Sports from the Basement

Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, October 31, 2020

October 31, 2020 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Brilliant Brooks 4.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Shandian 2.00 2.2 4-1
8 8 Bank Gala 15.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Cause I Said So 6.00 2.9 6-1
7 7 Starship Bubba 8.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Adios Amigos 4.50 4.2 8-1
3 3 Kabob 5.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 No More Miracles 12.00 5.2 10-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
14 7 Lem Me Have It 3.00 3 6-1
12 5 Girl of Tosconova 2.50 3.2 6-1
11 11 Kemba 8.00 SCRATCH
3 2 Micromillion 6.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Corey Scores 8.00 SCRATCH
9 4 Kitten by the Sea 2.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Princess Fawzia 3.00 SCRATCH
13 6 First Dawn 12.00 6.2 12-1
6 6 More Mango 20.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Candy Flower 8.00 SCRATCH
8 3 Magnetique 20.00 7.9 15-1
2 1 Toned Up 20.00 8.4 16-1
5A 5 La Piu Bella 12.00 SCRATCH
10A 10 R V Treasure 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 The Sound 0.80 1.2 2-1
1 1 Per Diem 15.00 SCRATCH
6 5 Instinctive Rhythm 5.00 2.1 4-1
4A 3 Risk Profile 4.00 2.5 5-1
5 4 Dreams of Tomorrow 3.50 2.5 5-1
2A 1 Democratic Values 4.00 2.7 5-1
3 2 Bourbon Rising 12.00 4.3 8-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Made My Day (IRE) 5.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Singapore Trader 6.00 3.2 6-1
6 5 Kumar 2.50 3.3 6-1
10 6 Willing to Speed 6.00 3.7 7-1
12 7 Zealous 5.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Creative Style 3.50 4.1 8-1
11 11 Graded On a Curve 1.20 SCRATCH
1 1 Milton the Monster 20.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Old Dominion 8.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Yes and Yes 4.50 SCRATCH
2 2 Forever Wicked 30.00 8.1 15-1
8 8 Lomu 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Journeytothemoon 3.50 SCRATCH
3 3 Liam’s Missy 1.40 1.4 3-1
2 2 White Frost 2.50 1.5 3-1
1 1 Treasure Lane 6.00 2.1 4-1
7 6 Refund Country 10.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Firing Carol 15.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Cause to Dream 15.00 4.3 8-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Zagora S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Mutamakina (GB) 2.50 1.6 3-1
9 9 Hungry Kitten 5.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Beau Belle 4.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Olympic Games (FR) 5.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Lucky Stride 6.00 4.5 8-1
6 6 Luck Money 8.00 4.5 9-1
8 8 Cambeliza 12.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Cap de Creus 15.00 6.5 12-1
4 4 Lemon Zip 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Jerry the Nipper 2.50 1.7 3-1
9 9 South Africa 4.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Riken 3.50 3.2 6-1
2 2 The Last Ace 6.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Big Thicket 6.00 4 7-1
1 1 Notorious Flirt 10.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Troubleshooter 15.00 5.4 10-1
8 8 Leap to Glory 15.00 6.1 12-1
5 5 Jemography 15.00 6.1 12-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Awad S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
13 13 Master of the Ring 15.00 SCRATCH
7 6 Space Launch 5.00 2.2 4-1
12 11 Wootton Asset (FR) 4.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Catman 8.00 4 7-1
6 6 Take Profit 50.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Shawdyshawdyshawdy 5.00 4 8-1
11 10 It Can Be Done 8.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Kidnapped 10.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Like a Saltshaker 8.00 5.2 10-1
9 8 Heat of the Night 10.00 6 11-1
10 9 It’s a Gamble 12.00 6.1 11-1
8 7 Step Dancer 8.00 6.3 12-1
4 4 Claw 30.00 7.5 14-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Bold Ruler H.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Phat Man 2.00 SCRATCH
5 4 Majestic Dunhill 2.50 2.2 4-1
1 1 Mihos 4.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Share the Ride 2.50 3 6-1
3 3 Wendell Fong 10.00 SCRATCH
4 3 Arch Cat 10.00 4.7 9-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Twice a Lady 3.00 SCRATCH
11 7 Sweet Sneak 5.00 3.7 7-1
14 9 She So Naughty 2.50 4.2 8-1
7 4 Let Artie Lead 15.00 4.2 8-1
12 8 Courted 8.00 4.5 8-1
5 3 Women Not Easy 6.00 4.6 9-1
4 2 Silent Empress 8.00 4.6 9-1
15 10 Mizzen the Mark 3.50 4.8 9-1
9 6 Memories Eternal 4.00 4.9 9-1
8 5 Belleza 8.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Cemetery V I P 30.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Tornado Crossing 15.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Sophie Fatale 30.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Dustinthewind 30.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Tonilee 20.00 SCRATCH
3 1 Mia Calia 50.00 11.3 21-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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