Sports from the Basement

Prairie Meadows Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, October 4, 2020

October 4, 2020 Prairie Meadows Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 She’s a Lucky One 2.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Chance of Frost 3.50 2.9 5-1
1 1 Vagary 4.50 3.3 6-1
5 5 Canela Caliente 5.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Emmy Got Even 6.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Irish Music 8.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Ize Discreet Rose 10.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Runforusrun 2.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Point of Impact 4.00 3 6-1
4 4 Launch the Posse 5.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Prairie Squall 6.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 That’s What I Say 3.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Iowa Chrome 8.00 4.7 9-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 2 Aubrey 2.00 1.3 2-1
3 1 Miss Invasive 3.00 1.6 3-1
6 4 Put Sarah On 6.00 2 4-1
5 3 Brave Dish 4.00 2 4-1
7 5 Gold Maker 8.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Wedding Dance 5.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Staythirstymyamigo 99.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Ez Legs 2.00 1.4 3-1
2 2 Bellerive 3.50 2.3 4-1
7 7 Gradioactive 8.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Sweet Kala 5.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Alemondropforoprah 4.50 4.4 8-1
1 1 Soybean 6.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Chicken Or the Egg 10.00 4.6 9-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Dazzl’n Mischief 2.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Pepe’ Longstocking 3.50 3.2 6-1
1 1 Cactus Rules 5.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Mafia Don 4.50 3.6 7-1
4 4 Riding the Train 6.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Wilbur’s Runaway 8.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Come On Rico 10.00 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Monydontspenitself 2.50 1.7 3-1
1 1 Back the Blue 4.50 3 6-1
4 4 Bagpipes 5.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Preacher Time 8.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Rock City Roadhog 6.00 4.7 9-1
8 7 Big Hearted Factor 15.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Knocks Big Thirst 15.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 One Stop Shop 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Clever Lil Sis 2.00 1.7 3-1
3 2 Regan’s Way 3.00 1.8 3-1
4 3 Sugar Shack Queen 4.00 2.4 5-1
2 1 Dancing Diamond 6.00 4.4 8-1
5 4 Athena City 8.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Our Clover Gal 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Red River Girl 5.00 2 4-1
10 10 Butyoucalledme 8.00 3.4 7-1
3 3 Honor Girl Miss 3.50 3.6 7-1
9 9 Jitters 2.50 3.6 7-1
7 7 Fight On Penn 4.50 4.2 8-1
4 4 Sophia’s Dawn 10.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Mz Jackie 20.00 6.3 12-1
5 5 U S S Lois 20.00 6.7 13-1
1 1 Magic in a Hat 15.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Papa’s Secret 30.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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