October 22, 2020 Keeneland Horse Racing Picks.
Try SFTB Plus for Free
$10 a Month Gets You Horse Racing Advanced Stats including an optimizer for each race.
Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mizzen Air | 2.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Lady Blue | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | War Eagle’s Love | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Lucky Be a Lady | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | She Wants More | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Sheesa Pontiac | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Rewarded | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Fun Sucker | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Katie the Cutie | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 6 | Patriot’s War | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Obsessed | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Mau Mau | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Alexander Hamilton | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Beachwalker | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Poterya | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Summer Palace | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Capital Call | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Hawk of War | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Tight Ten | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Satchel de Ritches | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Atmos | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Olson | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Loopallu | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bourbon Native | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Grand Atlantic | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sparkys Surprise | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Baozun | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Spun Run | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | War Ensign | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Just Life | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Presleys Rifle | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Izeonpoint | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Platinum Hallway | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Goody Two Sioux | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hard to Access | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 7 | Shackleford County | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Tee Em Eye | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Princess Trina | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Keep Your Distance | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tia Flor | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Sunset Paula Jo | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Smokin Hot Momma | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Parking Ticket | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Honey Parade | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Current | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | By Your Side | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4A | 4 | Artie’s Rumor | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bundibunan | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Kaziranga | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sabador (FR) | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fighting Seabee | 10.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | High Promise | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Flap Jack | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Dune of Pilat (FR) | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Silver N Lai | 15.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Stage Ready | 15.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Power Player | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14A | 14 | On a Spree | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Eskenforit | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Sugar Love | 1.60 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kiss More | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Graysonsmacho Gal | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lemon Chill | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Flower House | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | My Bets | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Iadanza | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Julius | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Santos Dumont | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Stage Left | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Silver State | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Blackberry Wine | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Atone | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Uber Kirk | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Trident Hit | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Branco Maria | 15.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Chase Tracker | 20.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 5 | Wentru | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Fighting Force | 3.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ethical Judgement | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Burrow | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 8 | American Tryst | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Tamanrassett | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Hard Rye Guy | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Louisville Legend | 30.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kentucky Pharoah | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Incitatus | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Coastal Waters | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | American Patrol | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Majestic Summer | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Ghostlighter | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Flat Reward | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Swingman | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.