October 11, 2020 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Fortune’s Fool | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mission Wrapitup | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cobble Hill | 1.40 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Allured | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Titan’s Will | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Chrome Dixie | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Scotty | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Flintshire’s Rock | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mindfreak | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Martinez | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Brew Pub | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tanners Neck Lane | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sonic Speed | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Ms Boombastic | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Baseline Drive | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wicked Happy | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jazzy Lady | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Karley O | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mischief Reigns | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | She Throws Heat | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cherokee Song | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Motivated Seller | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Prairie Fire | 1.20 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fangirl | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Brass Ring | 4.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Glass Ceiling | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Employees Only | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Nebo | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Stay Home Mama | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Stormi Cat Lady | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Khali Magic | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Adirondack Queen | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Captivating Cara | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Vive La Liberty | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bustin Bay | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Stanford (IRE) | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Glad Rock (GER) | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Price Talk | 1.80 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | La Hara (IRE) | 1.20 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bray | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Yes and Yes | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lomu | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Futurity S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | After Five | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 3 | Bright Devil (IRE) | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 6 | Trade Deal | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Second of July | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 4 | County Final | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 7 | Gypsy King | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 5 | Momos | 3.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sky’s Not Falling | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Newbomb | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Kentucky Knight | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Nutsie | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Caddo River | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Miles D | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Greatest Honour | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Speaker’s Corner | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bourbonic | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Original | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Chasing Fame | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Rye Runner | 30.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Matron S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Magisterium (IRE) | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Amalfi Princess | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Niente | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Royal Approval | 1.80 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fabricate | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Union Gables | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rossa Veloce | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bravo Regina | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Turn of Events | 2.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Scotty Brown | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gentleman Joe | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mr. Vincent | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Wild Banker | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | K. K. Ichikawa | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Kid Chocolate | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Traffic Pattern | 3.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Royal Suspect | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | River Knight | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | More Like It | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Ridolfo | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Elusive Ruler | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Implied Volatility | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | No Lime | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Judicial Restraint | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.