October 10, 2020 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Star Sailor | 1.80 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gator Shining | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Red Flag | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lance the Legend | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Aurelian Man | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Got Curly | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Doghouse | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Big Mama Sue | 2.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Complete Control | 1.80 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Princess Sadie | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Daring Cat | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sheila’s Charlie | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sweet Sonny | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Wicks and Chappies | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Chollima | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Katsaros | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Flat Out Joy | 0.80 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Charming Life | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Over Attracted | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Affianced | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Leggs Galore | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dolce | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Fraulein | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Acting Out | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gallovie (GB) | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Transporter | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Daniel the Dreamer | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Canadian Ginger | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ice Kitty | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Blazing Charm | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Bennet | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sweet Honor | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 6 | Hotitude | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | A Melis | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Miss Megan | 2.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Hot On the Trail | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Silk From Heaven | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Time for Ebby | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | D’s Lovely Sophia | 12.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wandering Patrol | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Queensbeccaandjane | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Brittle and Yoo | 1.80 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Alegria | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Secret Square | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lady On Ice | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Happy Trails | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – California Distaff H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Just Grazed Me | 1.20 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Gypsy Blu | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Nardini | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Althea Gibson | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Smiling Shirlee | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fantasy Heat | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Full Draw | 1.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Raise the Stakes | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Prince Ricky | 4.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Mr Show Off | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Master Recovery | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Time to Testify | 6.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gov From Above | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Lucky Ryan Seven | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Papa’s Honey | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Wild Cat Canyon | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Floyd Moneymaker | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | El Chapin | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.