Sports from the Basement

Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, October 17, 2020

October 17, 2020 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Ryan’s Cat 4.50 2.2 4-1
1 1 Rejected Again 2.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Mission Wrapitup 8.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Double Shot 6.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Leaveuwithasmile 4.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 The Great Dansky 2.50 3.7 7-1
3 3 Glenn Likes Gin 30.00 4.3 8-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 4 The Sicarii 6.00 2.8 5-1
10 6 Ian Glass 4.00 3.8 7-1
2A 2 Jump for Joy 12.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Releasethethunder 12.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Outrageous Bet 20.00 5.9 11-1
9 5 Psychic Energy 30.00 6.6 13-1
4 4 Abiding Star 3.50 SCRATCH
5 5 Ghost Giant 8.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Kitten’s Cat 5.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Duncastle 4.50 SCRATCH
11A 11 Another 12.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Pagliacci 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Empty Tomb 2.00 1.3 3-1
3 3 Musical Heart 6.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Performer 0.50 2.3 4-1
5 5 Zero Gravity 12.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Forever Mo 15.00 3.5 7-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 2 Kiss and Run 4.50 3.8 7-1
7 4 Unicorn Sally 4.00 4 7-1
9 6 Belleza 6.00 5.1 10-1
11 7 Running On Entry 8.00 5.7 11-1
15 8 Arrietty 20.00 6.4 12-1
5 3 Eighty Seven North 12.00 7.6 14-1
1 1 Dustinthewind 30.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Tornado Crossing 12.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Sainte Mere Eglise 8.00 SCRATCH
10 10 She So Naughty 3.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Tonilee 30.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Memories Eternal 10.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Twice a Lady 5.00 SCRATCH
16 9 Sophie Fatale 30.00 11.6 22-1
8 5 Mizzen the Mark 30.00 11.6 22-1
2 1 Saratoga Lullaby 30.00 11.7 22-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Vineyard Sound 1.50 2.5 5-1
6 6 Shamrocked 2.50 2.8 5-1
5 5 Durkin’s Call 8.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Preamble 3.50 3.3 6-1
4 4 Coltandmississippi 8.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Justin Front 15.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Hawaiian Noises 15.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Swiping Dan 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 8 Voter Protection 2.00 1.2 2-1
2 2 Pacific Legend 2.50 1.7 3-1
4 3 Texas Basin 3.00 1.9 4-1
9 7 Momza 4.00 2.7 5-1
12 9 Greatheart 8.00 4.3 8-1
6 5 Sono Grato 10.00 5.3 10-1
5 4 Berhanu 10.00 6.9 13-1
8 6 Risky Woods 15.00 7.2 14-1
1 1 Kentucky Knight 15.00 8.5 16-1
3 3 High Knuckles 15.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Charleston Strong 3.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Coach P 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Raven Rocks 4.50 2.4 5-1
11 9 Ernie Banker 2.50 2.7 5-1
10 8 Scuttlebuzz 4.50 4.3 8-1
6 5 Wudda U Think Now 8.00 4.3 8-1
2 1 The Golden Door 4.00 4.3 8-1
3 2 Not Phar Now 6.00 4.7 9-1
8 7 Shinjuku 15.00 6.5 12-1
5 4 Neuro 10.00 6.8 13-1
4 3 A Vow of Beauty 15.00 8.1 15-1
1 1 Striking Causeway 3.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Bernardino 8.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Fast Gordon 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Six Percent 2.50 1.4 3-1
4 4 Cold Hard Cash 1.40 2.2 4-1
6 6 Red Zinger 6.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Too Early 8.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 Farragut 4.50 3 6-1
5 5 Beach Access 10.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Forever Wicked 20.00 4.8 9-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Floral Park S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Lead Guitar 3.50 3.9 7-1
9 8 Rose Flower (GER) 6.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Xanthique 5.00 4.5 9-1
11 10 Sunny Dale 15.00 6.4 12-1
1 1 Bohemian Bourbon 12.00 6.4 12-1
2 2 My Sassy Sarah 12.00 6.4 12-1
10 9 Saratoga Treasure 12.00 7.2 14-1
3 3 I’llhandalthecash 10.00 7.2 14-1
4 4 Getmotherarose 15.00 8.1 15-1
7 6 Elle’s Town 20.00 8.5 16-1
6 6 Mitchell Road 3.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Slimey 3.50 SCRATCH
13 13 Overheated 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Good Credence 3.50 2.8 5-1
6 6 Jewel of Arabia 4.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Archumybaby 4.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Playtone 10.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Letmetakethiscall 5.00 4.2 8-1
10 9 Jc’s Shooting Star 6.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Fight On Lucy 15.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Cartwheel 20.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Viradia 15.00 5.9 11-1
9 9 Love and Love 10.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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