October 23, 2020 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Millefeuille | 1.60 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Plum Awesome | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mo Dean | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wedding Band | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jamsstar | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mirabell Mei | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Leeway | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Little Red Frog | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Flashing Red | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lady Fatima | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | R V Treasure | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sky Kitten | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 8 | Moon Sweeper | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Lucky Latkes | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Equant | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Kept Waiting | 1.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Dancing Kiki | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Lookin to Fly | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Favorite Impulse | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Homerun Honey | 30.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Vienna Code | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bella Domenica | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Beautiful Karen | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Twelfth Labour | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mine the Coin | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Steam Engine | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sargeant Drive | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Coolboy | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Coral Legacy | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ventus | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Cause of Action | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Indigo Yankee | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | On Duty | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Vicarage | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lokoya Road | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Accessible | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Pool Shark | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Holy Emperor | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Till Then | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ballydooley (GB) | 30.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Feeling Dangerous | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Loaded Joe | 50.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | My First Grammy | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Chocolate Bar | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sidd Finch | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Our Country | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Alley Oop Johnny | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sneakiness | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | No Salt | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | More Like It | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Implied Volatility | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Knockout Punch | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Striking Speed | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Unrelenting Force | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Charlie McCoy | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fort Worth | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Runaway Lute | 12.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Celtic Chaos | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Zonic | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Build to Suit | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Freaky Styley | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kazmania | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bears Mafia | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Bourbon Bay | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5A | 5 | Micromillion | 1.60 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | More Mango | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mopolka | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Sterling Beauty | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Come Storming | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Stuy Town Baby | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Beyond Brown | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Minit Maus | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cold Hearted Cat | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Wild North | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 11A | 11 | Lido Key | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | First Dawn | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Three Technique | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Money Moves | 1.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Americanus | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Grumps Little Tots | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dark Storm | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Expert | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Hachure | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Charleston Strong | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Secret Potion | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Scarlett Sky | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Engrave | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Simovitch | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Ghost Stalker | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | World Cruiser | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Iron Pearls | 30.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Girl Dad | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Private Code | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | High Knuckles | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.