Sports from the Basement

Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, October 11, 2020

October 11, 2020 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Gea 6.00 2.4 5-1
2 2 Alternative View 2.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Londonderry 3.50 3.1 6-1
7 7 Twomanyshots 8.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Twick 12.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Benevida 3.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Ivylea 10.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Anita Grigio 20.00 5.7 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Keen Samurai 2.00 1.9 4-1
8 8 Icomefromdowntown 8.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Dinosaur Ben 6.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Thy Kingdom 10.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Red Astaire 4.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Red Return 3.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 James Bay 12.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Knotty by Design 20.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Colton Shaft 20.00 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Speedy Hans 2.00 1.4 3-1
3 3 Malibu Mambo 3.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Striking Moon 2.50 2.5 5-1
6 6 Desolator 6.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Champit 4.50 2.9 5-1
2 2 Awesome Tiger 12.00 4 8-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Nashtrick 4.00 2.4 5-1
2 2 Muskoka Son 3.00 2.6 5-1
8 8 Secret Path 6.00 3 6-1
7 7 Sunspear 2.50 3.3 6-1
10 10 Mister Oakley 8.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Cohiba Ghost 10.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Lakeside Park 12.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Zephan 20.00 6.4 12-1
4 4 Kinlee’s Song 15.00 6.5 12-1
6 6 Copinsay 20.00 7.6 14-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Curlin’s Catch 2.50 1.1 2-1
3 3 Ready Hero 4.50 2.2 4-1
8 7 British Royalty 8.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Keep Grinding 10.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Beyond Borders 12.00 4.2 8-1
10 9 Runninforcover 10.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Perfect Crime 6.00 4.5 9-1
9 8 Drone Swarm 20.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Flex 20.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 Lenny K 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Union Colonel 3.50 2.7 5-1
7 7 Strike the Top 6.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 There’s No Joe 3.00 2.9 6-1
10 10 Wave Baby 4.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Sea Scout 10.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Sharp’s River 8.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Burning Love 12.00 5 9-1
11 11 I See the Stars 15.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Over the Hills 20.00 6.5 12-1
2 2 Righteous Robbie 20.00 7.1 13-1
8 8 Silent Risk 20.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Society’s Tiger 3.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 King Causeway 2.00 2.1 4-1
8 8 Blockbuster 6.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Combative 3.50 2.7 5-1
3 3 Doobiedoobiedoobie 8.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Nestleton Hush 10.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Suitedconnected 12.00 4 8-1
4 4 Show Me Your Spots 20.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Prince of Thieves 2.50 2.1 4-1
8 8 Meyer 3.50 2.2 4-1
6 6 Executive Search 3.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Dixie Giant 10.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Four Aces High 6.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Better Boogie 8.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Detroit Steel (IRE) 20.00 6.2 12-1
5 5 North Battleford 20.00 6.3 12-1
9 9 Goldmine Cat 20.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Durham Cup S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Salute With Honor 3.00 1.3 2-1
7 7 Armistice Day 2.00 1.6 3-1
1 1 Skywire 2.50 1.9 4-1
5 5 Roaring Forties 6.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Pioneer Man 8.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Timeskip 12.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Inventing Blame 20.00 4.7 9-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Preferred Guest 2.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Miss Behave 4.00 2.9 6-1
9 8 Gun Society 3.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Nice Brown Girl 8.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Bobbi’s Legacy 12.00 4.5 9-1
8 7 Fashion Flirt 12.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Rapunzel’s Dream 15.00 4.9 9-1
7 6 November Fog 20.00 7 13-1
6 6 Miss Ariel 6.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Teacher’s Pet 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Quantum Velocity 3.00 1.1 2-1
5 5 Kosmonavt 4.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 Suigu Star 6.00 2 4-1
9 9 Ga Ga Gizmo 3.50 2.9 5-1
10 10 Big Boy Benny 8.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 One Flint 12.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 No Exit 10.00 4 7-1
7 7 Malibu Mandate 12.00 5 9-1
6 6 Grander Plan 20.00 6.2 12-1
8 8 Ima Silent Force 20.00 6.5 12-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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