Sports from the Basement

Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks for Monday, October 5, 2020

October 5, 2020 Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 4 Uno Tigress 2.00 2.6 5-1
6 5 Will It Be Love 3.50 2.7 5-1
3 2 Bound for Broadway 1.60 3.7 7-1
7 6 Lucetta’s On Fire 12.00 4.5 8-1
2 1 Walk It Out Nanny 12.00 5.3 10-1
4 3 Three Coins 10.00 5.9 11-1
1A 8 Bodemax 2.00 SCRATCH
5 4 Miss Friesan 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Proud Addy 4.00 2.5 5-1
6 5 Mavilus 2.50 3 6-1
1 1 Mi Cleopatra and I 4.50 3.7 7-1
8 6 Greenwood Drive 10.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Counter Claim 8.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Breeze Off the Bay 8.00 5 9-1
5 5 Anginetti 3.50 SCRATCH
7 6 Netti Girl 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Our Bella Nicole 2.50 1.4 3-1
6 6 Spritz 4.50 1.9 4-1
3 3 Laobanonaprayer 5.00 2.1 4-1
8 8 Systematic 6.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Celestial Cheetah 3.50 2.4 4-1
7 7 Triple Digit 8.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Potion 12.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Single Mom 15.00 5.1 10-1
9 9 Minding Millie 15.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Stylish Ninetynine 2.00 1.3 2-1
2 2 Release Me 6.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 Ruby’s Rush 3.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Wee Arch 4.00 3.3 6-1
9 9 Lady Mistress 12.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Normalizeddeviance 15.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Lwf Drive Bye Gal 15.00 4.5 8-1
3 3 Extravagant Miss 10.00 4.5 9-1
6 6 Waka Waka 15.00 4.8 9-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Casper Slew 4.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Philosophy 3.50 2.6 5-1
5 5 True Blue 8.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Fort Royal 6.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Fledermaus 10.00 3 6-1
7 7 Team Tim 10.00 4 8-1
1 1 Neidermeyer 20.00 5.7 11-1
8 8 Bolita Boyz 2.50 SCRATCH
9 9 Cause for Surprise 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 11 Dynamic Miss 3.00 2.2 4-1
10 9 Lovely Brown 4.00 2.9 6-1
3 3 Miss Sooner Girl 5.00 3.5 7-1
14 12 Agave Queen 10.00 3.8 7-1
5 4 Tarallucci 12.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Kelcie’s Mandate 12.00 4.7 9-1
8 7 Little Ms Broadway 15.00 5.6 11-1
7 6 Ocean Delight 10.00 5.8 11-1
11 10 Magicgirl 12.00 6.2 12-1
9 8 So Who’s Back 20.00 7 13-1
6 5 Smart Red 12.00 7.2 14-1
1 1 Tropical Frosty 20.00 8.9 17-1
4 4 Starlet Lady 8.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Melisande 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Runaway Lute 2.50 1.9 4-1
3 2 Annamated Moon 3.50 2.6 5-1
5 3 Bourbon Street 6.00 3 6-1
6 4 Ego Man 8.00 3.7 7-1
8 6 Wonder In 8.00 3.9 7-1
7 5 Hauntedbythemusic 10.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 John’s Promise 4.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Kid Slipper 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Fernwood Drive 2.00 1.6 3-1
5 5 Champagne’s On Ice 6.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 No Fly Zone 3.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Mister Mister 12.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Travelin Gambler 8.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Purrs Again 15.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Forefront 15.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Folds of Honor 4.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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