Sports from the Basement

Keeneland Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, October 24, 2020

October 24, 2020 Keeneland Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Stripping 4.00 1.8 3-1
7 7 Tesorina 3.50 2.3 4-1
4 4 Ready N Waiting 6.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Creative Legacy 6.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Yes I’m Looking 2.50 3.7 7-1
3 3 Another Rachel 12.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Power of Magic 10.00 4.8 9-1
9 9 Go Tweet 10.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Itsallinthenotes 20.00 7.8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Looking At Liberty 2.50 2.2 4-1
5 5 Crypto Cash 2.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Eskenforit 5.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 Mo’s Mojo 4.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Dack Janiel’s 5.00 4 8-1
4 4 Truculent 8.00 4.7 9-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 4 Laddie Boy 3.50 2.2 4-1
5 2 Royal Commission 4.50 2.7 5-1
9 5 Reason to Soar 1.80 3.5 7-1
1 1 Ghostly Who 6.00 3.9 7-1
7 3 Warrior’s Lullaby 8.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Attain Success 12.00 SCRATCH
3 3 One for Richie 8.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Just Blaze 20.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Park Ridge Benny 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 7 Eucharist 2.00 1.5 3-1
1 1 Next 3.50 2.2 4-1
5 4 Hendrick 5.00 2.4 4-1
3 2 Like the King 4.50 3.3 6-1
7 6 Richiesgotgame 12.00 6.5 12-1
6 5 Really Slow 15.00 6.7 13-1
4 3 Texas Rule 20.00 7.3 14-1
2 2 Sir Roberto 8.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Arrest Me Red 2.50 SCRATCH
9 9 Indy Tourist 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Kay Bee Gee 4.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Pick Up the Fone 2.50 3.1 6-1
4 4 West Bank Baby 3.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Love of My Heart 5.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Tailorbeswift 10.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Shelley’s Gem 8.00 6.4 12-1
7 7 Henrys Deal 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Cane Creek Road 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Samurai Prince 4.50 2.1 4-1
8 8 Flags Up 5.00 2.3 4-1
9 9 Joe Frazier 4.00 2.4 5-1
1 1 Five Dreams 4.50 3 6-1
2 2 Wellman 6.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Sabuda 10.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Koufax 12.00 4.9 9-1
10 10 Get to Know Me 12.00 6 11-1
3 3 Hickory High 20.00 9.3 18-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Nettleton 5.00 3.7 7-1
8 7 Shared Legacy 6.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Williston Way 6.00 4 8-1
4 3 American Mandate 4.50 4.3 8-1
3 2 Biarritz 10.00 4.6 9-1
6 5 Phast Pharoah 15.00 7.9 15-1
5 4 Living Vicariously 10.00 8.1 15-1
9 8 Munn Passage 10.00 8.1 15-1
11 9 Equal Justice 20.00 8.4 16-1
2 2 Fooch 5.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Bantu 20.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Yamato 8.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Amani’s Kitten 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Munqad 1.80 2.4 5-1
8 8 Antigravity 5.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 McDowell 5.00 2.9 6-1
5 5 Hidden Stash 4.50 3.8 7-1
1 1 Swingman 6.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 A C Expressway 10.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 Call Papa 15.00 7 13-1
9 9 Joe Man Joe 15.00 7.7 15-1
3 3 Flat Reward 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 In Good Spirits 2.50 4.3 8-1
10 5 Curls and Bows 6.00 5.1 10-1
7 4 Lucky Jingle 6.00 5.5 10-1
11 6 Miss Imperfection 6.00 5.8 11-1
4 2 Alta’s Award 6.00 6.5 12-1
5 3 His Glory 15.00 8.1 15-1
1 1 Windracer (IRE) 4.50 SCRATCH
3 3 Ask Bailey 3.50 SCRATCH
6 6 Alliaceous 15.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Faccio Io (GB) 8.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Kourvoisier (IRE) 12.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Mizzen Beau 1.60 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Mandaloun 3.00 1.7 3-1
11 11 Macron 4.00 3.2 6-1
10 10 Rockstar Ro 4.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Name Rejected 8.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Americanrevolution 10.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Plucky Strike 10.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Devil’s Fire 10.00 6.3 12-1
5 5 Kentucky Pharoah 12.00 7.1 13-1
9 9 Midnight Warship 15.00 7.3 14-1
4 4 Bob’s Edge 12.00 8.2 15-1
8 8 Startdfromdabottom 15.00 9.3 18-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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