Sports from the Basement

Del Mar Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, October 31, 2020

October 31, 2020 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Carmelita’s Man 3.50 1.3 2-1
2 2 Invictatatus 4.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Hoop Dream 3.50 2.9 5-1
3 3 Armour Plate 2.50 3 6-1
4 4 Alvaaro 4.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Jack Sprout 10.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Mr Right Now 12.00 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Malibu Prince 5.00 1.4 3-1
3 3 Time to Testify 2.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Mongol Altai 3.50 2.5 5-1
1 1 Gambini 3.00 3 6-1
4 4 Afleeting Life 2.50 3.3 6-1
2 2 Derby War 20.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Square Root 10.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Mamba Cool 4.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Trevor T 2.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Luvluv 4.00 4 7-1
4 4 Cool Your Jets 5.00 5 9-1
2 2 One Fast Bro 3.00 5 10-1
6 6 Ultimate Mystery 20.00 6.4 12-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Horse Greedy 2.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 Lionite 2.50 3.3 6-1
3 3 Captain Scotty 3.50 3.3 6-1
2 2 Tobacco Road 8.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Sweet River Baines 4.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Whatwasithinking 6.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Over Attracted 3.00 3 6-1
1 1 Annangel (IRE) 5.00 3.2 6-1
8 8 Loud Loud Music 6.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Lady Noguez 6.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Beguiled 4.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Avenue de France (FR) 3.50 5.1 10-1
6 6 Frose 8.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Go Big Blue Nation 15.00 6.1 12-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 From the Get Go 3.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Shimmer Me Timbers 6.00 4.4 8-1
9 7 Cozy Bear 8.00 4.6 9-1
11 8 Cojo 10.00 5 9-1
8 6 Gates of Heaven 2.50 6 11-1
5 4 Paisano 10.00 6.6 13-1
6 5 Broken Finger 8.00 7.2 14-1
13 10 Chief Jackson 12.00 7.3 14-1
1 1 Cridge 15.00 9.7 18-1
4 4 Runaway Wywy 0.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Intense 0.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Theluteismine 0.00 SCRATCH
12 9 Detective Bernardo 20.00 10.7 20-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Kathryn Crosby S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Muchly (GB) 5.00 3.9 7-1
8 7 Colonial Creed 4.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Never Be Enough (GB) 5.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Cordiality 3.50 4.2 8-1
1 1 Ellie Arroway 8.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 She’s Our Charm 5.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Proud Emma 8.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Qahira 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Uncle Boogie 2.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Mister Bold 3.50 2.8 5-1
4 4 Swift as I Am 3.00 3.7 7-1
7 6 Lucky Rocket 12.00 4 8-1
3 3 Wedding Groom 6.00 4.8 9-1
6 5 C’Mon Jenna 8.00 6.7 13-1
5 5 Pappy Boyington 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Airman 8.00 3.7 7-1
13 10 Oncoming 5.00 4.5 9-1
11 9 Got Curly 12.00 5.1 10-1
4 3 Mount Pelliar 8.00 5.2 10-1
3 2 Petruchio 1.80 5.4 10-1
5 4 Drivehappy 12.00 6.7 13-1
7 6 K P Aim High 8.00 7.2 14-1
8 7 Capper 20.00 7.5 14-1
9 8 Heliochrome 4.00 8.2 16-1
1 1 The Great One 0.00 SCRATCH
10 10 El Joy 0.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Du Jour 0.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Bolu 0.00 SCRATCH
2 1 Ivory Sky 30.00 11.2 21-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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