Sports from the Basement

Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, October 21, 2020

October 21, 2020 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Kid Macho 2.00 2.7 5-1
6 4 Indirectly 4.00 3 6-1
1 1 Partner’s Power 8.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Woodhaven Kid 4.50 4.2 8-1
7 5 Mamaigotthis 15.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Betts 8.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Jane’s Factor 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 6 Celtic Vow 1.80 1.7 3-1
7 5 Ice Cream Party 8.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Yours Completely 1.60 4.7 9-1
4 3 Deserted 8.00 4.8 9-1
6 4 Lucky’s Ransom 20.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Frosty Friend 20.00 6 11-1
3 3 Better Begin 6.00 SCRATCH
5 5 It’s a Shaw Thing 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Waiver Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Mr Classical 1.60 3.1 6-1
1 1 Jones Taxi 10.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Loan Me Your Ear 3.50 3.9 7-1
5 5 Eastport 3.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Ami’s Artie 10.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Legacy’s Prince 8.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Vocab 20.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Shoeless 15.00 5.9 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Oui Madame 3.50 4.3 8-1
5 5 Wherewithal 4.50 4.8 9-1
2 2 Azlynn’s Dreamer 3.00 5.3 10-1
10 10 Miss Jasser 12.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 Princess Marisol 6.00 6.3 12-1
9 9 Start Notizing 20.00 6.9 13-1
3 3 African Song 6.00 7 13-1
1 1 Leftatthealtar 15.00 7.5 14-1
8 8 Bella Lucia 15.00 7.7 15-1
7 7 All Right Girl 20.00 8.6 16-1
11 11 Shes Euphoric 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Gypsy Wife 3.50 2.2 4-1
3 3 Wood Bee 4.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Lula’s Roadrunner 4.50 3.7 7-1
6 5 Isabellaalexa 3.00 3.9 7-1
7 6 Carmeltini 12.00 4.5 9-1
8 7 Rockstar Girl 8.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Light Up Night 5.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Quiet Please 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Onarock 2.50 4.7 9-1
3 3 Chateau de Vizille 4.00 5.6 11-1
6 5 Barrel of Stout 5.00 6.4 12-1
2 2 Alfred 3.00 6.5 12-1
9 7 Asset Allocation 15.00 8.4 16-1
1 1 Staynsidethecircle 8.00 8.9 17-1
4 4 Scherzo 20.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Gotta Get Away 4.50 SCRATCH
10 10 Kikinboy 3.50 SCRATCH
11 11 K D’s Cat Bird 15.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Brew Dog 20.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Year of the Kitten 20.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Creative Genius 20.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Klaatu 4.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Spring Emperor 3.00 SCRATCH
8 6 Spider Jorgensen 15.00 10.8 20-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Shanghai Superfly 2.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Mr. Roundtree 3.50 3.2 6-1
6 6 Ark in the Dark 4.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Chilly in Charge 4.50 3.6 7-1
8 8 Bright Dawn 5.00 4.5 9-1
7 7 Double Chubble 12.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Manolito 10.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 War Tocsin 10.00 5.7 11-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8A 8 Easy On the Sugar 2.50 1 2-1
7 7 Donnybrook Girl 3.50 2.5 5-1
1A 1 Confirmed Genius 2.50 2.9 5-1
3 3 Pie Killer 4.50 3 6-1
9 9 Charge Through 4.00 4 8-1
10 10 Blissful Behavior 5.00 4 8-1
2 2 Joyful Jill 6.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Celestial Pride 10.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Kirtan 10.00 6.2 12-1
6 6 Mariah Alyvia 15.00 6.6 13-1
11 11 Krubera 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8A 6 Ruby Bleu 3.00 1.9 4-1
5 4 Dreams Untold 2.50 3 6-1
9 7 D T Goodie 6.00 3.3 6-1
4 3 Flat Out Beautiful 3.50 3.9 7-1
12 9 Final Shot 6.00 4.2 8-1
2 1 Semi Excited 6.00 4.5 8-1
3 2 New Commission 8.00 4.8 9-1
6 5 Sir Back in Black 6.00 4.8 9-1
10 8 Thiscatcanjump 15.00 6 11-1
1 1 The Right Path 8.00 SCRATCH
7 7 American Talent 10.00 SCRATCH
11A 11 Honorable Service 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Thunder Day 3.00 3.5 7-1
8 7 Naughty Prince 4.00 4 8-1
11 9 Your Awesome Boss 4.50 4.5 8-1
3 3 Extra Medium 3.50 5.1 10-1
2 2 Grand Oasis 8.00 5.3 10-1
9 8 Town Jak 8.00 5.4 10-1
12 10 Roan Mountain 10.00 6.3 12-1
4 4 Vero Sun 8.00 6.9 13-1
1 1 Kingsville 10.00 7.3 14-1
6 5 American River (VEN) 15.00 9 17-1
5 5 Shoreline 6.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Talented Son 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2A 2 Silver Excess 3.00 1.2 2-1
11A 10 Trappe Me Later 3.00 1.2 2-1
5 5 Miss Al Dila 8.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Yes Mz Adah 4.50 3.5 7-1
8 8 Volodina 3.50 4.9 9-1
10 9 Driven by Speed 10.00 5 9-1
6 6 Finishing School 6.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Descarado 12.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Pretty Cool Cat 15.00 6.3 12-1
7 7 Fleur de Force 20.00 6.6 13-1
12 11 Chancee 12.00 7.4 14-1
9 9 Chorite 12.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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