October 4, 2020 Prairie Meadows Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | She’s a Lucky One | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chance of Frost | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Vagary | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Canela Caliente | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Emmy Got Even | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Irish Music | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ize Discreet Rose | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Runforusrun | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Point of Impact | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Launch the Posse | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Prairie Squall | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | That’s What I Say | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Iowa Chrome | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 2 | Aubrey | 2.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Miss Invasive | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Put Sarah On | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Brave Dish | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Gold Maker | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wedding Dance | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Staythirstymyamigo | 99.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Ez Legs | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bellerive | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gradioactive | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sweet Kala | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Alemondropforoprah | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Soybean | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Chicken Or the Egg | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Dazzl’n Mischief | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pepe’ Longstocking | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cactus Rules | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mafia Don | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Riding the Train | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wilbur’s Runaway | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Come On Rico | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Monydontspenitself | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Back the Blue | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bagpipes | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Preacher Time | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rock City Roadhog | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Big Hearted Factor | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Knocks Big Thirst | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | One Stop Shop | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Clever Lil Sis | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Regan’s Way | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Sugar Shack Queen | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Dancing Diamond | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Athena City | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Our Clover Gal | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Red River Girl | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Butyoucalledme | 8.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Honor Girl Miss | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Jitters | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fight On Penn | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sophia’s Dawn | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mz Jackie | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | U S S Lois | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Magic in a Hat | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Papa’s Secret | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.