Sports from the Basement

Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, October 10, 2020

October 10, 2020 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Star Sailor 1.80 1.6 3-1
7 7 Gator Shining 4.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Red Flag 2.50 2.3 4-1
4 4 Lance the Legend 5.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Aurelian Man 5.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Got Curly 10.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Doghouse 20.00 4.9 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Big Mama Sue 2.50 1.3 3-1
3 2 Complete Control 1.80 2.4 4-1
2 1 Princess Sadie 3.00 2.4 5-1
4 3 Daring Cat 2.50 2.9 6-1
1 1 Sheila’s Charlie 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Sweet Sonny 2.50 1.9 4-1
3 2 Wicks and Chappies 4.00 2.7 5-1
6 5 Chollima 8.00 3.3 6-1
4 3 Katsaros 8.00 3.9 7-1
5 4 Flat Out Joy 0.80 4 8-1
2 2 Charming Life 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Over Attracted 3.50 2.3 4-1
4 4 Affianced 5.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Leggs Galore 5.00 3.2 6-1
8 8 Dolce 5.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Miss Fraulein 4.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Acting Out 6.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Gallovie (GB) 5.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Transporter 12.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Daniel the Dreamer 2.00 1.6 3-1
2 2 Canadian Ginger 3.50 2.4 5-1
4 4 Ice Kitty 3.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Blazing Charm 4.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Miss Bennet 5.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Sweet Honor 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 6 Hotitude 3.00 2.6 5-1
4 3 A Melis 2.00 2.8 5-1
3 2 Miss Megan 2.50 4.5 9-1
7 5 Hot On the Trail 8.00 5.9 11-1
6 4 Silk From Heaven 12.00 6.5 12-1
9 7 Time for Ebby 10.00 7.6 14-1
1 1 D’s Lovely Sophia 12.00 8.2 16-1
2 2 Wandering Patrol 0.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Queensbeccaandjane 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Brittle and Yoo 1.80 1.6 3-1
2 2 Miss Alegria 2.50 1.8 3-1
4 4 Secret Square 3.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Lady On Ice 2.50 2.9 5-1
5 5 Happy Trails 10.00 4 8-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – California Distaff H.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Just Grazed Me 1.20 2.1 4-1
6 5 Gypsy Blu 3.50 3.4 6-1
1 1 Nardini 8.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Althea Gibson 8.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Smiling Shirlee 6.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Fantasy Heat 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Full Draw 1.80 2.6 5-1
5 5 Raise the Stakes 8.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Prince Ricky 4.50 5.6 11-1
11 11 Mr Show Off 30.00 6.3 12-1
2 2 Master Recovery 6.00 6.6 12-1
9 9 Time to Testify 6.00 7.4 14-1
4 4 Gov From Above 15.00 7.7 15-1
12 12 Lucky Ryan Seven 8.00 7.8 15-1
10 10 Papa’s Honey 20.00 9.3 18-1
7 7 Wild Cat Canyon 20.00 9.9 19-1
8 8 Floyd Moneymaker 20.00 10 19-1
1 1 El Chapin 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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