Sports from the Basement

Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Friday, October 30, 2020

October 30, 2020 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
13 13 Uhwarrie Sky 30.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Fast Master 20.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 Food and Wine 8.00 8.5 16-1
12 12 Hard Fought 5.00 8.6 16-1
11 11 Confessor 2.50 9.4 18-1
1 1 Dixie Drawl 3.00 9.5 18-1
3 3 Tree Shaker 6.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Hayne’s Fever 8.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Rock Solid Golfer 20.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Dundalk 3.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Minister’s Strike 4.50 SCRATCH
9 9 Projected (GB) 5.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Skippy’s Strike 10.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Promise Illgetyou 30.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Foldover 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Thea’s Theme 3.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Aspen Rose 4.50 3 6-1
2 2 In Class 5.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Ran Char 10.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Awesome Pal 6.00 6.5 12-1
1 1 Union Song 1.80 SCRATCH
3 3 Tropical Frosty 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Artistic Endeavor 10.00 1.1 2-1
6 6 Omati 12.00 1.2 2-1
2 2 Plamen 3.00 1.2 2-1
5 5 Nice Ace 2.00 1.4 3-1
3 3 Lugamo 5.00 1.6 3-1
7 7 No One to Blame 3.00 1.7 3-1
1 1 Twitty City 15.00 2 4-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Lookin for Candy 4.50 1.2 2-1
7 7 Vics Cool Cat 5.00 1.2 2-1
6 6 Positive Force 2.50 1.4 3-1
4 4 Larimar 3.50 1.4 3-1
1 1 Uno Tigress 6.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Had the Notion 12.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Brut Rose 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
16 16 Gold Fellow 5.00 1.1 2-1
5 5 Eric’s Empire 4.50 1.2 2-1
7 7 Market Cap 3.00 1.2 2-1
14 14 Romp 1.80 1.9 4-1
10 10 Camp Pendleton 8.00 2 4-1
3 3 T Minus Ten 4.00 2 4-1
13 13 Sam in Style 8.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Pauping 12.00 2.6 5-1
11 11 Tales of Saratoga 20.00 2.9 5-1
6 6 Gun Law 10.00 2.9 6-1
1 1 Royne 2.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Elusive 20.00 SCRATCH
8 8 One Bad Kat 30.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Nuuk 12.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Heroic Deed 6.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Sweeney’s Cat 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Hold Me Black 4.50 1.2 2-1
4 4 Fortunate Friends 5.00 1.3 2-1
1 1 Oldies But Goodies 12.00 1.3 2-1
8 8 Taco Supream 4.00 1.3 3-1
2 2 Francatelli 3.50 1.6 3-1
7 7 Zoomer 6.00 1.7 3-1
3 3 Wendell Fong 6.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Absentee 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Proud Mandate 4.00 1.4 3-1
15 15 Halfinthewrapper 1.40 1.6 3-1
11 11 Millie Child 15.00 1.9 4-1
14 14 La Shirimp 6.00 2 4-1
6 6 Magical Anna 5.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Missimard 10.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Big Affair 8.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Tweet Away Robin 15.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Tell Me Im Pretty 6.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 Chit Chat Girl 20.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Golden Can 4.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Honorable Lilly 4.50 SCRATCH
10 10 Elsie’s Kid 10.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Pins and Needles 5.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Eye of the Wildcat 30.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Scarfree 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Absolved 4.50 1.4 3-1
2 2 Abuelo Paps 6.00 1.5 3-1
9 9 Paul the Waiter 8.00 1.6 3-1
4 4 Stone Courageous 4.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Start With Yes 10.00 1.9 4-1
6 6 Betts 50.00 2.1 4-1
7 7 Crouchelli 12.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Sassy King 15.00 2.4 4-1
10 10 Royal Crusader 8.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Moose Lodge 3.50 SCRATCH
11 11 Sea Ghost 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Hello Hot Rod 3.00 1.1 2-1
7 7 Escapability 5.00 1.2 2-1
5 5 Clever and Great 6.00 1.2 2-1
8 8 Big Cypress 12.00 1.2 2-1
3 3 Doubleoseven 8.00 1.3 2-1
2 2 In the Top Ten 5.00 1.4 3-1
4 4 It’s Sizzling Time 4.50 1.8 3-1
6 6 Stimulus Maker 6.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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