Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, October 3, 2020
October 3, 2020 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Ron’s Gizmo | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Argentium | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Green Fleet | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Tallestofthetall | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dancers Ghost | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Preacher Power | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Lion’s Goldenheart | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Cryptic Grip | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Have a Souper Day | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Sparkle Sammy | 4.50 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Make No Mistake | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Yes Please | 3.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Modus Operandi | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pluie d’Avril | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Slydini | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Forest Halo | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bella Nina | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Burbank Road | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Leon Azul | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ever So d’Wild | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Lili’s Song | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Justleaveitalone | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Super Patriotic | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pseudonym | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Skygaze | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Double Medal | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Silent Causeway | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bossalina | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hai Bobbi | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | City Fashion | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Jackie Milton | 2.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Miss Matilda | 4.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | O La La | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Baby Driver | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | My Sugar Pie | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Business Class | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Bearakontie | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cherish Your Dream | 15.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Five Sparrows | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Hoity Toity | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Naked Illusion | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | San Nicola Star | 20.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sunset Phoenix | 20.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Artie Deco | 20.00 | 11.9 | 22-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Gamble’s Silver | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Devine Dancing | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hit and Run | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gospel Hill | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Meet the Soprano | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Balinese | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bodensee | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Jilli Marie | 15.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Knew as a Breeze | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Victoriaville | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Livin On Luv | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sky of Dreams | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | For My Elbi | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Matthaus | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Speedy Lynn | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Taquanyah | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Angelou | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Designer Ready | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Mrs Frankel (IRE) | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ostracize | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | In My Opinion | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Bequia | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ms Wicked | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dance With Destiny | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hadley | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Floki | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Musical Ride | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hi Honey | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 12 | Haute | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rosa’s Soul | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Bring Da Fudge | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Kerics Beauty | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Whatswrongwithyou | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Stepitupstephanie | 3.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Queen Rhonda | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Reckless Redhead | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Sparkisha | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Canelita | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dancing Zazinga | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Martina’s Gals | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Tara Empire | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Money in the Pool | 20.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Federal Court | 20.00 | 13.2 | 25-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Toronto Cup S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Proven Strategies | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lucky Curlin | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Runway Dreamer | 12.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shirl’s Speight | 0.80 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lookinatamiracle | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Clear Destination | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Told It All | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Duke of Carthania | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bexar | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Duchess S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Two Sixty | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Diamond Sparkles | 8.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Owlette | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Avie’s Samurai | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Boardroom | 2.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Our Secret Agent | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fly So Pretty | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Raison d’Etre | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Windracer (IRE) | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Runway Dreamer | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Curlin’s Thrill | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sensationalist | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lion Kingdom | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fifth Season | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Strike a Beat | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | L’Etat (GER) | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Samuel H | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Creative Force | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Personal Journey | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tara Citizen | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wings of Victory | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Aim for the Sky | 3.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Red Storm Risen | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Union Colonel | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mr. Cool | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | In All Alone | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Waltzing Champ | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Windchill Zar | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Winners Club | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pitching Fast | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Racing in the Rain | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Turf Flight | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Benlion | 12.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.
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