Sports from the Basement

Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, October 18, 2020

October 18, 2020 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Yes to Mischief 2.00 2 4-1
5 5 Good Alternative 2.50 2.2 4-1
7 7 Neptune’s Pearl 6.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Tapitlikeitshot 10.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Out Atthe Speedway 8.00 4 8-1
1 1 Bunchkins 4.00 4.5 9-1
6 6 Lacougra 12.00 4.7 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 5 Lord of Legends 4.00 3.2 6-1
3 2 Priceless Will 1.40 3.4 6-1
8 6 First Desire 10.00 4.2 8-1
4 3 Cardiff Hall 20.00 4.7 9-1
2 1 Birchmount Rd 15.00 4.8 9-1
6 4 Orphan Hallie 20.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Canola World 6.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Windchill Zar 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Royal Laser 3.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 Strike Me Down 1.60 2 4-1
5 5 Malibu Uproar 4.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Magic Tapit 6.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Osage Moon 12.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Viewfinder 10.00 4.5 9-1
4 4 Faraway Kitten 8.00 4.7 9-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Chasing Vinny 4.50 1.8 3-1
7 6 Canadian Secret 8.00 3.4 6-1
9 8 Google It 6.00 3.6 7-1
4 3 Yola 4.00 3.8 7-1
3 2 Torpedo Max 3.00 3.9 7-1
2 1 Torah’s Blessing 12.00 3.9 7-1
10 9 Stormy Egbert 10.00 5 9-1
8 7 Cryptic Grip 10.00 5.7 11-1
6 5 Mia’s Extortionist 20.00 6.6 12-1
11 10 Charles Street 15.00 6.6 13-1
1 1 Agnelli 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Northern Dancer Turf S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Sir Sahib 3.50 1.7 3-1
7 7 Admiralty Pier 4.50 2.4 5-1
5 5 Nakamura 3.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Say the Word 8.00 2.6 5-1
8 8 Count Again 2.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Woodbridge 10.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Peace of Ekati 20.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Jungle Fighter 20.00 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 10 Correlate 6.00 2.1 4-1
8 6 Hiatus 4.00 3.3 6-1
2 1 Truffle King 10.00 3.6 7-1
6 5 Derzkii 3.00 3.9 7-1
11 9 Beau Guest 12.00 4.2 8-1
10 8 Billy Yank 12.00 5.1 10-1
9 7 In Search Of 15.00 5.3 10-1
3 2 Justintimegosnorth 20.00 6.7 13-1
5 4 Verrazano Bridge 20.00 7.5 14-1
4 3 Liars Club 20.00 7.7 15-1
1 1 Trinity Gold 10.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Valhalla Air Base 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – E. P. Taylor S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Etoile (FR) 1.80 1.4 3-1
4 4 Theodora B. 2.00 2 4-1
1 1 Rideforthecause 4.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Secret Message 6.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Pretty Point 8.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Court Return 20.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Elizabeth Way (IRE) 10.00 4.3 8-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Crawl From the Bar 5.00 1.9 4-1
8 8 Cash Dividend 3.50 2.3 4-1
6 6 Elektronic 8.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Red Hierarchy 1.20 2.9 6-1
5 5 Lead Director 10.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Just Like Larry 8.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Jacobs Call 15.00 4 8-1
7 7 Bay of Rum 20.00 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Nearctic S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 8 Olympic Runner 4.00 2.2 4-1
3 2 Blind Ambition 8.00 2.8 5-1
5 4 Silent Poet 2.00 2.9 6-1
2 1 Kanthaka 3.00 3.2 6-1
6 5 Lady Grace 10.00 3.7 7-1
4 3 Guildsman (FR) 10.00 4.2 8-1
7 6 Vanbrugh 12.00 4.2 8-1
8 7 City Boy 12.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Reconfigure 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Display S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Helium 2.00 1.1 2-1
3 3 Maclean’s Posse 3.00 1.5 3-1
7 6 Gospel Way 6.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Knight Kingdom 10.00 3.3 6-1
8 7 Souper Classy 8.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Exceed 10.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Decimator 20.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Rocket Reload 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 My Sugar Pie 4.50 2.3 4-1
6 5 Vinyasa 2.50 3.1 6-1
8 7 Cheeky Pint 3.00 3.6 7-1
9 8 Stormy Vision 6.00 4.6 9-1
7 6 Clearly Seen 15.00 7.2 14-1
12 11 Boatloadofnerve 15.00 8.1 15-1
1 1 Light It Up 20.00 8.3 16-1
11 10 Raspberry Wild 20.00 8.6 16-1
3 3 Pastel Emily 20.00 8.6 16-1
5 5 Calm It 20.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Sararenda 20.00 8.8 17-1
10 9 Cicibonne 20.00 9 17-1
13 13 Stormy Suzie 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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