October 17, 2020 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Ryan’s Cat | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rejected Again | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mission Wrapitup | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Double Shot | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Leaveuwithasmile | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | The Great Dansky | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Glenn Likes Gin | 30.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 4 | The Sicarii | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 6 | Ian Glass | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2A | 2 | Jump for Joy | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Releasethethunder | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Outrageous Bet | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 5 | Psychic Energy | 30.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Abiding Star | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Ghost Giant | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Kitten’s Cat | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Duncastle | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11A | 11 | Another | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Pagliacci | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Empty Tomb | 2.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Musical Heart | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Performer | 0.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Zero Gravity | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Forever Mo | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 2 | Kiss and Run | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Unicorn Sally | 4.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Belleza | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 7 | Running On Entry | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 15 | 8 | Arrietty | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Eighty Seven North | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dustinthewind | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Tornado Crossing | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Sainte Mere Eglise | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | She So Naughty | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Tonilee | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Memories Eternal | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Twice a Lady | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 9 | Sophie Fatale | 30.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Mizzen the Mark | 30.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Saratoga Lullaby | 30.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Vineyard Sound | 1.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Shamrocked | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Durkin’s Call | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Preamble | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Coltandmississippi | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Justin Front | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hawaiian Noises | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Swiping Dan | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 8 | Voter Protection | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pacific Legend | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Texas Basin | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Momza | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | Greatheart | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Sono Grato | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Berhanu | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Risky Woods | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kentucky Knight | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | High Knuckles | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Charleston Strong | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Coach P | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Raven Rocks | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Ernie Banker | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Scuttlebuzz | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Wudda U Think Now | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | The Golden Door | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Not Phar Now | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Shinjuku | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Neuro | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | A Vow of Beauty | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Striking Causeway | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Bernardino | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Fast Gordon | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Six Percent | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cold Hard Cash | 1.40 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Red Zinger | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Too Early | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Farragut | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Beach Access | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Forever Wicked | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Floral Park S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Lead Guitar | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Rose Flower (GER) | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Xanthique | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Sunny Dale | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bohemian Bourbon | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | My Sassy Sarah | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Saratoga Treasure | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | I’llhandalthecash | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Getmotherarose | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Elle’s Town | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mitchell Road | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Slimey | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Overheated | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Good Credence | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jewel of Arabia | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Archumybaby | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Playtone | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Letmetakethiscall | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Jc’s Shooting Star | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fight On Lucy | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cartwheel | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Viradia | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Love and Love | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.