October 30, 2020 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Nepotism | 1.40 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Digital Future | 1.60 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Highway Bound | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Thruster | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jailbreaker | 15.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Magnificent Chrome | 30.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Unprecedented | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 6 | Tiergan | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 13 | 7 | Hard Count | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 5 | Daring Disguise | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Dubai Bobby | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Beach Front | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Elusive Ruler | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Quid | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Jake Rocks | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Officer Country | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Ninja Dust | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Larceny | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | What’s to Blame | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Stanhope | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Coragescontender | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 4 | Pricing Exercise | 30.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Well Kept Secret | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Suspended Campaign | 1.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | To the Tune | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Lucky Sitka | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Krubera | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Simple Sugar | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Madame Rose | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Thegoddessofsnakes | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 2 | Gray Destiny | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Frosted Bourbon | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 16 | 9 | Ten Plagues | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 6 | Mendham | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 7 | Theatrical Dancer | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 3 | Cara’s Dreamer | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 4 | Emma and I | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 14 | 8 | Adriatic Rose | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Duckphat | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Black Licorice | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Eau Claire | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Marvelous Maude | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Tami’s Orchid | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Mon Cherie | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Saluki | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 5 | Rosies Surprise | 30.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Vicar’s Legend | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Wushu Warrior | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Orpheus (ARG) | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hardcore Folklore | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Deep Sea | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ethan Hunt | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Our Honor | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Justin Front | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Professor Snape | 50.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Eden Ridge | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Wasp | 0.60 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Portofina | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bella Domenica | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Calidad | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tabula Rasa | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lucky Girl | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 5 | Suggestive Honor (ARG) | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 13 | 7 | Fiftyshays Ofgreen | 2.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | My Sweet Wife | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 16 | 10 | Solitary Gem | 4.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Lovely La La | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 4 | Sweet Kisses | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 14 | 8 | Bay Jewel | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 15 | 9 | Big Bennys Tribute | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Madam Maclean | 15.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kelleycanrun | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Bean Counter | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Mary’s France (FR) | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Hotsy Totsy (IRE) | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | A Little Faith | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Una Luna | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 6 | Jasminesque | 30.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Flat Awesome Jenny | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | No Deal | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Glass Ceiling | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jump for Joy | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Excess Capacity | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dovey Lovey | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Blunt Force | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sirenic | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Cost Basis | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Superfecto | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Wild Medagliad’oro | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Foolish Ghost | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Edge of Fire | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Chowda | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | The Sicarii | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Al Brown | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Speightful Kitten | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Binkster | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Hard D S C | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 3 | Tercero | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 6 | Whichwaytomalibu | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 2 | Judge Alexander | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 15 | 9 | Open Lengths | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 14 | 8 | Top of the Mint | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 16 | 10 | Kingfish | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 4 | Bielefeld | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 13 | 7 | Starship Empire | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Freudian Analyst | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Yousaidhello | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Hurricane Andrew | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Psychic Dream | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Spiritual King | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Empire Express | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 5 | Being Me | 50.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.