Sports from the Basement

Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, October 3, 2020

October 3, 2020 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Lavender (IRE) 2.50 2.3 4-1
6 6 Zucchera 5.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Lucia’s Design 12.00 3 6-1
8 8 Quiet Secretary 10.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Freedom Lass 3.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Star of Africa 4.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Goodtingscominpink 4.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Sapphire Silk 30.00 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Madame Barbarian 1.80 1.4 3-1
3 3 Super Klaus 2.50 1.8 3-1
2 2 Carrie’s Success 2.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 Take a Leap 5.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Sturdy One 6.00 4.6 9-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Swingtime S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Colonial Creed 2.00 1.6 3-1
6 6 Meal Ticket 4.50 2.1 4-1
4 4 Cordiality 2.50 3 6-1
2 2 Muchly (GB) 5.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Sedamar 2.50 3.7 7-1
1 1 Donut Girl 20.00 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Malibu Cat 1.80 1.5 3-1
4 4 Heart River 5.00 3 6-1
1 1 Rain Diva 2.50 3.1 6-1
3 3 Saints Paynter 2.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Summer Love 6.00 4.5 8-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Big Barrel 4.00 2.4 4-1
2 2 Truth Seeker 2.50 2.6 5-1
3 3 Octopus 2.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Vodka Twist 5.00 4 8-1
1 1 Camby 4.00 4.5 8-1
5 5 Luck’s Royal Flush 8.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Table for Ten 4.00 1.7 3-1
7 7 Johnny Podres 4.00 2 4-1
4 4 Rustic Canyon 6.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Sea of Liberty 3.50 3.5 7-1
8 8 Doc Tommy 3.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Claim of Passion 6.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Tribal War Chant 12.00 7 13-1
1 1 Silver Summer 15.00 7.6 14-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Hot Pastrami 4.00 1.4 3-1
5 5 Nasreddine 4.00 1.6 3-1
6 6 Namesake 5.00 2.4 5-1
7 7 Laurel River 2.50 2.7 5-1
2 2 Drivehappy 12.00 3.1 6-1
9 9 Refi Now 12.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Mac Daddy Too 5.00 5 9-1
8 8 Run Snappy 8.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Santos to Wilson 30.00 7.1 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – City Of Hope Mile S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Royal Ship (BRZ) 4.00 1.5 3-1
7 7 Mo Forza 1.60 2.1 4-1
1 1 Sharp Samurai 2.50 2.3 4-1
2 2 Restrainedvengence 8.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Blitzkrieg 4.00 4 8-1
3 3 Majestic Eagle 20.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Bob and Jackie 12.00 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Next Revolt 3.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Linfield 10.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Debt Monger 3.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 My Journey 6.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Bam Bam Again 2.50 4.7 9-1
7 7 Speakerofthehouse 5.00 5 9-1
1 1 Gryffindor 12.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Dopo Lavoro 20.00 6.6 12-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Miss Peaky Blinder 3.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Avisse 6.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Polished Lady 15.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Sweetest Angel 4.00 5.4 10-1
11 11 Kate Boss 15.00 6 11-1
2 2 Chicks Dig Munny 12.00 6.3 12-1
10 10 Quattroelle (IRE) 4.00 6.5 12-1
5 5 Judy With Grace 12.00 7.5 14-1
12 12 I’m All the Jedi 30.00 8.1 15-1
4 4 Nurturing 15.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Pizzazz 3.50 SCRATCH
13 13 Lemon Ice 30.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Derby Quest 50.00 10.9 21-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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