Sports from the Basement

Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks for Tuesday, October 6, 2020

October 6, 2020 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Celtic Vow 3.50 2.1 4-1
5 4 Pablo’s Dream 6.00 3.2 6-1
6 5 Rockford Girl 8.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Groove 2.00 3.8 7-1
8 7 Lisa Mila 10.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 Ez On the Eyes 4.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Risque’s Treasure 12.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Driver’s License 20.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 9 Curlington 3.00 3.4 7-1
2 1 Court Sky 4.50 4 8-1
9 10 Ronin Warrior 1.80 SCRATCH
1A 4 Perfect Daydream 6.00 4.6 9-1
7 8 Jane’s Factor 8.00 5 10-1
6 7 Repeated Promise 8.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Quid 2.50 5.4 10-1
1 2 Dramatized 6.00 5.9 11-1
5 6 Hold My Call 10.00 6.1 12-1
4 5 Hazaspittin’ Image 12.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Happiness 8.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Freedom Passage 3.50 2.1 4-1
4 4 Persian Queen 2.50 2.2 4-1
2 2 Judi Blue Eyes 4.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Terpeye 6.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Grace and Peace 8.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Shoobiedoobydoo 8.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Like a Pro 8.00 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Abdaa 2.50 2.4 5-1
6 6 Spider Bite 6.00 3.4 6-1
8 8 Loaded Joe 4.00 4.8 9-1
11 11 Duck Ducky Goose 8.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Fortyeightstraight 8.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Jama Dillon 8.00 7 13-1
9 9 Epigrammatist 15.00 7.1 13-1
5 5 Gaucho 10.00 7.3 14-1
14 14 Gallic War 2.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Santo 5.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Joe the Boss 15.00 7.8 15-1
2 2 Leyenda Azteca 20.00 8.3 16-1
10 10 Something Pento 20.00 9.8 19-1
3 3 Gosley 20.00 9.9 19-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Atlantic Avenue 3.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Creedibility 2.50 3.3 6-1
4 4 Zoning 5.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Bayleaf 4.50 4.3 8-1
3 3 Iron Lilly 8.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Not in the Mood 8.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Reigning Fire 8.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 Morissette 8.00 5.7 11-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Put Position 2.50 2.6 5-1
14 14 Baltimore Beauty 20.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Jumpin Jett 8.00 4.5 8-1
9 9 Marnesia Big Girl 3.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Yes Mz Adah 4.50 5.7 11-1
6 6 Hallucination 12.00 6 11-1
1 1 Big Red Seven 10.00 6.3 12-1
13 13 Only Essa 15.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Driven by Speed 12.00 6.9 13-1
8 8 Pastiche 20.00 8 15-1
2 2 Chancee 15.00 8 15-1
10 10 Mad Mary 10.00 8.1 15-1
5 5 Chorite 20.00 9.1 17-1
7 7 Fleur de Force 20.00 9.9 19-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Aegean Sea 3.00 2.9 6-1
10 10 Clout Chaser 5.00 3 6-1
2 1 Infatuating 8.00 3.3 6-1
6 5 Kirtan 4.50 3.5 7-1
4 3 Barn Queen 6.00 3.6 7-1
1A 7 Intervention 8.00 SCRATCH
1 6 Incomparable 8.00 4.4 8-1
9 9 Perfecta Storm 8.00 4.6 9-1
3 2 Elf’s Tune 8.00 5.6 11-1
5 4 Excitable Lady 12.00 7.8 15-1
7 7 Gypsy Sally 12.00 7.8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Luvinmeiseasy 1.80 1.6 3-1
1 4 Fire Mission 3.50 3.7 7-1
1A 6 Mr. Romance 3.50 3.9 7-1
10 10 Honorable Service 5.00 4.3 8-1
3 2 Seat of Honor 10.00 SCRATCH
4 2 Regal Quality 8.00 5.3 10-1
9 9 Owin I Am 10.00 5.9 11-1
5 3 Flat Out Flying 12.00 6.6 12-1
8 8 Awe Mun 12.00 6.9 13-1
6 5 Tactical Pursuit (IRE) 10.00 8.2 16-1
2 1 Dennis’ Diamond 12.00 8.6 16-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1A 3 Spring Emperor 1.80 1.3 3-1
1 3 Shanghai Superfly 1.80 SCRATCH
7 7 Septimius Severus 6.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Rock On Luke 3.50 3.4 6-1
3 2 Ark in the Dark 8.00 3.5 7-1
9 8 Emperor John 8.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Steadytillready 8.00 4 8-1
2 1 Defibrillator 10.00 4.8 9-1
8 9 Enduros Diamond 20.00 SCRATCH
6 6 War Tocsin 15.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Portal Creek 3.50 2.1 4-1
10 10 Be Present 4.50 2.4 4-1
2 2 Capital Q 3.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Arima 6.00 3.3 6-1
9 9 Ebo Special 6.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Fine One Won 6.00 4 8-1
7 7 Chubofftheoldblock 10.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 Midnight Miracle 15.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 J J Loves Billy 12.00 6.5 12-1
1 1 Lorden’s Love 15.00 6.6 12-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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