October 16, 2020 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Elgofranco | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cassie Belle | 1.20 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Envy | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Spanish Channel | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Verry Bossy | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Forever Free | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shez Our Arch | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Little Miss Ellie | 0.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jan Jan Can | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rickie Nine Toe’s | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Capital Heat | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Adrienne’s Progeny | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | That Corey | 3.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Lil Nas | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Circleofchampions | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Me Likey | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | By Moonlight | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Gates of Heaven | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Whiskey Vision | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Fleet Roy | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Crossword | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | The Chosen Vron | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Flying Business | 1.80 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Billy K | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Heart River | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dehydration | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sherilinda | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Don’t Stop Lookin | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Tapwater | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | She’s Our Charm | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Quick (GB) | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gypsy Spirit (GB) | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Heathers Grey | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Out of Balance | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Secret Touch | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Justin’s Quest | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Truth Seeker | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Conquest Cobra | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Debt Monger | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bold Endeavor | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Champagneonme | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Pyron | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Surfing Star | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | California Street | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kneedeepinsnow | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Grinning Tiger | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Microrithms | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Rose’s Crystal | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Rockie Causeway | 1.20 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Cheerful Charm | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Keep Dancing | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ketchup | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | New Heat | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Slew’s Screen Star | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Buy Wave Buy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.