October 24, 2020 Keeneland Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Stripping | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tesorina | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ready N Waiting | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Creative Legacy | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Yes I’m Looking | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Another Rachel | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Power of Magic | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Go Tweet | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Itsallinthenotes | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Looking At Liberty | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Crypto Cash | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Eskenforit | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mo’s Mojo | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dack Janiel’s | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Truculent | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 4 | Laddie Boy | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 2 | Royal Commission | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 5 | Reason to Soar | 1.80 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ghostly Who | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 3 | Warrior’s Lullaby | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Attain Success | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | One for Richie | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Just Blaze | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Park Ridge Benny | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 7 | Eucharist | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Next | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Hendrick | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Like the King | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Richiesgotgame | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Really Slow | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Texas Rule | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sir Roberto | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Arrest Me Red | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Indy Tourist | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Kay Bee Gee | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pick Up the Fone | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | West Bank Baby | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Love of My Heart | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tailorbeswift | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Shelley’s Gem | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Henrys Deal | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Cane Creek Road | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Samurai Prince | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Flags Up | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Joe Frazier | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Five Dreams | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wellman | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sabuda | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Koufax | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Get to Know Me | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hickory High | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Nettleton | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Shared Legacy | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Williston Way | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | American Mandate | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Biarritz | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Phast Pharoah | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Living Vicariously | 10.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Munn Passage | 10.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Equal Justice | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fooch | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Bantu | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Yamato | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Amani’s Kitten | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Munqad | 1.80 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Antigravity | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | McDowell | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hidden Stash | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Swingman | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | A C Expressway | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Call Papa | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Joe Man Joe | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Flat Reward | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | In Good Spirits | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 5 | Curls and Bows | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Lucky Jingle | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 6 | Miss Imperfection | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Alta’s Award | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | His Glory | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Windracer (IRE) | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Ask Bailey | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Alliaceous | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Faccio Io (GB) | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Kourvoisier (IRE) | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Mizzen Beau | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Mandaloun | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Macron | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Rockstar Ro | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Name Rejected | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Americanrevolution | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Plucky Strike | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Devil’s Fire | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kentucky Pharoah | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Midnight Warship | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bob’s Edge | 12.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Startdfromdabottom | 15.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.