Sports from the Basement

Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, October 15, 2020

October 15, 2020 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Rockin Ron 15.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 El Rojo 15.00 5 9-1
1 1 Gottaway 4.50 5.5 10-1
3 3 Runner Runner Indy 4.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Created Special 2.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 Crescent Warrior 20.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Glorious Weekend 1.80 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Greek Prince 10.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Maynooth 12.00 2.4 5-1
6 6 Just Chill Out 15.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Hero’s Return 4.50 5 9-1
8 8 G Man 15.00 6.6 12-1
1 1 Lectric Choke 2.50 6.7 13-1
5 5 Prince Khozan 3.00 7.1 13-1
7 7 Its Yes 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Gins and Tins 10.00 1.4 3-1
5 5 In Him With Him 12.00 1.6 3-1
6 6 Smart Step 4.50 2.5 5-1
15 15 Colonist 15.00 2.8 5-1
11 11 Bobby G 4.50 3 6-1
10 10 Fast Master 20.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Projected (GB) 3.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Atreyu 15.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Beltway Bob 20.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Kiss My Note 4.50 SCRATCH
8 8 Carbon Data 15.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Hard Fought 3.50 SCRATCH
12 12 Soulmate 8.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Midnight Act 2.50 SCRATCH
14 14 Shackled 30.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Asset Allocation 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Successful Zip 3.00 1.3 3-1
8 8 More Abundance 15.00 1.4 3-1
4 4 Day the Music Died 6.00 1.6 3-1
7 7 Nomo Ron 8.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Ray’swarrior 2.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Girls Love Me 15.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 We Should Talk 15.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Factor This In 5.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Free Dancer 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Be Sneaky 6.00 1.2 2-1
11 11 Carbis Bay 6.00 1.3 2-1
1 1 Flanigan’s Cove 8.00 1.5 3-1
10 10 Met in Miami 6.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Union Tatters 5.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Chelsea Wall 20.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Wonderwall 15.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Blast Off Bryce 10.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Italian Dressing 20.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Fraudulent Charge 15.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Out of Sorts 4.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Dew Dat 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Oxide 5.00 1.2 2-1
7 7 Miami Mumbles 3.50 1.2 2-1
3 3 Al Brown 6.00 1.3 2-1
2 2 Plot the Dots 3.00 1.4 3-1
6 6 The Poser 8.00 1.5 3-1
8 8 Josef Is Real 10.00 1.6 3-1
1 1 Crouchelli 6.00 1.8 3-1
9 9 Sea Ghost 15.00 2 4-1
4 4 Cousin Jimmy 20.00 2 4-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 No Venti No Wavy 8.00 1.2 2-1
1 1 Fifteen Royals 3.00 1.8 3-1
9 9 Can the Queen 4.50 2.1 4-1
6 6 Stickingtogether 6.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Margie’s Heaven 15.00 2.4 4-1
10 10 Grand Skylark 12.00 2.4 5-1
2 2 Elegant Gal 15.00 2.4 5-1
11 11 Epic Idea 2.50 2.5 5-1
3 3 Queen of Tomorrow 3.50 SCRATCH
7 7 Patriotic Punch 10.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Live Aid 15.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Factorintheheat 15.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Spun Glass 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Tricky Lion 3.50 1.3 3-1
7 7 Bolita Boyz 3.00 1.4 3-1
6 6 Daystrike 3.50 1.4 3-1
1 1 Zitarrosa 5.00 1.6 3-1
2 2 Sidewalk Prophet 15.00 1.8 3-1
4 4 Correjon 15.00 1.9 4-1
9 9 Time Flies By 6.00 2.1 4-1
8 8 The Forty Factor 10.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 Greek God 30.00 2.3 4-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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