Sports from the Basement

Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Friday, October 9, 2020

October 9, 2020 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Carmelita’s Man 2.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Chipper 4.00 2.4 4-1
5 5 Luvluv 1.60 3.8 7-1
1 1 Mamba Cool 6.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 River North 20.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 With Due Cause 8.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Trevor T 20.00 5.8 11-1
9 8 Ultimate Mystery 30.00 7.2 14-1
8 8 Gee Gee Whiz 50.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Blame It On Kitty 2.50 2.2 4-1
1 1 Impression 1.20 2.4 5-1
2 2 Pubilius Syrus 4.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Bitter Ring Home 10.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Vodka Twist 8.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Autumn Day 6.00 4.8 9-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Sybil’s Kitty 6.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 Bounty of Gold 2.50 2.3 4-1
6 5 Just Grace 5.00 3.6 7-1
5 4 Senoradiablo 20.00 4.7 9-1
3 2 Give Me a Hint 4.00 5 9-1
8 6 Mama’s Kid 6.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Stormin Ranger 5.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Takes a Village 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 After Midnight 6.00 3.2 6-1
9 9 Big Andy 2.50 3.4 6-1
2 2 Warrens Candy Girl 3.50 5.1 10-1
4 4 Miss Ever Ready 3.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Big Stretch 6.00 5.6 11-1
8 8 St Helena 10.00 6.4 12-1
1 1 Sideways Suances 12.00 7.3 14-1
5 5 Steinway 20.00 9 17-1
3 3 Renegade Princess 20.00 9.9 19-1
10 10 Stars of Bluegrass 10.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Supernova Wildcat 0.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Princess Sadie 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Fratelli 2.50 1.8 3-1
2 2 Preaching Trainer 4.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Quick Finish 3.00 2.8 5-1
8 8 Offshore Affair 6.00 5 9-1
1 1 Rinse and Repeat 10.00 5 9-1
7 7 Principe Carlo 5.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Handsome Cat 10.00 6.5 12-1
3 3 Agamemnon 12.00 6.6 12-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Frasard (GB) 4.00 2.6 5-1
8 7 Huge Bigly 8.00 2.8 5-1
9 8 Comradery (IRE) 1.60 4.2 8-1
2 2 War Path 2.50 4.6 9-1
4 3 My Indy 15.00 5.8 11-1
7 6 K P D Day 10.00 5.8 11-1
5 4 Juror 12.00 6.9 13-1
3 3 Temple Secret 15.00 SCRATCH
10 10 A. P. Pharoah 5.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Silent Musketier 15.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Oculus 30.00 10.2 19-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Drippin Sauce 2.50 2.1 4-1
1 1 Hidden Promise 3.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Tizhotndusty 6.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 Howbeit 5.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Self Taught 12.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Leprino 8.00 6 11-1
9 9 Go Time 15.00 6.3 12-1
3 3 Promise Nothing 6.00 6.7 13-1
4 4 Annie’s Boy 12.00 8.2 15-1
10 10 Shootin Money 30.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Uncaptured Hero 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Border Town 3.50 2 4-1
3 3 Maestro Dearte 3.50 2.9 5-1
4 4 North County Guy 3.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Untamed Domain 8.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Musawaat (GB) 12.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 Marckie’s Water 6.00 4.5 8-1
2 2 Zestful 4.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Kazan (IRE) 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 King Parker 4.00 3.4 6-1
13 11 Convex 3.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Next Flight 12.00 6.8 13-1
10 9 Sorriso 8.00 7.3 14-1
1 1 Baby Gronk 15.00 8.8 17-1
9 8 Etterbay Ucklay 6.00 9.7 18-1
4 4 Indy Jones 10.00 9.7 18-1
2 2 Big Cheddar 20.00 9.9 19-1
7 7 Nesbitt 5.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Nietzsche 30.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Minoso 0.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Bedrock 12.00 10.1 19-1
12 10 You’reright Again 15.00 10.9 21-1
3 3 Surfside Sunset 30.00 13 25-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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