Sports from the Basement

Keeneland Horse Racing Picks for Friday, October 23, 2020

October 23, 2020 Keeneland Horse Racing Picks.


Try SFTB Plus for Free

$10 a Month Gets You Horse Racing Advanced Stats including an optimizer for each race.

Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!

Learn More

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Morning Social 2.50 2.8 5-1
5 5 Cantrell Hill 2.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Makabim 3.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Urbanite 3.00 4 8-1
2 2 Stock Deal 12.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Believeinholidays 10.00 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Moonshine Dancing 3.50 1.7 3-1
5 5 Bold Article 2.50 1.9 4-1
2 2 Sunny Isle Beach 1.80 3.1 6-1
4 4 More Is More 4.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Golden Grant 8.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Some Would Say 12.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Soviet 1.80 1.6 3-1
4 3 Eel Point 2.00 2.8 5-1
3 2 Charliecando 6.00 3.6 7-1
5 4 On Your Mark 8.00 3.9 7-1
7 6 First Contact 10.00 5.5 10-1
8 7 Mascabroni 15.00 6.2 12-1
6 5 Carmel Bay 12.00 6.5 12-1
1 1 Perfect Sense 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Cecile’s Chapter 2.50 3.8 7-1
4 2 Puye Timing 10.00 4.8 9-1
6 4 Fast N Fine Worker 12.00 5.9 11-1
12 6 Betcha by Golly 12.00 6 11-1
8 5 Blissful Change 20.00 7.2 14-1
5 3 Long Monday 20.00 7.7 14-1
2 2 Thursday 20.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Crowella 30.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Misspell 2.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Lilac Lace 15.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Magnetism 8.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Momentous Miss 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Good With Numbers 2.50 1.2 2-1
1 1 Sister Annie 3.00 1.9 4-1
7 6 Shades of Truth 6.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Queens Gift 6.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 How Lucky 8.00 4.1 8-1
9 8 Bell Day 8.00 4.3 8-1
8 7 Our Ten Angels 8.00 6.2 12-1
2 2 Pettigo Girl 12.00 6.8 13-1
6 6 Birdie Be Gone 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 8 Color of Dawn 1.00 1.9 4-1
5 4 La Pulcinela 4.00 3.1 6-1
3 2 Latte Dolce 6.00 3.6 7-1
8 7 Zoom Up 8.00 4.2 8-1
7 6 Blarney Girl 15.00 6 11-1
4 3 Trouble Making 15.00 6.1 12-1
6 5 Classic Tale Saver 12.00 7.3 14-1
2 1 Pappy’s Best Girl 12.00 7.5 14-1
1 1 Be Like Water 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 5 Sequin 4.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Moravia (GB) 10.00 4.2 8-1
10 7 Aunt Nadine 4.50 4.8 9-1
1 1 Jades Gelly 8.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 First Wave 8.00 7 13-1
9 6 Sugar and Sass 12.00 7.6 14-1
12 8 Lea’s Princess 10.00 8 15-1
5 5 Abuse of Power 3.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Bourbon ‘n Ditch 15.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Cindy’s Prayer 20.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Kona Kai 15.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Heaven Escape 30.00 SCRATCH
14 14 And Isles 30.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Sense You Left 30.00 11.6 22-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Boating Party 5.00 1.5 3-1
9 8 Backshot 2.50 2.5 5-1
7 7 And Seek 5.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Dust Devil 6.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Market Analysis 3.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Takafumi (BRZ) 15.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Prioritizer 12.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Fire Marshall Bill 30.00 9.2 17-1
8 8 Mr. Tip 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Lady Lawyer 2.50 3.3 6-1
2 1 Speedy Solution 5.00 3.7 7-1
9 6 Winter Sunset 6.00 4.2 8-1
4 3 My Gal Betty 8.00 5 10-1
14 7 Quick Witted 12.00 5.7 11-1
6 4 Complicit 12.00 7.8 15-1
7 5 Lessons From Avery 15.00 7.9 15-1
1 1 Julia’s Ready 30.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Agi’s Cait 30.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Clara Peeters (GB) 2.50 SCRATCH
10 10 Summer in Saratoga 12.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Oh So Terrible 30.00 SCRATCH
12A 12 High Regard 30.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Traipsing 6.00 SCRATCH
15A 15 Final Cut 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Mucho Macho Momma 3.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Devilish Wit 2.50 3 6-1
9 8 Maxine’s Tap Room 8.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Foolery 8.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Goldie’s Delight 10.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Hindsight 10.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Celestial Spin 10.00 7.1 13-1
7 7 General Ginny 12.00 7.8 15-1
8 8 Super Sport 6.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

Upcoming Bankroll Contests
Wednesday Remington Park
Begins Wed, Dec 2 8:07 PM ET
Thursday Aqueduct
Begins Thu, Dec 3 12:20 PM ET
Thursday Gulfstream Park
Begins Thu, Dec 3 12:35 PM ET
Thursday Delta Downs
Begins Thu, Dec 3 1:55 PM ET
Thursday Fair Grounds
Begins Thu, Dec 3 2:00 PM ET
Thursday Remington Park
Begins Thu, Dec 3 8:07 PM ET
Go To Lobby
SFTB Plus

$10 a Month Gets You DFS Optimizers, Horse Racing Advanced Stats, and More.

Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!

Learn More
SFTB Parties

Choose Your Events and Create Your Own Sportsbook for You and Your Friends.

Only $3 to set up, and includes unlimited guests.

Learn More
Scoreboard
Europe - Champions League
3:00 PM ET
Sevilla
Chelsea
Details
NFL Football
3:40 PM ET
Baltimore Ravens
Pittsburgh Steelers
Details
Europe - Champions League
3:00 PM ET
Dortmund
Lazio
Details
England - League One
2:00 PM ET
Hull City
Doncaster
Details
Europe - Champions League
3:00 PM ET
Manchester United
PSG
Details
England - Championship
2:45 PM ET
Luton
Norwich
Details
England - Championship
2:00 PM ET
Middlesbrough
Swansea
Details
England - League Two
2:00 PM ET
Carlisle Utd
Salford City
Details
England - League One
HT
AFC Wimbledon 0
Peterborough 0
Details
Europe - Champions League
3:00 PM ET
Ferencvaros
FC Barcelona
Details
Go to Scoreboard