Sports from the Basement

Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, October 3, 2020

October 3, 2020 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 8 Ron’s Gizmo 8.00 3.2 6-1
8 7 Argentium 4.00 3.9 7-1
3 2 Green Fleet 2.50 4 8-1
7 6 Tallestofthetall 6.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Dancers Ghost 3.00 4.6 9-1
4 3 Preacher Power 8.00 4.7 9-1
5 4 Lion’s Goldenheart 20.00 6.3 12-1
6 5 Cryptic Grip 20.00 6.5 12-1
2 2 Have a Souper Day 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Sparkle Sammy 4.50 4 7-1
11 11 Make No Mistake 3.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Yes Please 3.50 5.2 10-1
2 2 Modus Operandi 15.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Pluie d’Avril 6.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Slydini 20.00 6.1 11-1
6 6 Forest Halo 10.00 6.1 12-1
1 1 Bella Nina 8.00 6.3 12-1
10 10 Burbank Road 12.00 7 13-1
8 8 Leon Azul 20.00 7.2 14-1
9 9 Ever So d’Wild 20.00 8.3 16-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Lili’s Song 6.00 2.7 5-1
9 9 Justleaveitalone 4.50 3 6-1
7 7 Super Patriotic 2.50 3.3 6-1
5 5 Pseudonym 3.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 Skygaze 10.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Double Medal 10.00 4.5 8-1
6 6 Silent Causeway 8.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 Bossalina 20.00 6.1 11-1
1 1 Hai Bobbi 15.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 City Fashion 8.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 Jackie Milton 2.50 6 11-1
10 10 Miss Matilda 4.00 6.4 12-1
1 1 O La La 10.00 6.8 13-1
8 8 Baby Driver 6.00 7 13-1
2 2 My Sugar Pie 8.00 7.1 13-1
5 5 Business Class 12.00 8.4 16-1
12 12 Bearakontie 20.00 8.7 16-1
6 6 Cherish Your Dream 15.00 9.3 17-1
13 13 Five Sparrows 20.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Hoity Toity 5.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Naked Illusion 20.00 SCRATCH
3 3 San Nicola Star 20.00 10.2 19-1
9 9 Sunset Phoenix 20.00 10.9 21-1
4 4 Miss Artie Deco 20.00 11.9 22-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Gamble’s Silver 5.00 3.7 7-1
12 11 Devine Dancing 4.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Hit and Run 6.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Gospel Hill 3.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Meet the Soprano 10.00 5.2 10-1
10 9 Balinese 12.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Bodensee 12.00 7 13-1
7 6 Jilli Marie 15.00 8.2 15-1
11 10 Knew as a Breeze 20.00 8.3 16-1
8 7 Victoriaville 20.00 8.6 16-1
9 8 Livin On Luv 20.00 8.8 17-1
6 6 Sky of Dreams 15.00 SCRATCH
13 13 For My Elbi 3.50 SCRATCH
14 14 Matthaus 12.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Speedy Lynn 8.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Taquanyah 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Angelou 4.00 3.4 6-1
8 8 Designer Ready 6.00 3.6 7-1
12 12 Mrs Frankel (IRE) 3.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Ostracize 12.00 4.5 9-1
10 10 In My Opinion 5.00 4.7 9-1
11 11 Bequia 10.00 4.9 9-1
9 9 Ms Wicked 12.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Dance With Destiny 15.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Hadley 15.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Miss Floki 15.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Musical Ride 20.00 7.6 14-1
6 6 Hi Honey 20.00 7.6 14-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
13 12 Haute 4.50 4.7 9-1
5 5 Rosa’s Soul 4.00 4.7 9-1
10 9 Bring Da Fudge 6.00 5.7 11-1
7 6 Kerics Beauty 8.00 5.7 11-1
8 7 Whatswrongwithyou 10.00 6.3 12-1
4 4 Stepitupstephanie 3.00 6.4 12-1
1 1 Queen Rhonda 10.00 7 13-1
11 10 Reckless Redhead 8.00 7.3 14-1
12 11 Sparkisha 15.00 8.7 16-1
9 8 Canelita 20.00 9.9 19-1
6 6 Dancing Zazinga 12.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Martina’s Gals 20.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Tara Empire 20.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Money in the Pool 20.00 10.1 19-1
2 2 Federal Court 20.00 13.2 25-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Toronto Cup S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Proven Strategies 3.50 3.2 6-1
5 5 Lucky Curlin 5.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 Runway Dreamer 12.00 4 7-1
6 6 Shirl’s Speight 0.80 4.5 8-1
7 7 Lookinatamiracle 20.00 5.5 10-1
9 9 Clear Destination 15.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Told It All 15.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Duke of Carthania 20.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 Bexar 20.00 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Duchess S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Two Sixty 5.00 3.1 6-1
9 8 Diamond Sparkles 8.00 3.4 7-1
4 4 Owlette 3.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Avie’s Samurai 12.00 4.7 9-1
10 9 Boardroom 2.00 4.8 9-1
8 7 Our Secret Agent 8.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Fly So Pretty 20.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Raison d’Etre 12.00 6.1 12-1
3 3 Windracer (IRE) 20.00 8.1 15-1
6 6 Runway Dreamer 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Curlin’s Thrill 2.50 3.1 6-1
8 8 Sensationalist 8.00 4 7-1
6 6 Lion Kingdom 3.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Fifth Season 6.00 4.4 8-1
9 9 Strike a Beat 5.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 L’Etat (GER) 20.00 5.7 11-1
10 10 Samuel H 15.00 6.1 11-1
11 11 Creative Force 20.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Personal Journey 15.00 6.7 13-1
4 4 Tara Citizen 20.00 7.7 15-1
3 3 Wings of Victory 20.00 7.9 15-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Aim for the Sky 3.00 4 7-1
7 7 Red Storm Risen 4.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Union Colonel 5.00 5 9-1
5 5 Mr. Cool 12.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 In All Alone 12.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Waltzing Champ 8.00 5.7 11-1
9 9 Windchill Zar 6.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Winners Club 20.00 6.6 13-1
3 3 Pitching Fast 20.00 7.3 14-1
12 12 Racing in the Rain 15.00 7.4 14-1
11 11 Turf Flight 20.00 7.5 14-1
10 10 Benlion 12.00 7.7 14-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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