Sports from the Basement

Prairie Meadows Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, October 10, 2020

October 10, 2020 Prairie Meadows Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Melancholy Blues 2.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Sooner Legacy 5.00 2.4 4-1
1 1 Princess Vita 3.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 My First Pearl 6.00 4 8-1
5 5 Big Blue Note 10.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Picture Lady 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Mahomes 2.00 2.1 4-1
4 3 Whiskey Wednesday 5.00 3.2 6-1
3 2 Ideology 4.00 3.5 7-1
6 4 Go Admiral Go 8.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Eliot Ness 3.00 SCRATCH
5 5 That’s What I Say 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 5 Zella Rose 1.80 1.8 3-1
2 2 Game to Play 5.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Fast Machine 15.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Shimmering Dream 20.00 4 8-1
8 6 Fire to Rain 20.00 5 9-1
1 1 Valid Cause 30.00 6.3 12-1
5 5 Intoxicating Kiss 4.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Girls in Charge 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 You Talkin to Me 3.00 1.2 2-1
7 7 Tap the Brakes 5.00 2.1 4-1
8 8 Seven Thirty 4.00 2.4 4-1
5 5 Storm the Field 6.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 My Bobby McGee 15.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Prideofdixiecreed 2.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Lucky Louie 20.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Super Scorpio 30.00 6.4 12-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Voodayo 3.50 2.2 4-1
6 6 Dame Dangerous 4.50 3 6-1
9 9 Nightstar 2.50 3.4 7-1
4 4 A Royal Ace 8.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Kalliste Rose 10.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Vagary 15.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Gold Maker 15.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Emmy Got Even 15.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Salty N Ruthless 10.00 6.2 12-1
10 10 Town Tattler 20.00 8 15-1
11 11 Taylor’s Beauty 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Mayan Sky 2.50 1.8 3-1
10 10 Little Love Shack 3.50 3.8 7-1
9 9 Red Noon Rising 4.50 4 8-1
1 1 Mary Helen 6.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Runfastandloud 8.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Miss Lein 15.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Autumn Aspen 10.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 Irish Music 15.00 6.7 13-1
8 8 Stella Marie 20.00 6.8 13-1
6 6 Brillant Mind 20.00 8.2 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Praetorian 6.00 2.2 4-1
7 7 Mighty Ghost 5.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Bow and Arrow 10.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 Debating 3.50 2.9 5-1
8 8 Professional 8.00 3 6-1
3 3 Pinson 2.50 3.1 6-1
4 4 Blame Bishop 50.00 6.2 12-1
6 6 Alex of Ice 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Beachhead 2.00 2.9 6-1
6 6 Fourdangshore 3.50 3.7 7-1
1 1 Off Again On Again 5.00 3.9 7-1
9 9 Flat Out Freed 20.00 4 7-1
7 7 Dreamin for Real 20.00 4 8-1
2 2 Blame It On Jr 15.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Pistol Packin Man 4.50 4.9 9-1
3 3 Ready Or Not 20.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Lite Switch 30.00 6.8 13-1
10 10 Gerdy’s Boy 50.00 8.8 17-1
11 11 Brilliant Baby 10.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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