Sports from the Basement

Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, October 17, 2020

October 17, 2020 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Meo Desperado 20.00 2 4-1
1 1 Voodoo Valley 15.00 2.9 5-1
6 6 Seattle Ric 3.50 4.4 8-1
3 3 Five Card Draw 3.50 4.9 9-1
7 7 Chuck’s Dream 4.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Lucky Junior 4.50 6 11-1
5 5 Victory Given 2.50 6.6 12-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Mystique Palace 20.00 1.8 3-1
4 4 Supreme Blessing 15.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Great Cause 8.00 4.5 8-1
5 5 Lady Clau 5.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Guapa Chica 2.50 5.6 11-1
8 8 Classy Escort 2.00 5.9 11-1
7 7 Nicolar 4.50 7.5 14-1
6 6 Bley 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Cairo Queen 2.50 1.7 3-1
8 8 Union Song 1.20 1.8 3-1
3 3 Melisande 20.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 La Silueta 6.00 2.4 4-1
7 7 Car Lady 15.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Trading Cents 30.00 2.9 5-1
11 11 Youknowwhatitizzz 20.00 2.9 6-1
1 1 Maryland’s Miracle 10.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Magic in Malibu 8.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Call On Clara 8.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Elite Appeal 2.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Megalomania 10.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Magdalena 10.00 SCRATCH
14 14 So Who’s Back 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Trip to Freedom 8.00 1.2 2-1
7 7 Great Fun 2.50 1.2 2-1
2 2 Miss Leslie 3.50 1.4 3-1
4 4 Magic Election 4.50 1.5 3-1
3 3 Tam Char 15.00 1.5 3-1
1 1 Lookin Back 3.00 1.6 3-1
6 6 Love Is Strong 12.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 My Way Or Else 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Boom Boom Gone 30.00 1.6 3-1
7 7 Grace Isabella 3.50 1.8 3-1
11 11 Tapete Claire 2.50 1.8 3-1
3 3 Trixie’s Time 6.00 2 4-1
12 12 Mae Sai Princess 6.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 Buff’s in Love 6.00 2.3 4-1
8 8 I’mthekatsmeow 4.00 2.5 5-1
13 13 Algodonal 3.50 2.7 5-1
14 14 Cosita Rica 30.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Market Money 8.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Petticoatsnpistols 20.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Caterina One 2.50 SCRATCH
9 9 Princess Killmain 12.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Madame X. 5.00 SCRATCH
15 15 La Piu Bella 1.80 SCRATCH
16 16 Kupuri 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Persevered 20.00 1.2 2-1
2 2 Hard Sting 0.60 1.4 3-1
3 3 Sheriff Chip 12.00 1.5 3-1
9 9 Brightwood 15.00 2.2 4-1
7 7 Bourbon Agogo 12.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Find Your Boaz 20.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Favor Maker 20.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Good Luck Legacy 12.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Runaway Star 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Blue Sky Venezuela 3.50 1.3 3-1
4 4 Marie From Parie 6.00 1.4 3-1
1 1 R True Sensation 12.00 1.4 3-1
10 10 Checotah 10.00 1.7 3-1
6 6 Joyful Noise 15.00 1.8 3-1
9 9 Petion Lass 10.00 2 4-1
7 7 Majestic Pic 8.00 2 4-1
3 3 Swirrlie Shirlie 4.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Starting Tour 4.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 Barbsgray Lion 15.00 2.2 4-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Patriotic Punch 8.00 1.2 2-1
5 5 Queen of Tomorrow 3.50 1.3 2-1
3 3 My Queen Michelle 6.00 1.4 3-1
4 4 Kit Kat Katie 6.00 1.7 3-1
7 7 Tiz Michelle’s Way 6.00 1.7 3-1
8 8 Bluefield 5.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Wedontbelieveher 6.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Pretti Xtreme 5.00 2.2 4-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Dial Emma Reilly 20.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Bean Indiscreet 4.00 1.9 4-1
7 7 Sevilla Sangria 1.80 2.1 4-1
11 11 Lady Fox 2.50 2.1 4-1
6 6 Villamoura 3.50 2.4 5-1
12 12 All About Audrey 15.00 2.6 5-1
13 13 Do I Ever 50.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Island Notion 20.00 2.8 5-1
8 8 Dixie’s Fascinator 5.00 2.9 5-1
9 9 Popeye’s Oyl 15.00 3 6-1
2 2 Pavla’s Mission 15.00 SCRATCH
3 3 You’re Doing Fine 2.50 SCRATCH
5 5 Carrot Cake 10.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Miss Old Bay 20.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Imagine Victory 12.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Hairspray 15.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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