Sports from the Basement

Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Friday, October 30, 2020

October 30, 2020 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Kosmonavt 4.00 2.9 6-1
11 11 Quantum Velocity 3.00 3 6-1
4 4 Dr Chappell 6.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 In Search Of 12.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Suigu Star 4.50 4.2 8-1
9 9 Grand Gizmo 8.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 No Exit 20.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Jr Bourbon 20.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 Big Boy Benny 20.00 6.1 11-1
10 10 Grander Plan 20.00 6.2 12-1
7 7 Social Justice 30.00 6.8 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Sent From Heaven 6.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Diddley 1.40 6.2 12-1
10 9 Mas Chikilin 8.00 7.3 14-1
6 5 Elusive Ro 12.00 8.3 16-1
13 12 The Kippy Train 20.00 9 17-1
11 10 Fine Grit 20.00 9 17-1
7 6 Station Rock 12.00 9.2 17-1
5 5 Majestic Slew 4.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Jacks Escarpment 3.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Water Polo 20.00 SCRATCH
12 11 Seal Team Two 20.00 10.5 20-1
2 2 Amnesty 20.00 11.1 21-1
4 4 Raven’s Cry 20.00 11.2 21-1
8 7 Yallhaveaniceday 20.00 11.4 21-1
9 8 Smarty River Pants 20.00 11.7 22-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Pink Gelato 3.00 3.7 7-1
8 7 Passthepuddinpleaz 2.50 4 7-1
3 2 Afleet Eddie 12.00 4.2 8-1
6 5 Maakwa 10.00 4.2 8-1
5 4 Gizmo Rogers 10.00 4.5 8-1
7 6 Hung Jury 12.00 5.1 10-1
9 8 Jocularity 20.00 5.6 11-1
4 3 He’s a Topper 20.00 6.1 12-1
1 1 Ocelot 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Ice Blue 3.00 5.5 10-1
13 12 Denmark 4.00 5.7 11-1
2 1 Silent Empire 8.00 5.8 11-1
11 10 Hungary 10.00 7.5 14-1
7 6 Keep Your Word 20.00 9.7 18-1
5 4 D Magician 20.00 9.7 18-1
1 1 Society Misfit 6.00 SCRATCH
16 16 One More Drift 15.00 SCRATCH
15 14 A I Initiative 20.00 10.1 19-1
9 8 My Ladies’ Man 12.00 10.3 19-1
14 13 Winsroy 20.00 10.5 20-1
6 5 Countryside Drive 20.00 10.6 20-1
12 11 Bread Crumbs 20.00 10.8 20-1
8 7 Mo Nation 10.00 11.2 21-1
3 2 Cause for Alarm 20.00 11.2 21-1
10 9 Capture the Ride 20.00 11.8 22-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Range of Motion 6.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Prince Martheus 10.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Manny 8.00 4 8-1
8 8 Carl G 2.50 4.4 8-1
6 6 Frat Party 12.00 5.1 10-1
9 9 Mazinaw Legend 10.00 5.5 10-1
13 12 I Have Hope 15.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 G Prince of Silver 20.00 6.1 11-1
7 7 Give Me an Eye 4.00 6.5 12-1
11 11 I’ve Paid My Dues 20.00 6.6 12-1
3 3 Secret Roi 20.00 6.8 13-1
2 2 Bartman 20.00 7.6 14-1
12 12 Fast Thinking 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Giant Critic 2.00 6.2 12-1
5 5 Self Inflicted 10.00 6.3 12-1
7 7 Jegos Fire 4.00 6.5 12-1
4 4 Wings of Victory 12.00 6.9 13-1
2 2 The Newfie Express 6.00 7.1 13-1
3 3 Spanish Major 10.00 7.3 14-1
1 1 Society Joe 12.00 7.7 14-1
13 11 Conquer Him 12.00 8.2 15-1
8 8 Shangassah 12.00 9.3 18-1
11 10 North Battleford 20.00 9.3 18-1
9 9 Gold Venture 20.00 SCRATCH
12 12 He’s a Gizmo 12.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Tallestofthetall 5.00 SCRATCH
10 9 Sundance Hit 20.00 10.6 20-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Red Bo 6.00 5.4 10-1
11 11 Sheer Flattery 4.00 6.5 12-1
3 3 Deep Freeze 3.00 6.9 13-1
5 5 Leonard’s Bay 10.00 7.7 14-1
1 1 Miriam’s Sky 10.00 8.6 16-1
4 4 Street Legal 8.00 9.4 18-1
15 15 Giant Mine 20.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Who’s Got It 20.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Hit the Ticket 20.00 10.2 19-1
9 9 Coastal Highway 20.00 10.9 21-1
2 2 Tishina 20.00 11.3 21-1
13 13 Moon Magic 20.00 11.3 21-1
12 12 Cenar 20.00 12.1 23-1
7 7 I Idolize You 20.00 12.4 23-1
8 8 Greenfield 20.00 13.1 25-1
14 14 Heydon’s Case 20.00 13.1 25-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Twick 3.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Gea 4.00 6.5 12-1
10 10 Alternative View 4.50 6.7 13-1
5 5 Gizmo’s Princess 10.00 7.1 13-1
12 12 Get Off My Tail 6.00 7.6 14-1
13 13 Naked Illusion 12.00 8.4 16-1
11 11 Ivylea 8.00 9.1 17-1
8 8 Cefalo 20.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Keep Your Silence 20.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Light It Up 20.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Stormy Vision 8.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Muskoka Lady 10.00 10.5 20-1
1 1 Totally Perfect 20.00 10.5 20-1
7 7 Klassy Delight 20.00 10.7 20-1
3 3 She’s a True Fox 20.00 10.9 21-1
9 9 Anita Grigio 20.00 11.5 22-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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