Sports from the Basement

Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Monday, October 12, 2020

October 12, 2020 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Freedom Flyer 2.50 1.2 2-1
3 2 High Con 5.00 2.3 4-1
7 6 Brilliant Cut 4.00 2.5 5-1
4 3 Map to My Heart 3.00 4.4 8-1
5 4 Cutetip 12.00 5.3 10-1
6 5 Plum Sexy 6.00 5.4 10-1
8 7 I’m the Boss of Me 10.00 6 11-1
2 2 Nurse Hardbody 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Tiz a Unicorn 2.00 1.5 3-1
1 1 Suezaaana 2.50 2.4 4-1
5 5 True Mischief 0.80 3 6-1
2 2 Maria’s Royalty 12.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Turkish Angel 30.00 4.8 9-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Uncle Boogie 2.50 1.7 3-1
2 2 Stone’s River 4.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 Superduty Justice 1.80 2.5 5-1
1 1 From the Get Go 2.50 2.9 5-1
3 3 Emperor’s Fisc 6.00 4.4 8-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Evoo 4.00 2 4-1
4 4 Magical Thought 8.00 2.1 4-1
8 7 Dorita’s Happy 8.00 2.4 5-1
9 8 Astute 1.80 2.6 5-1
1 1 Chevelita 5.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 You’re All Talk 30.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Katerini 5.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Philly Lishes 5.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Oscarette 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Caymans Cobra 2.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Little No Way 2.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 Colosi 1.60 3.1 6-1
3 3 Paige Runner 6.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Lead Star 12.00 4.2 8-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Grit and Curiosity 1.80 1.4 3-1
4 3 Mesut 3.00 1.8 3-1
3 2 Little Juanito 8.00 3 6-1
5 4 Calexman 3.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Tilted Towers 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Uncaptured Hero 2.00 1.5 3-1
4 4 Race Home 4.00 2 4-1
3 3 Carpe Victoriam 1.20 2.4 5-1
5 5 Shady Empire 5.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Press Briefing 8.00 4.7 9-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Invictatatus 2.50 2.2 4-1
4 4 Malibu Prince 6.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Fire Polish 3.50 2.8 5-1
2 2 Silent Musketier 8.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 Afleeting Life 4.00 5.9 11-1
9 9 Most Sandisfactory 8.00 6.8 13-1
7 7 Vegas Moon 10.00 6.9 13-1
3 3 Whispering Flame 12.00 7.9 15-1
6 6 Midnight Luck 15.00 8 15-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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