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Name Rejected 12.00 1.8 3-1
10 9 Ultimate 6.00 2 4-1
14 10 Wayakin 10.00 2.2 4-1
4 3 Dinner Bell 6.00 2.2 4-1
3 2 Clarestown 6.00 2.5 5-1
9 8 Navy Pier 12.00 2.6 5-1
8 7 Devilinthebottle 20.00 6.4 12-1
7 6 Cees Get Degrees 30.00 8 15-1
6 5 Loyal Louie 10.00 8.2 16-1
5 4 Major Chance 15.00 9.6 18-1
1 1 Illegal Smile (IRE) 0.80 SCRATCH
11 11 Hillbilly Logic 6.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Blossom Road 12.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Lend It Tewmey 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Raintree Starlet 4.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Violation 10.00 2.1 4-1
6 6 La Femme Royale 2.50 2.4 5-1
3 3 Unfading Beauty 4.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Honey Parade 3.00 3 6-1
4 4 Hetty G. 3.00 3.7 7-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Storming Lion 2.00 1.4 3-1
4 4 Beeboo 3.50 1.4 3-1
6 6 Circus 5.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Hoistthemainsail 3.50 2.9 5-1
1 1 Ames Mister 5.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Pilot Prince 4.50 4.7 9-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
13 7 Imperial Conflict 8.00 2.9 6-1
2 1 Carmichael 5.00 3.1 6-1
6 4 Brazillionaire 3.50 3.1 6-1
5 3 Ol Grey Ghost 20.00 4.6 9-1
11A 6 Thrill Ride 6.00 4.7 9-1
7B 5 Briefcase Bully 2.50 4.9 9-1
3A 2 Capt. Maestri 6.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Defied 30.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Exult 8.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Nineeleventurbo 4.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Brew Crew 12.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Shananies Paynter 20.00 SCRATCH
12B 12 Rochambeau 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Unitedandresolute 2.00 1.3 2-1
7 7 Skip Intro 5.00 1.3 3-1
2 2 Convention 4.00 1.7 3-1
1 1 King of the Nite 8.00 2.2 4-1
8 8 Swot Analysis 8.00 2.4 5-1
4 4 Racarino 15.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Test of Will 6.00 4.5 8-1
6 6 Angkor 8.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Determined to Rise 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Energizer 3.50 1.5 3-1
5 5 Girolamo’s Attack 2.50 1.6 3-1
3A 3 Answer In 3.00 1.6 3-1
4 4 Violent City 5.00 1.7 3-1
1A 1 The Big S 3.00 1.8 3-1
8 8 Kadri 3.50 2.4 4-1
7 7 Full Authority 15.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Breaking News 12.00 4.8 9-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 5 Romantic Pursuit 3.00 1.8 3-1
2 1 Cash Out 5.00 1.9 4-1
5 3 War Rose 20.00 2.2 4-1
9 6 Singita Dreams 2.50 3.1 6-1
4 2 Golden Curl 5.00 4 7-1
6 4 Gamblin Train 15.00 6.1 12-1
1 1 Tweety Show 5.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Room to Finish 6.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Delta’s Kingdom 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Fugitive 1.80 1.6 3-1
1 1 Canoe 10.00 1.9 4-1
6 5 Smart Call 3.00 3.4 6-1
7 6 Jack Luvs Nova 3.00 3.6 7-1
10 9 Monte Ne 10.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Ahmas 20.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Secret Move 30.00 5.2 10-1
9 8 Winging Ways 10.00 6.1 12-1
4 4 Maxed Up 30.00 7.1 13-1
5 5 Filimons Quest 30.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

Upcoming Bankroll Contests
Wednesday Parx Racing
Begins Wed, Dec 2 12:25 PM ET
Wednesday Gulfstream Park
Begins Wed, Dec 2 12:35 PM ET
Wednesday Delta Downs
Begins Wed, Dec 2 1:55 PM ET
Wednesday Remington Park
Begins Wed, Dec 2 8:07 PM ET
Go To Lobby
SFTB Plus

$10 a Month Gets You DFS Optimizers, Horse Racing Advanced Stats, and More.

Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!

Learn More
SFTB Parties

Choose Your Events and Create Your Own Sportsbook for You and Your Friends.

Only $3 to set up, and includes unlimited guests.

Learn More
Scoreboard
Europe - Champions League
10'
FC Porto 0
Manchester City 0
Details
Europe - Champions League
10'
Atlético Madrid 0
Bayern Munich 0
Details
England - League Two
HT
Forest Green 0
Newport County 1
Details
Europe - Champions League
10'
Liverpool 0
Ajax 0
Details
NCAA Football
Final
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
Charlotte 49ers
Details
England - Championship
25'
Bournemouth 0
Preston 1
Details
England - Championship
25'
QPR 1
Bristol City 0
Details
England - League Two
51'
Colchester 1
Crawley Town 1
Details
England - League Two
53'
Bradford 1
Cheltenham 1
Details
England - League Two
54'
Grimsby 1
Exeter 3
Details
Go to Scoreboard