October 10, 2020 Prairie Meadows Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Melancholy Blues | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sooner Legacy | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Princess Vita | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | My First Pearl | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Big Blue Note | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Picture Lady | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mahomes | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Whiskey Wednesday | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Ideology | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Go Admiral Go | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Eliot Ness | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | That’s What I Say | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 5 | Zella Rose | 1.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Game to Play | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fast Machine | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Shimmering Dream | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Fire to Rain | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Valid Cause | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Intoxicating Kiss | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Girls in Charge | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | You Talkin to Me | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tap the Brakes | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Seven Thirty | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Storm the Field | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | My Bobby McGee | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Prideofdixiecreed | 2.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lucky Louie | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Super Scorpio | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Voodayo | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dame Dangerous | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Nightstar | 2.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | A Royal Ace | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kalliste Rose | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Vagary | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gold Maker | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Emmy Got Even | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Salty N Ruthless | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Town Tattler | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Taylor’s Beauty | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Mayan Sky | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Little Love Shack | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Red Noon Rising | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mary Helen | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Runfastandloud | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Miss Lein | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Autumn Aspen | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Irish Music | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Stella Marie | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Brillant Mind | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Praetorian | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mighty Ghost | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bow and Arrow | 10.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Debating | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Professional | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pinson | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Blame Bishop | 50.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Alex of Ice | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Beachhead | 2.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fourdangshore | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Off Again On Again | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Flat Out Freed | 20.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dreamin for Real | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Blame It On Jr | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pistol Packin Man | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ready Or Not | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lite Switch | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Gerdy’s Boy | 50.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Brilliant Baby | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.