October 21, 2020 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Kid Macho | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Indirectly | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Partner’s Power | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Woodhaven Kid | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Mamaigotthis | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Betts | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Jane’s Factor | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 6 | Celtic Vow | 1.80 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Ice Cream Party | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Yours Completely | 1.60 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Deserted | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Lucky’s Ransom | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Frosty Friend | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Better Begin | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | It’s a Shaw Thing | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Mr Classical | 1.60 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jones Taxi | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Loan Me Your Ear | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Eastport | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ami’s Artie | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Legacy’s Prince | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Vocab | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Shoeless | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Oui Madame | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Wherewithal | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Azlynn’s Dreamer | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Miss Jasser | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Princess Marisol | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Start Notizing | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | African Song | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Leftatthealtar | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bella Lucia | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | All Right Girl | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Shes Euphoric | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Gypsy Wife | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wood Bee | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lula’s Roadrunner | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Isabellaalexa | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Carmeltini | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Rockstar Girl | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Light Up Night | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Quiet Please | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Onarock | 2.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Chateau de Vizille | 4.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Barrel of Stout | 5.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Alfred | 3.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Asset Allocation | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Staynsidethecircle | 8.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Scherzo | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Gotta Get Away | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Kikinboy | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | K D’s Cat Bird | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Brew Dog | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Year of the Kitten | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Creative Genius | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Klaatu | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Spring Emperor | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 6 | Spider Jorgensen | 15.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Shanghai Superfly | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mr. Roundtree | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ark in the Dark | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Chilly in Charge | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bright Dawn | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Double Chubble | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Manolito | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | War Tocsin | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8A | 8 | Easy On the Sugar | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Donnybrook Girl | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1A | 1 | Confirmed Genius | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pie Killer | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Charge Through | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Blissful Behavior | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Joyful Jill | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Celestial Pride | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kirtan | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mariah Alyvia | 15.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Krubera | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8A | 6 | Ruby Bleu | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Dreams Untold | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | D T Goodie | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Flat Out Beautiful | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | Final Shot | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Semi Excited | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | New Commission | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Sir Back in Black | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Thiscatcanjump | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | The Right Path | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | American Talent | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11A | 11 | Honorable Service | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Thunder Day | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Naughty Prince | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Your Awesome Boss | 4.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Extra Medium | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Grand Oasis | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Town Jak | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Roan Mountain | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Vero Sun | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kingsville | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | American River (VEN) | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Shoreline | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Talented Son | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2A | 2 | Silver Excess | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 11A | 10 | Trappe Me Later | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Al Dila | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Yes Mz Adah | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Volodina | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Driven by Speed | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Finishing School | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Descarado | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pretty Cool Cat | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fleur de Force | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Chancee | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Chorite | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.