October 18, 2020 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Yes to Mischief | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Good Alternative | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Neptune’s Pearl | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tapitlikeitshot | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Out Atthe Speedway | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bunchkins | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lacougra | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 5 | Lord of Legends | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Priceless Will | 1.40 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | First Desire | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Cardiff Hall | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Birchmount Rd | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Orphan Hallie | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Canola World | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Windchill Zar | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Royal Laser | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Strike Me Down | 1.60 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Malibu Uproar | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Magic Tapit | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Osage Moon | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Viewfinder | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Faraway Kitten | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Chasing Vinny | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Canadian Secret | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Google It | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Yola | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Torpedo Max | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Torah’s Blessing | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Stormy Egbert | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Cryptic Grip | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Mia’s Extortionist | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Charles Street | 15.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Agnelli | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Northern Dancer Turf S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Sir Sahib | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Admiralty Pier | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Nakamura | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Say the Word | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Count Again | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Woodbridge | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Peace of Ekati | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jungle Fighter | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 10 | Correlate | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Hiatus | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Truffle King | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Derzkii | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Beau Guest | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Billy Yank | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | In Search Of | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Justintimegosnorth | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Verrazano Bridge | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Liars Club | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Trinity Gold | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Valhalla Air Base | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – E. P. Taylor S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Etoile (FR) | 1.80 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Theodora B. | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rideforthecause | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Secret Message | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pretty Point | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Court Return | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Elizabeth Way (IRE) | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Crawl From the Bar | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cash Dividend | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Elektronic | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Red Hierarchy | 1.20 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lead Director | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Just Like Larry | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jacobs Call | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bay of Rum | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Nearctic S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Olympic Runner | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Blind Ambition | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Silent Poet | 2.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Kanthaka | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Lady Grace | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Guildsman (FR) | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Vanbrugh | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | City Boy | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Reconfigure | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Display S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Helium | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Maclean’s Posse | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Gospel Way | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Knight Kingdom | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Souper Classy | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Exceed | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Decimator | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rocket Reload | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | My Sugar Pie | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Vinyasa | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Cheeky Pint | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Stormy Vision | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Clearly Seen | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Boatloadofnerve | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Light It Up | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Raspberry Wild | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pastel Emily | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Calm It | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Sararenda | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Cicibonne | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Stormy Suzie | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.